2022 Week 7 · Thu, Oct 20, 2022 · State Farm Stadium

New Orleans Saints

Arizona CardinalsWinner

ARI -2.5 ✓O 44 ✓Cardinals closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Arizona Cardinals 42–34. Biggest swing: Q2 2:00, NO +27% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 2:00NO 14 — ARI 20NO ball · 1st & 10NO 51%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 1-M.Callaway INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Wilson at NO 38. 20-M.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 2:00NO +27% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 1-M.Callaway INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Wilson at NO 38. 20-M.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:57NO +16% win prob(:57) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 12-C.Olave INTERCEPTED by 9-I.Simmons at ARI 44. 9-I.Simmons for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 11:52ARI +15% win prob(11:52) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left to 17-K.White to ARI 3 for 64 yards (33-A.Hamilton). Arizona challenged the runner was inbounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)
Q1 · 13:02ARI +13% win prob(13:02) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 89-R.Shaheed for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 13:02NO Touchdown
(13:02) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 89-R.Shaheed for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 7 — ARI 0
Q1 · 10:58ARI Field goal
(10:58) 15-R.Blankenship 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
Score after this play: NO 7 — ARI 3
Q2 · 13:19ARI Field goal
(13:19) 15-R.Blankenship 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
Score after this play: NO 7 — ARI 6
Q2 · 10:33NO Touchdown
(10:33) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 7-T.Hill for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 14 — ARI 6
Q2 · 2:32ARI Touchdown
(2:32) (Shotgun) 30-K.Ingram up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: NO 14 — ARI 14
Q2 · 2:00ARI Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 1-M.Callaway INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Wilson at NO 38. 20-M.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: NO 14 — ARI 20
Q2 · 0:57ARI Touchdown
(:57) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 12-C.Olave INTERCEPTED by 9-I.Simmons at ARI 44. 9-I.Simmons for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: NO 14 — ARI 26
Q2 · 0:46ARI Two-point
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-K.Murray pass to 86-Z.Ertz is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Score after this play: NO 14 — ARI 28
Q3 · 9:47NO Field goal
(9:47) 3-W.Lutz 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: NO 17 — ARI 28
Q3 · 0:32ARI Touchdown
(:32) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 83-G.Dortch for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 17 — ARI 35
Q4 · 11:20NO Touchdown
(11:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 83-J.Johnson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 24 — ARI 35
Q4 · 6:26ARI Touchdown
(6:26) (Shotgun) 26-E.Benjamin up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 24 — ARI 42
Q4 · 3:12NO Touchdown
(3:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left to 83-J.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NO 31 — ARI 42
Q4 · 0:47NO Field goal
(:47) 3-W.Lutz 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: NO 34 — ARI 42

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Saints	Cardinals
Offensive plays	70	61
Total yards	495 (edge)	331
Yards per play	7.1 (edge)	5.4
Expected points added / play	0.03	0.14 (edge)
Success rate	54% (edge)	46%
Dropback rate	74%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.09	0.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13	0.15 (edge)
Third downs	6/13 (edge)	3/10
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	24 (edge)	20
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Saints outgained Cardinals 495–331 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Andy DaltonQB

30/47, 361 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT

-1.3 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

20/29, 204 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

2.9 expected points added · -1.2% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Eno BenjaminRB

12 att, 92 yds, 1 TD

7.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

11 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Chris OlaveWR

7/14 for 106 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · -3.3 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

DeAndre HopkinsWR

10/14 for 103 yds, 0 TD

48% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NO	NO 25	6	80	2:07	Touchdown +7
2	ARI	ARI 25	7	43	1:59	Field goal +3
3	NO	NO 25	16	70	8:48	Interception
4	ARI	ARI 20	9	70	3:51	Field goal +3
5	NO	NO 25	7	75	2:46	Touchdown +7
6	ARI	ARI 25	15	72	8:01	Touchdown +8
7	NO	NO 25	3	10	0:38	Defensive touchdown
8	NO	NO 25	6	22	1:04	Defensive touchdown
9	NO	NO 9	2	0	0:46	End of half
10	ARI	ARI 25	5	5	1:00	Punt
11	NO	NO 39	9	54	4:16	Field goal +3
12	ARI	ARI 25	5	-8	1:39	Punt
13	NO	NO 46	4	3	1:05	Punt
14	ARI	ARI 15	13	90	6:31	Touchdown +7
15	NO	NO 25	5	7	0:40	Punt
16	ARI	ARI 10	5	-5	1:55	Punt
17	NO	ARI 46	6	46	1:40	Touchdown +7
18	ARI	ARI 36	10	54	4:52	Touchdown +7
19	NO	NO 25	13	70	3:15	Touchdown +7
20	ARI	NO 48	5	8	0:27	Punt
21	NO	NO 20	10	58	1:57	Field goal +3
22	ARI	NO 48	2	0	0:43	End of game

11 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 90 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andy Dalton	30/47	361	4	3	0	-1.3
Taysom Hill	2/2	48	0	0	0	4.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Alvin Kamara	11	49	4.5	-1.8
Andy Dalton	4	21	5.3	1.8
Taysom Hill	3	9	3.0	0.6
Mark Ingram	4	6	1.5	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Chris Olave	7	14	106	0	30%	-3.3
Kevin White	1	1	64	0	2%	4.8
Tre'Quan Smith	5	6	59	0	13%	1.8
Alvin Kamara	7	9	56	0	20%	1.7
Rashid Shaheed	1	1	53	1	2%	5.3
Juwan Johnson	5	5	32	2	11%	2.9
Marquez Callaway	2	6	20	0	13%	-10.3
Mark Ingram	3	3	16	0	7%	-0.2
Taysom Hill	1	1	3	1	2%	1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Pete Werner	3	4	0.0	1
Marcus Davenport	2	4	0.0	0
Chris Harris	5	1	0.0	0
Cameron Jordan	3	2	1.0	0
Tyrann Mathieu	3	2	0.0	0
Justin Evans	4	0	0.0	0
Tanoh Kpassagnon	2	1	0.0	0
Malcolm Roach	1	2	0.0	0
Alontae Taylor	3	0	0.0	0
Marcus Maye	1	2	0.0	0

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	20/29	204	1	0	2	2.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Eno Benjamin	12	92	7.7	1	7.1
Kyler Murray	7	30	4.3	0	1.7
Keaontay Ingram	9	14	1.6	1	-4.0
Greg Dortch	1	1	1.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	10	14	103	0	48%	2.0
Rondale Moore	1	2	31	0	7%	0.8
Keaontay Ingram	2	2	23	0	7%	1.2
Eno Benjamin	4	5	21	0	17%	-0.1
Zach Ertz	2	4	21	0	14%	1.8
Greg Dortch	1	1	5	1	3%	1.5
Robbie Chosen	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Zaven Collins	5	3	0	0
Antonio Hamilton	6	0	1	2
Budda Baker	4	1	0	1
Byron Murphy	5	0	0	0
Jalen Thompson	2	3	0	2
Isaiah Simmons	4	1	1	1
Ben Niemann	2	1	0	0
Marco Wilson	2	1	1	2
Tanner Vallejo	2	1	0	0
Zach Allen	1	1	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -2.5
Closing total: 44
NO moneyline: +126
ARI moneyline: -140

Cardinals closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 44; the game landed 76 — over by 32.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface: open · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: NO 4 days · ARI 4 days
Coaches: Dennis Allen vs Kliff Kingsbury