2022 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 6, 2022 · Ford Field
Green Bay Packers
9
Detroit LionsWinner
15
Detroit Lions 15–9. Biggest swing: Q4 1:09, DET +29% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(1:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-S.Toure to DET 17 for 32 yards (1-J.Okudah). FUMBLES (1-J.Okudah), touched at DET 17, ball out of bounds at DET 17.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 1:09DET +29% win prob(1:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 83-S.Toure to DET 17 for 32 yards (1-J.Okudah). FUMBLES (1-J.Okudah), touched at DET 17, ball out of bounds at DET 17.
- Q4 · 0:42GB +27% win prob(:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep left to 11-S.Watkins.
- Q1 · 4:25GB +18% win prob(4:25) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 13-A.Lazard INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Joseph (55-D.Barnes) at DET -5. Touchback.
- Q3 · 10:20GB +17% win prob(10:20) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 16-J.Goff pass deep left intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Alexander at GB 48. 23-J.Alexander pushed ob at DET 23 for 29 yards (70-D.Skipper).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q2 · 0:20DET Touchdown
(:20) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 84-S.Zylstra for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: GB 0 — DET 8 - Q3 · 5:00GB Touchdown
(5:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 13-A.Lazard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-J.Paschal].
Score after this play: GB 6 — DET 8 - Q4 · 14:56DET Touchdown
(14:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 82-J.Mitchell for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 6 — DET 15 - Q4 · 6:39GB Field goal
(6:39) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
Score after this play: GB 9 — DET 15
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 57 |
| Total yards | 390 (edge) | 257 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 (edge) | 4.5 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.12 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Success rate | 41% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 70% | 46% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 (edge) | -0.18 |
| Third downs | 8/15 | 6/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Packers outgained Lions 390–257 but lost the turnover battle 3–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · GB
23/43, 291 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
-13.5 expected points added · -4.7% completion over expected
Passing · DET
14/26, 137 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-1.5 expected points added · -17.7% completion over expected
Receiving · DET
4/9 for 55 yds, 0 TD
38% of team targets · -7.4 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 38 | 10 | 55 | 4:09 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | GB | GB 7 | 13 | 88 | 6:32 | Interception | |
| 3 | DET | DET 20 | 4 | 3 | 0:57 | Punt | |
| 4 | GB | DET 48 | 7 | 57 | 3:26 | Interception | |
| 5 | DET | DET 20 | 9 | 47 | 4:52 | Punt | |
| 6 | GB | GB 1 | 12 | 61 | 7:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DET | DET 39 | 9 | 48 | 2:20 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 8 | GB | GB 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:15 | End of half | |
| 9 | GB | GB 33 | 8 | 23 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 10 | DET | DET 13 | 3 | 7 | 1:46 | Interception | |
| 11 | GB | DET 23 | 2 | 1 | 0:51 | Interception | |
| 12 | DET | DET 12 | 4 | -2 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 13 | GB | GB 46 | 8 | 49 | 3:22 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 14 | DET | DET 30 | 15 | 70 | 5:02 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | GB | GB 25 | 15 | 71 | 8:15 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | DET | DET 23 | 10 | 29 | 4:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | GB | GB 43 | 8 | 40 | 1:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | DET | DET 17 | 1 | 0 | 0:36 | End of game |
4 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 88 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a interception.
Full stat lines
Box score
Green Bay Packers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 23/43 | 291 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 7.8 |
| A.J. Dillon | 11 | 34 | 3.1 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Aaron Jones | 9 | 25 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kylin Hill | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Lazard | 4 | 10 | 87 | 1 | 25% | -1.8 |
| Josiah Deguara | 5 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 13% | 1.7 |
| Samori Toure | 2 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 10% | 1.0 |
| Robert Tonyan | 3 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 10% | -3.1 |
| Christian Watson | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 5% | 3.8 |
| Aaron Jones | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 5% | -0.3 |
| Marcedes Lewis | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3% | 1.7 |
| Romeo Doubs | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 |
| A.J. Dillon | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 10% | -2.9 |
| Sammy Watkins | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 13% | -4.2 |
| David Bakhtiari | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -6.0 |
| Amari Rodgers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krys Barnes | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Clark | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rasul Douglas | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quay Walker | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Amos | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darnell Savage | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah McDuffie | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Lowry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaire Alexander | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rashan Gary | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Detroit Lions
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 14/26 | 137 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | 24 | 81 | 3.4 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Justin Jackson | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 0.9 |
| D'Andre Swift | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jared Goff | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 4 | 9 | 55 | 0 | 38% | -7.4 |
| D'Andre Swift | 3 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 17% | 5.7 |
| Kalif Raymond | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 13% | 1.9 |
| Tom Kennedy | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 17% | -3.6 |
| James Mitchell | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 8% | 2.8 |
| Shane Zylstra | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4% | 1.8 |
| Brock Wright | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Barnes | 2 | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kerby Joseph | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| DeShon Elliott | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Harris | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Julian Okwara | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hughes | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Cominsky | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Okudah | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Anthony Pittman | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -4
- Closing total
- 49.5
- GB moneyline
- -191
- DET moneyline
- +170
Packers closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 24 — under by 25.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Roof / surface
- dome · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Tra Blake
- Rest
- GB 7 days · DET 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Dan Campbell
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.