2022 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 6, 2022 · State Farm Stadium
Seattle SeahawksWinner
31
Arizona Cardinals
21
Seattle Seahawks 31–21. Biggest swing: Q3 9:26, SEA +29% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(9:26) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right intended for 9-K.Walker INTERCEPTED by 25-Z.Collins at SEA 30. 25-Z.Collins for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 9:26SEA +29% win prob(9:26) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right intended for 9-K.Walker INTERCEPTED by 25-Z.Collins at SEA 30. 25-Z.Collins for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 3:30ARI +12% win prob(3:30) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant to ARI 34 for 51 yards (3-B.Baker).
- Q3 · 5:38ARI +12% win prob(5:38) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 16-T.Lockett to SEA 47 for 12 yards (25-Z.Collins). PENALTY on ARI-25-Z.Collins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SEA 47.
- Q2 · 12:04ARI +11% win prob(12:04) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:55SEA Field goal
(10:55) 5-J.Myers 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 3 — ARI 0 - Q1 · 6:25ARI Touchdown
(6:25) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 3 — ARI 7 - Q2 · 12:04SEA Touchdown
(12:04) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 10 — ARI 7 - Q3 · 9:26ARI Touchdown
(9:26) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right intended for 9-K.Walker INTERCEPTED by 25-Z.Collins at SEA 30. 25-Z.Collins for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 10 — ARI 14 - Q3 · 2:48SEA Touchdown
(2:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 16-T.Lockett for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 17 — ARI 14 - Q4 · 7:35SEA Touchdown
(7:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 24 — ARI 14 - Q4 · 3:35ARI Touchdown
(3:35) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 24 — ARI 21 - Q4 · 2:20SEA Touchdown
(2:20) 9-K.Walker right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 31 — ARI 21
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 61 |
| Total yards | 423 (edge) | 262 |
| Yards per play | 6.2 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.09 (edge) | -0.15 |
| Success rate | 47% (edge) | 33% |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 72% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.04 (edge) | -0.11 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (edge) | -0.27 |
| Third downs | 10/15 (edge) | 6/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.15.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · SEA
26/34, 275 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-1.3 expected points added · +7.3% completion over expected
Passing · ARI
25/35, 175 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
-7.6 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 35 | 9 | 29 | 4:10 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | ARI | ARI 17 | 11 | 83 | 4:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 3 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 20 | 4 | 9 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 21 | 13 | 77 | 6:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 10 | 7 | 14 | 3:35 | Punt | |
| 7 | SEA | ARI 44 | 4 | 4 | 1:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 40 | 4 | 6 | 0:54 | Punt | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 21 | 5 | 31 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 3 | 11 | 66 | 2:36 | Fumble | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 23 | 3 | 52 | 0:15 | End of half | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 26 | 5 | 6 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 27 | 4 | -4 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 31 | 4 | -7 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 40 | 1 | 0 | 0:08 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 16 | SEA | SEA 25 | 15 | 70 | 6:35 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | ARI | ARI 30 | 8 | 4 | 3:25 | Punt | |
| 18 | SEA | SEA 19 | 14 | 81 | 6:46 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | ARI | ARI 25 | 16 | 81 | 4:00 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 20 | SEA | SEA 15 | 7 | 80 | 1:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | ARI | ARI 26 | 5 | 0 | 1:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | SEA | ARI 21 | 2 | 0 | 1:00 | End of game |
7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 83 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Seattle Seahawks
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 26/34 | 275 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 26 | 109 | 4.2 | 2 | 3.4 |
| Geno Smith | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Travis Homer | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fant | 5 | 6 | 96 | 0 | 19% | 7.5 |
| Tyler Lockett | 5 | 5 | 67 | 1 | 16% | 6.0 |
| DK Metcalf | 5 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 19% | 3.8 |
| Travis Homer | 3 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 9% | -1.1 |
| Will Dissly | 3 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 13% | 1.5 |
| Kenneth Walker | 3 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 13% | -8.6 |
| Colby Parkinson | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6% | -2.6 |
| D'Wayne Eskridge | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -2.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Brooks | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Jackson | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coby Bryant | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tariq Woolen | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Uchenna Nwosu | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Neal | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Barton | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Onujiogu | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce Irvin | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shelby Harris | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Arizona Cardinals
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 25/35 | 175 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 8 | 60 | 7.5 | 0 | -2.4 |
| James Conner | 7 | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Eno Benjamin | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Greg Dortch | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Keaontay Ingram | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rondale Moore | 8 | 10 | 69 | 0 | 30% | 3.7 |
| Zach Ertz | 5 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 24% | -0.3 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 4 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 15% | 1.1 |
| James Conner | 5 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 15% | -1.6 |
| Eno Benjamin | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 |
| Greg Dortch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.4 |
| Robbie Chosen | 1 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 9% | -3.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budda Baker | 7 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Simmons | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Allen | 2 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Wilson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaven Collins | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Markus Golden | 2 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner Vallejo | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Hamilton | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezekiel Turner | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Murphy | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- ARI -1.5
- Closing total
- 49.5
- SEA moneyline
- +116
- ARI moneyline
- -128
Cardinals closed -1.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 52 — over by 2.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- State Farm Stadium
- Roof / surface
- open · grass
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · ARI 7 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Kliff Kingsbury
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.