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2022 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 30, 2022 · AT&T Stadium

Chicago Bears

29

Dallas CowboysWinner

49

DAL -10.5 ✓O 43 ✓

Dallas Cowboys 49–29 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 9:48, DAL +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑CHI ↓
Q3 · 9:48CHI 23 — DAL 28CHI ball · 1st & 10DAL 91%

(9:48) 24-K.Herbert up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 9:48DAL +6% win prob(9:48) 24-K.Herbert up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 12:50DAL +5% win prob(12:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup to CHI 43 for 11 yards (22-K.Vildor).
  3. Q1 · 13:27CHI +5% win prob(13:27) (No Huddle) 20-T.Pollard right end to DAL 46 for -5 yards (53-N.Morrow).
  4. Q1 · 12:21CHI +5% win prob(12:21) PENALTY on DAL, Offensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at CHI 43 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:23DAL Touchdown

    (10:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — DAL 7
  2. Q1 · 5:24DAL Touchdown

    (5:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 88-C.Lamb for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — DAL 14
  3. Q2 · 13:45CHI Touchdown

    (13:45) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DAL 14
  4. Q2 · 10:56DAL Touchdown

    (10:56) 20-T.Pollard left tackle for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DAL 21
  5. Q2 · 6:52DAL Touchdown

    (6:52) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — DAL 28
  6. Q2 · 0:45CHI Touchdown

    (:45) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass deep middle to 8-N.Harry for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 14 — DAL 28
  7. Q2 · 0:03CHI Field goal

    (:03) 2-C.Santos 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — DAL 28
  8. Q3 · 9:48CHI Touchdown

    (9:48) 24-K.Herbert up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CHI 23 — DAL 28
  9. Q3 · 6:55DAL Touchdown

    (6:55) 20-T.Pollard right tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 23 — DAL 35
  10. Q3 · 5:17DAL Touchdown

    (5:17) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short middle to 32-D.Montgomery to CHI 32 for 13 yards (55-L.Vander Esch). FUMBLES (55-L.Vander Esch), RECOVERED by DAL-11-M.Parsons at CHI 36. 11-M.Parsons for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 23 — DAL 42
  11. Q4 · 13:45CHI Touchdown

    (13:45) 1-J.Fields pass short right to 85-C.Kmet for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CHI 29 — DAL 42
  12. Q4 · 10:46DAL Touchdown

    (10:46) 20-T.Pollard left end for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 29 — DAL 49

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsCowboys
Offensive plays7355
Total yards371444 (edge)
Yards per play5.18.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.010.45 (edge)
Success rate41%56% (edge)
Dropback rate45%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.200.53 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.180.36 (edge)
Third downs6/159/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)11 (edge)9
First downs gained on snaps2124 (edge)
Sacks taken41 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.45 expected points added per play vs 0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

21/27, 250 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

14.7 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

17/23, 151 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-4.9 expected points added · +10.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

14 att, 131 yds, 3 TD

8.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Khalil HerbertRB

16 att, 99 yds, 1 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/7 for 77 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Dalton SchultzTE

6/7 for 74 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 4.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 2513804:42Touchdown +7
2CHICHI 255101:47Punt
3DALDAL 319693:12Touchdown +7
4CHICHI 2514756:38Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 258752:51Touchdown +7
6CHICHI 255-51:27Punt
7DALDAL 469542:35Touchdown +7
8CHICHI 2514606:08Touchdown +7
9DALDAL 25200:12Interception
10CHIDAL 24410:28Field goal +3
11CHICHI 25571:48Punt
12DALDAL 6461:11Punt
13CHICHI 386622:19Touchdown +6
14DALDAL 259752:51Touchdown +7
15CHICHI 254121:51Defensive touchdown
16CHICHI 2515956:20Touchdown +6
17DALDAL 217793:05Touchdown +7
18CHICHI 2412545:23Turnover on downs
19DALDAL 16761:55Punt
20CHICHI 20401:55Punt
21DALDAL 37201:22End of game

11 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 95 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Fields17/23151204-4.9
Trevor Siemian1/15000-0.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Khalil Herbert16996.211.2
Justin Fields8607.515.7
David Montgomery15533.503.0
Velus Jones23316.503.1
Trestan Ebner2-5-2.50-1.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darnell Mooney5570022%5.4
N'Keal Harry222419%3.2
David Montgomery3322013%-6.3
Dante Pettis4518022%-4.3
Cole Kmet221119%1.4
Equanimeous St. Brown136013%-1.2
Velus Jones135013%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Eddie Jackson740.011
Jaquan Brisker721.000
Kindle Vildor410.000
Roquan Smith410.000
Nicholas Morrow400.000
Armon Watts210.000
Jaylon Jones110.000
Justin Jones200.000
Kyler Gordon200.000
Jaylon Johnson100.001

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott21/2725021114.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard141319.438.0
Dak Prescott5346.813.8
Malik Davis8232.90-2.2
Kavontae Turpin11111.000.7
CeeDee Lamb111.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb5777127%4.1
Dalton Schultz6774027%4.9
Michael Gallup4649023%2.1
Malik Davis221808%3.1
Tony Pollard111604%1.0
Peyton Hendershot221508%0.8
Jake Ferguson11114%0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Leighton Vander Esch440.000
Donovan Wilson710.000
Trevon Diggs620.001
Jayron Kearse621.000
Damone Clark140.000
Micah Parsons220.000
Dante Fowler401.001
Carlos Watkins120.000
Israel Mukuamu300.000
Osa Odighizuwa121.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -10.5
Closing total
43
CHI moneyline
+355
DAL moneyline
-430

Cowboys closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 43; the game landed 78 — over by 35.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
open · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
CHI 6 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs Mike McCarthy