2022 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 23, 2022 · Empower Field at Mile High
New York JetsWinner
16
Denver Broncos
9
New York Jets 16–9. Biggest swing: Q1 14:44, DEN +18% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(14:44) 7-B.Mann punts 58 yards to DEN 17, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-M.Washington.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 14:44DEN +18% win prob(14:44) 7-B.Mann punts 58 yards to DEN 17, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-M.Washington.
- Q3 · 1:33NYJ +18% win prob(1:33) 4-B.Rypien pass deep left intended for 80-G.Dulcich INTERCEPTED by 29-L.Joyner at NYJ 36. 29-L.Joyner pushed ob at DEN 37 for 27 yards (73-C.Fleming).
- Q1 · 7:44DEN +12% win prob(7:44) 20-Br.Hall left end for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 2:00DEN +12% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 32-Mi.Carter pushed ob at DEN 33 for 37 yards (31-J.Simmons).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 7:44NYJ Touchdown
(7:44) 20-Br.Hall left end for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYJ 7 — DEN 0 - Q1 · 1:37DEN Touchdown
(1:37) 28-L.Murray left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: NYJ 7 — DEN 6 - Q2 · 3:41DEN Field goal
(3:41) 8-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: NYJ 7 — DEN 9 - Q2 · 0:03NYJ Field goal
(:03) 6-G.Zuerlein 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DEN 9 - Q4 · 12:53NYJ Field goal
(12:53) 6-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: NYJ 13 — DEN 9 - Q4 · 4:39NYJ Field goal
(4:39) 6-G.Zuerlein 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
Score after this play: NYJ 16 — DEN 9
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Jets | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 52 | 75 |
| Total yards | 261 | 324 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.0 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.14 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Success rate | 33% | 33% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 62% | 64% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.31 | -0.27 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | 0.03 |
| Third downs | 3/14 | 5/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 9 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Broncos outgained Jets 324–261 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DEN
24/46, 225 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-12.8 expected points added · -9.3% completion over expected
Passing · NYJ
16/26, 121 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-10.7 expected points added · -4.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:23 | Punt | |
| 2 | DEN | DEN 17 | 7 | 26 | 3:01 | Punt | |
| 3 | NYJ | NYJ 13 | 4 | 14 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 4 | DEN | DEN 39 | 4 | 0 | 0:24 | Punt | |
| 5 | NYJ | NYJ 27 | 4 | 73 | 1:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 25 | 15 | 65 | 6:01 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 7 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 5 | -11 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 8 | DEN | DEN 48 | 8 | 14 | 3:33 | Missed field goal | |
| 9 | NYJ | NYJ 46 | 4 | 4 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 1 | 11 | 73 | 6:05 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 11 | 73 | 3:37 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 25 | 8 | 23 | 2:48 | Punt | |
| 13 | NYJ | NYJ 13 | 5 | 27 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 20 | 5 | -1 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 15 | NYJ | NYJ 32 | 4 | 3 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 20 | 5 | 20 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 17 | NYJ | NYJ 14 | 4 | 13 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 28 | 2 | 14 | 0:43 | Interception | |
| 19 | NYJ | DEN 37 | 7 | 21 | 3:35 | Field goal +3 | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 9 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 21 | NYJ | NYJ 28 | 10 | 41 | 6:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 22 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 50 | 2:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 4 | 3 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 24 | DEN | DEN 20 | 7 | 31 | 1:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | NYJ | NYJ 49 | 1 | 0 | 0:30 | End of game |
6 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jets gained 73 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Wilson | 16/26 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 4 | 72 | 18.0 | 1 | 4.6 |
| Michael Carter | 13 | 29 | 2.2 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Braxton Berrios | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Zach Wilson | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Ty Johnson | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carter | 2 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 9% | 2.7 |
| Garrett Wilson | 4 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 17% | 0.8 |
| Tyler Conklin | 4 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 26% | -3.0 |
| Braxton Berrios | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 17% | 0.0 |
| Ty Johnson | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 0.5 |
| C.J. Uzomah | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9% | -1.5 |
| Denzel Mims | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9% | -0.8 |
| Corey Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.4 |
| Jeff Smith | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Gardner | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| D.J. Reed | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| C.J. Mosley | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinnen Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Whitehead | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kwon Alexander | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Shepherd | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vinny Curry | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lamarcus Joyner | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Rypien | 24/46 | 225 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Gordon | 11 | 33 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Latavius Murray | 8 | 24 | 3.0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Mike Boone | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| K.J. Hamler | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Brett Rypien | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Montrell Washington | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 7 | 11 | 96 | 0 | 24% | 3.3 |
| Greg Dulcich | 6 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 20% | -2.5 |
| Courtland Sutton | 3 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 20% | -5.2 |
| Eric Tomlinson | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 4% | 2.3 |
| Melvin Gordon | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 9% | -1.1 |
| Kendall Hinton | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2% | 0.9 |
| K.J. Hamler | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9% | -2.3 |
| Eric Saubert | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.6 |
| Andrew Beck | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.8 |
| Latavius Murray | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 7% | -2.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Singleton | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonas Griffith | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Purcell | 0 | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dre'Mont Jones | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damarri Mathis | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Chubb | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Jones | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Simmons | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Henningsen | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Waun Williams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYJ -2
- Closing total
- 37
- NYJ moneyline
- -127
- DEN moneyline
- +115
Jets closed -2 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 37; the game landed 25 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- NYJ 7 days · DEN 6 days
- Coaches
- Robert Saleh vs Nathaniel Hackett