2022 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 30, 2022 · Wembley Stadium
Denver BroncosWinner
21
Jacksonville Jaguars
17
Denver Broncos 21–17. Biggest swing: Q4 1:43, DEN +19% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(1:43) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 21-K.Williams at JAX 35. 21-K.Williams to JAX 35 for no gain (13-C.Kirk).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 1:43DEN +19% win prob(1:43) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 21-K.Williams at JAX 35. 21-K.Williams to JAX 35 for no gain (13-C.Kirk).
- Q4 · 3:49JAX +18% win prob(3:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 1-K.Hamler to JAX 33 for 47 yards (37-T.Herndon).
- Q4 · 7:06JAX +15% win prob(7:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk to DEN 22 for 25 yards (2-P.Surtain).
- Q3 · 6:24JAX +15% win prob(6:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 80-G.Dulcich to JAX 1 for 38 yards (37-T.Herndon, 2-R.Jenkins).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 7:46JAX Touchdown
(7:46) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 17-E.Engram for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 0 — JAX 7 - Q2 · 8:46JAX Field goal
(8:46) 10-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Score after this play: DEN 0 — JAX 10 - Q2 · 2:50DEN Touchdown
(2:50) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 10-J.Jeudy for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 7 — JAX 10 - Q3 · 5:10DEN Touchdown
(5:10) 60-L.Wattenberg reported in as eligible. 25-M.Gordon left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 14 — JAX 10 - Q4 · 3:57JAX Touchdown
(3:57) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 14 — JAX 17 - Q4 · 1:47DEN Touchdown
(1:47) 28-L.Murray up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 21 — JAX 17
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Broncos | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 60 | 65 |
| Total yards | 331 (edge) | 305 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 (edge) | 4.7 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.02 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Success rate | 45% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 57% | 54% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | -0.42 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | 0.28 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/11 | 4/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.10.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DEN
18/30, 252 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
2.7 expected points added · +3.5% completion over expected
Passing · JAX
18/31, 133 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-13.9 expected points added · -8.5% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 22 | 5 | -3 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 27 | 5 | 9 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 17 | 2 | 2 | 0:32 | Interception | |
| 4 | JAX | DEN 37 | 6 | 47 | 2:56 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 25 | 6 | 22 | 2:36 | Punt | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 19 | 13 | 44 | 7:22 | Interception | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | 9 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 27 | 6 | 54 | 2:09 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | DEN | DEN 25 | 13 | 75 | 5:59 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 33 | 9 | 24 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 11 | DEN | DEN 9 | 9 | 36 | 1:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | JAX | JAX 24 | 10 | 30 | 5:31 | Punt | |
| 13 | DEN | DEN 2 | 10 | 98 | 4:22 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | JAX | JAX 25 | 7 | 14 | 3:01 | Punt | |
| 15 | DEN | DEN 25 | 4 | -6 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 39 | 4 | 3 | 1:10 | Punt | |
| 17 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | 8 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 29 | 9 | 33 | 4:33 | Punt | |
| 19 | DEN | DEN 7 | 4 | 0 | 1:12 | Punt | |
| 20 | JAX | DEN 47 | 7 | 47 | 3:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | DEN | DEN 20 | 9 | 80 | 2:11 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 22 | JAX | JAX 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:07 | Interception | |
| 23 | DEN | JAX 35 | 4 | 10 | 1:36 | End of game |
6 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 98 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 18/30 | 252 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latavius Murray | 14 | 46 | 3.3 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Melvin Gordon | 9 | 29 | 3.2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Russell Wilson | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 0 | 1.7 |
| K.J. Hamler | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Dulcich | 4 | 5 | 87 | 0 | 19% | 5.9 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 6 | 7 | 63 | 1 | 27% | 5.3 |
| K.J. Hamler | 2 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 12% | 2.7 |
| Melvin Gordon | 3 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 15% | -1.2 |
| Latavius Murray | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | -0.3 |
| Courtland Sutton | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 15% | -3.4 |
| Montrell Washington | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josey Jewell | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kareem Jackson | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dre'Mont Jones | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonas Griffith | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Surtain | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathon Cooper | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damarri Mathis | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Simmons | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Henningsen | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 18/31 | 133 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -13.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 24 | 156 | 6.5 | 1 | 9.7 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Jamycal Hasty | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Zay Jones | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 4 | 6 | 55 | 1 | 21% | 3.9 |
| Christian Kirk | 3 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 25% | -2.6 |
| Zay Jones | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 11% | 2.6 |
| Dan Arnold | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | 0.6 |
| Travis Etienne | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -0.6 |
| Marvin Jones | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -9.2 |
| Chris Manhertz | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
| Jamycal Hasty | 3 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 14% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayshawn Jenkins | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folorunso Fatukasi | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyson Campbell | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Travon Walker | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Foyesade Oluokun | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Herndon | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davon Hamilton | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darious Williams | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Andre Cisco | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dawuane Smoot | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- JAX -1
- Closing total
- 41
- DEN moneyline
- -103
- JAX moneyline
- -107
Jaguars closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41; the game landed 38 — under by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Wembley Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- DEN 7 days · JAX 7 days
- Coaches
- Nathaniel Hackett vs Doug Pederson