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2022 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 23, 2022 · TIAA Bank Stadium

New York GiantsWinner

23

Jacksonville Jaguars

17

JAX -3 upsetU 44 ✓

New York Giants 23–17. Biggest swing: Q4 0:22, JAX +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3JAX ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 0:22NYG 23 — JAX 17JAX ball · 4th & 15NYG 97%

(:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-M.Jones to NYG 32 for 28 yards (20-J.Love). PENALTY on NYG-99-L.Williams, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:22JAX +23% win prob(:22) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-M.Jones to NYG 32 for 28 yards (20-J.Love). PENALTY on NYG-99-L.Williams, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32.
  2. Q4 · 0:07NYG +17% win prob(:07) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 13-C.Kirk to NYG 1 for 16 yards (29-X.McKinney, 20-J.Love).
  3. Q3 · 14:55JAX +13% win prob(14:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left end to NYG 24 for 49 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux).
  4. Q3 · 6:22NYG +13% win prob(6:22) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 84-M.Johnson (31-D.Williams).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:29NYG Touchdown

    (10:29) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep right to 86-D.Slayton for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — JAX 0
  2. Q1 · 7:02JAX Touchdown

    (7:02) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — JAX 8
  3. Q2 · 13:26JAX Field goal

    (13:26) 10-R.Patterson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — JAX 11
  4. Q2 · 7:31NYG Field goal

    (7:31) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — JAX 11
  5. Q2 · 0:32NYG Field goal

    (:32) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — JAX 11
  6. Q3 · 11:47JAX Touchdown

    (11:47) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — JAX 17
  7. Q4 · 5:35NYG Touchdown

    (5:35) 8-D.Jones up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — JAX 17
  8. Q4 · 1:07NYG Field goal

    (1:07) 9-G.Gano 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 23 — JAX 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsJaguars
Offensive plays7066
Total yards436454 (edge)
Yards per play6.26.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.17 (edge)0.14
Success rate53% (edge)45%
Dropback rate51%67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.160.25 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.18 (edge)-0.08
Third downs6/12 (edge)6/13
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)10 (edge)9
First downs gained on snaps2424
Sacks taken10 (edge)
Turnovers11

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs 0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

22/43, 310 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

11.3 expected points added · -9.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

19/30, 202 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

1.8 expected points added · -2.7% completion over expected

Rushing · JAX

Travis EtienneRB

14 att, 114 yds, 1 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

24 att, 110 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · JAX

Christian KirkWR

7/10 for 96 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Evan EngramTE

4/7 for 67 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 2511754:39Touchdown +7
2JAXJAX 308723:23Touchdown +8
3NYGNYG 259202:51Fumble
4JAXJAX 2112705:44Field goal +3
5NYGNYG 2511695:56Field goal +3
6JAXJAX 199814:01Fumble
7NYGNYG 2012652:58Field goal +3
8JAXJAX 256250:28Turnover on downs
9JAXJAX 279663:15Touchdown +6
10NYGNYG 2512615:25Turnover on downs
11JAXJAX 4461:27Punt
12NYGNYG 336163:02Punt
13JAXJAX 2012705:26Turnover on downs
14NYGNYG 2111695:54Touchdown +7
15JAXJAX 255101:02Punt
16NYGNYG 239613:25Field goal +3
17JAXJAX 2511541:04End of game

8 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 81 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a fumble.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones19/302021011.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley241104.60-1.0
Daniel Jones111079.7110.8
Matt Breida4194.800.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton3658121%4.7
Wan'Dale Robinson6850028%1.3
Saquon Barkley4425014%1.3
Chris Myarick222107%1.7
David Sills111903%1.6
Matt Breida111403%1.5
Daniel Bellinger111303%1.0
Richie James12207%-1.7
Tanner Hudson01003%-1.8
Marcus Johnson030010%-5.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Fabian Moreau720.002
Julian Love540.000
Tae Crowder330.001
Adoree' Jackson510.002
Kayvon Thibodeaux210.000
Jaylon Smith210.000
Dexter Lawrence110.000
Xavier McKinney200.000
Darnay Holmes020.001
Jihad Ward110.000

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence22/4331000011.3
Christian Kirk0/10000-0.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne141148.11-0.3
Zay Jones11414.001.3
Jamycal Hasty166.000.6
Christian Kirk155.000.3
Trevor Lawrence430.81-3.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Kirk71096023%2.4
Evan Engram4767016%3.6
Marvin Jones4857019%2.6
Zay Jones41054023%4.2
Dan Arnold112402%1.5
Tim Jones11702%-0.1
Travis Etienne155012%-2.6
James Robinson01002%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Foyesade Oluokun560.000
Andre Cisco710.001
Darious Williams530.003
Davon Hamilton340.000
Tyson Campbell520.000
Devin Lloyd250.000
Travon Walker231.000
Rayshawn Jenkins320.002
Tre Herndon120.001
Arden Key200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
JAX -3
Closing total
44
NYG moneyline
+148
JAX moneyline
-165

Jaguars closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 44; the game landed 40 — under by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
TIAA Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
NYG 7 days · JAX 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Doug Pederson