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2022 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 30, 2022 · Ford Field

Miami DolphinsWinner

31

Detroit Lions

27

MIA -3.5 ✓O 52 ✓Dome

Miami Dolphins 31–27. Biggest swing: Q2 11:35, DET +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑MIA ↓
Q2 · 11:35MIA 13 — DET 21MIA ball · 3rd & 6DET 68%

(11:35) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 17-J.Waddle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 11:35DET +13% win prob(11:35) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 17-J.Waddle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q3 · 0:17DET +12% win prob(:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-74-L.Eichenberg was injured during the play. He is Out.
  3. Q1 · 6:57DET +11% win prob(6:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 88-T.Hockenson to MIA 12 for 58 yards (32-V.McKinley).
  4. Q3 · 3:50DET +10% win prob(3:50) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa scrambles up the middle to DET 29 for 18 yards (1-J.Okudah).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 13:03DET Touchdown

    (13:03) 30-Ja.Williams up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 0 — DET 7
  2. Q1 · 5:40DET Touchdown

    (5:40) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 32-D.Swift for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 0 — DET 14
  3. Q1 · 0:55MIA Touchdown

    (:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 17-J.Waddle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 7 — DET 14
  4. Q2 · 13:49DET Touchdown

    (13:49) 30-Ja.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-94-C.Wilkins, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 7 — DET 21
  5. Q2 · 11:35MIA Touchdown

    (11:35) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 17-J.Waddle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 14 — DET 21
  6. Q2 · 7:07DET Field goal

    (7:07) 17-M.Badgley 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: MIA 14 — DET 24
  7. Q2 · 2:10MIA Field goal

    (2:10) 7-J.Sanders 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: MIA 17 — DET 24
  8. Q2 · 0:03DET Field goal

    (:03) 17-M.Badgley 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: MIA 17 — DET 27
  9. Q3 · 9:14MIA Touchdown

    (9:14) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 30-A.Ingold. 30-A.Ingold up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-24-A.Oruwariye, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 24 — DET 27
  10. Q3 · 0:17MIA Touchdown

    (:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-74-L.Eichenberg was injured during the play. He is Out. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIA 31 — DET 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricDolphinsLions
Offensive plays6157
Total yards478 (edge)393
Yards per play7.8 (edge)6.9
Expected points added / play0.35 (edge)0.19
Success rate51%54% (edge)
Dropback rate66%68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.53 (edge)0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.000.14 (edge)
Third downs8/11 (edge)4/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps27 (edge)20
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.35 expected points added per play vs 0.19.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

29/36, 382 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

25.1 expected points added · +19.9% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

27/37, 321 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.7 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Raheem MostertRB

14 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jamaal WilliamsRB

10 att, 53 yds, 2 TD

3.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Tyreek HillWR

12/14 for 188 yds, 0 TD

41% of team targets · 9.2 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Jaylen WaddleWR

8/9 for 106 yds, 2 TD

26% of team targets · 13.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 257602:01Touchdown +7
2MIAMIA 259534:52Fumble
3DETDET 227782:31Touchdown +7
4MIAMIA 2011854:46Touchdown +7
5DETDET 258752:04Touchdown +7
6MIAMIA 256752:16Touchdown +7
7DETDET 2512514:28Field goal +3
8MIAMIA 2512534:56Field goal +3
9DETDET 2512622:06Field goal +3
10MIAMIA 2511755:49Touchdown +7
11DETDET 257183:55Punt
12MIAMIA 3310675:04Touchdown +7
13DETDET 16713:06Punt
14MIAMIA 247303:47Punt
15DETDET 1210485:27Turnover on downs
16MIAMIA 369402:52End of game

10 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 85 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tua Tagovailoa29/3638230225.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Raheem Mostert14644.60-0.1
Tua Tagovailoa5193.80-0.6
Chase Edmonds4143.50-0.7
Tyreek Hill177.000.9
Salvon Ahmed122.00-0.6
Alec Ingold111.010.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyreek Hill1214188041%9.2
Jaylen Waddle89106226%13.0
Mike Gesicki3438112%3.6
Trent Sherfield222506%4.9
Braylon Sanders221706%-5.4
Alec Ingold11503%-0.0
Raheem Mostert11303%-0.3
Cedrick Wilson01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jevon Holland820.001
Elandon Roberts440.000
Kader Kohou510.000
Zach Sieler311.002
Keion Crossen120.000
Jerome Baker300.000
Raekwon Davis210.000
Duke Riley120.000
Jaelan Phillips200.000
Xavien Howard200.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff27/373211018.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jamaal Williams10535.323.2
C.J. Moore11313.002.3
Craig Reynolds273.50-0.4
D'Andre Swift561.20-2.6
Jared Goff133.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
T.J. Hockenson3480011%4.2
Kalif Raymond3476011%4.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown71069027%4.5
D'Andre Swift5527114%0.5
Jamaal Williams332308%2.1
James Mitchell111403%0.7
Josh Reynolds2614016%-4.3
Maurice Alexander11703%-0.7
Brock Wright11603%0.0
Jared Goff11503%-0.1
Craig Reynolds01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Amani Oruwariye620.000
Malcolm Rodriguez521.001
Kerby Joseph510.000
Will Harris510.000
Juju Hughes511.000
Jeff Okudah500.000
Derrick Barnes220.000
Alex Anzalone130.000
A.J. Parker200.000
Julian Okwara100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -3.5
Closing total
52
MIA moneyline
-190
DET moneyline
+169

Dolphins closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 4.

Total closed 52; the game landed 58 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
MIA 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches
Mike McDaniel vs Dan Campbell