2022 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 23, 2022 · AT&T Stadium

Detroit Lions

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -7 ✓U 49.5 ✓DomeCowboys closed -7 and covered, winning by 18.

Dallas Cowboys 24–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q4 12:29, DET +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 12:29DET 6 — DAL 10DET ball · 1st & 1DAL 57%

(12:29) 30-Ja.Williams up the middle to DAL 2 for -1 yards (90-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (90-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by DAL-42-A.Barr at DAL 1.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 12:29DET +21% win prob(12:29) 30-Ja.Williams up the middle to DAL 2 for -1 yards (90-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (90-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by DAL-42-A.Barr at DAL 1.
Q2 · 1:53DET +14% win prob(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 85-N.Brown to DET 6 for 14 yards (31-K.Joseph). FUMBLES (31-K.Joseph), touched at DET 6, RECOVERED by DET-24-A.Oruwariye at DET 3.
Q1 · 14:17DET +10% win prob(14:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 18 for -9 yards (sack split by 97-A.Hutchinson and 34-A.Anzalone).
Q1 · 13:37DAL +10% win prob(13:37) 5-B.Anger punts 56 yards to DET 26, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-K.Raymond pushed ob at DET 39 for 13 yards (85-N.Brown).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:02DET Field goal
(4:02) 17-M.Badgley 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 3 — DAL 0
Q2 · 12:27DAL Field goal
(12:27) 19-B.Maher 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DET 3 — DAL 3
Q2 · 8:03DET Field goal
(8:03) 17-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 6 — DAL 3
Q3 · 10:21DAL Touchdown
(10:21) 21-E.Elliott up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 6 — DAL 10
Q4 · 2:51DAL Touchdown
(2:51) 21-E.Elliott up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 6 — DAL 17
Q4 · 2:00DAL Touchdown
(2:00) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 89-P.Hendershot for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET-44-M.Rodriguez was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 6 — DAL 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Cowboys
Offensive plays	56	57
Total yards	312	332 (edge)
Yards per play	5.6	5.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.29	0.03 (edge)
Success rate	48%	53% (edge)
Dropback rate	57%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24	0.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.35	-0.09 (edge)
Third downs	3/9	3/9
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	18	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	2 (edge)
Turnovers	5	1 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.29.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

21/26, 228 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-6.6 expected points added · +9.3% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

19/25, 207 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

9.7 expected points added · +10.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 83 yds, 0 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jamaal WilliamsRB

15 att, 79 yds, 0 TD

-6.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Kalif RaymondWR

5/6 for 75 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

4/6 for 70 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	5	-7	1:34	Punt
2	DET	DET 39	5	14	2:47	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 20	4	7	1:46	Punt
4	DET	DET 30	10	49	4:55	Field goal +3
5	DAL	DAL 25	13	77	6:34	Field goal +3
6	DET	DET 25	9	36	4:25	Field goal +3
7	DAL	DAL 25	6	5	1:19	Punt
8	DET	DET 36	4	5	2:37	Punt
9	DAL	DAL 24	7	65	2:18	Fumble
10	DET	DET 3	3	23	1:45	End of half
11	DET	DET 25	4	24	1:23	Interception
12	DAL	DAL 18	8	73	3:19	Touchdown +7
13	DET	DET 25	6	20	3:22	Punt
14	DAL	DET 41	4	1	2:33	Punt
15	DET	DET 20	12	99	7:02	Fumble
16	DAL	DAL 1	5	28	2:29	Punt
17	DET	DET 21	4	21	1:27	Interception
18	DAL	DAL 46	12	59	5:39	Touchdown +7
19	DET	DET 25	3	-1	0:26	Fumble
20	DAL	DET 24	5	24	0:25	Touchdown +7
21	DET	DET 25	6	22	1:05	Fumble
22	DAL	DET 41	2	0	0:50	End of game

6 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 99 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a fumble.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	21/26	228	0	2	5	-6.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jamaal Williams	15	79	5.3	-6.0
Kalif Raymond	2	20	10.0	1.4
Craig Reynolds	4	12	3.0	-2.0
Jared Goff	1	4	4.0	-1.1
Justin Jackson	3	2	0.7	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Kalif Raymond	5	6	75	24%	4.3
Brock Wright	4	4	57	16%	4.2
T.J. Hockenson	4	5	48	20%	2.8
Craig Reynolds	3	3	18	12%	1.1
Tom Kennedy	2	3	14	12%	-1.1
Josh Reynolds	1	2	8	8%	-3.1
Jamaal Williams	1	1	4	4%	-0.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown	1	1	4	4%	-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jeff Okudah	11	3	0.0	0
DeShon Elliott	5	4	0.0	0
Alex Anzalone	3	4	0.5	0
Kerby Joseph	3	2	0.0	1
Amani Oruwariye	3	1	0.0	0
Malcolm Rodriguez	4	0	0.0	0
Julian Okwara	1	2	0.0	0
A.J. Parker	3	0	0.0	0
Aidan Hutchinson	2	1	1.5	0
Jared Goff	2	0	0.0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	19/25	207	1	0	2	9.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	12	83	6.9	0	-0.4
Ezekiel Elliott	15	57	3.8	2	-0.5
Kavontae Turpin	1	3	3.0	0	-0.4
Dak Prescott	3	0	0.0	0	-2.3
CeeDee Lamb	1	-4	-4.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	4	6	70	0	24%	6.5
Noah Brown	5	7	50	0	28%	-3.1
Dalton Schultz	5	5	49	0	20%	3.9
Tony Pollard	2	2	26	0	8%	2.2
Jake Ferguson	1	1	7	0	4%	1.0
Peyton Hendershot	2	2	5	1	8%	0.8
Michael Gallup	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Leighton Vander Esch	5	3	0.0	0	0
Jayron Kearse	7	1	0.0	0	0
Donovan Wilson	4	3	1.0	0	0
Micah Parsons	5	1	2.0	0	0
Anthony Barr	4	2	0.0	0	1
Jourdan Lewis	2	1	0.0	1	1
Sam Williams	3	0	2.0	0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	2	1	0.0	0	0
Carlos Watkins	1	2	0.0	0	0
Malik Hooker	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -7
Closing total: 49.5
DET moneyline: +241
DAL moneyline: -278

Cowboys closed -7 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 30 — under by 19.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: DET 14 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Dan Campbell vs Mike McCarthy