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2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · Lambeau Field

Dallas Cowboys

28

Green Bay PackersWinner

31

DAL -3.5 upsetO 44.5 ✓

Green Bay Packers 31–28 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 4:47, GB +36% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4GB ↑DAL ↓
OT · 4:47DAL 28 — GB 28GB ball · 3rd & 1DAL 53%

(4:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 13-A.Lazard to DAL 20 for 36 yards (6-D.Wilson, 1-K.Joseph).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 4:47GB +36% win prob(4:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 13-A.Lazard to DAL 20 for 36 yards (6-D.Wilson, 1-K.Joseph).
  2. Q4 · 0:02DAL +18% win prob(:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 9-K.Turpin to DAL 38 for 9 yards (58-I.McDuffie).
  3. Q2 · 2:30DAL +18% win prob(2:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle intended for 88-C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Ford at GB 42. 20-R.Ford ran ob at DAL 24 for 34 yards (89-P.Hendershot).
  4. Q4 · 0:22DAL +15% win prob(:22) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 39 yards to DAL 19, Center-56-J.Coco, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 9:57DAL Touchdown

    (9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 0
  2. Q2 · 5:02GB Touchdown

    (5:02) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 9-C.Watson for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 7
  3. Q2 · 1:48GB Touchdown

    (1:48) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 14
  4. Q2 · 0:14DAL Touchdown

    (:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 86-D.Schultz for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14 — GB 14
  5. Q3 · 7:19DAL Touchdown

    (7:19) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 21 — GB 14
  6. Q3 · 2:54DAL Touchdown

    (2:54) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 14
  7. Q4 · 13:31GB Touchdown

    (13:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 21
  8. Q4 · 2:33GB Touchdown

    (2:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 9-C.Watson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 28
  9. OT · 3:09GB Field goal

    (3:09) 2-M.Crosby 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysPackers
Offensive plays7960
Total yards421 (edge)418
Yards per play5.37.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.010.23 (edge)
Success rate46%47% (edge)
Dropback rate61%38%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.140.36 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.24 (edge)0.15
Third downs5/156/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)10 (edge)8
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)17
Sacks taken22
Turnovers21 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Packers 421–418 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

27/46, 265 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

-6.7 expected points added · -4.5% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

14/20, 224 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

6.9 expected points added · +11.0% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

24 att, 138 yds, 1 TD

5.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

22 att, 115 yds, 1 TD

1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

11/15 for 150 yds, 2 TD

34% of team targets · 5.8 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Christian WatsonWR

4/8 for 107 yds, 3 TD

42% of team targets · 9.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 39510:45Punt
2GBGB 1610334:47Missed field goal
3DALDAL 44440:57Punt
4GBGB 178405:18Punt
5DALDAL 1718888:21Touchdown +7
6GBGB 10401:37Fumble
7DALGB 103-11:18Interception
8GBGB 334672:03Touchdown +7
9DALDAL 259122:34Interception
10GBDAL 244190:38Touchdown +7
11DALDAL 3410661:34Touchdown +7
12GB—100:08End of half
13GBGB 308384:21Punt
14DALDAL 5472:10Punt
15DALGB 455451:15Touchdown +7
16GBGB 335-31:40Punt
17DALDAL 148972:47Touchdown +7
18GBGB 2411764:24Touchdown +7
19DALDAL 1210254:26Punt
20GBGB 1111896:28Touchdown +7
21DALDAL 25530:51Punt
22GBGB 33491:22Punt
23DALDAL 193190:16Turnover on downs
24DALDAL 2510553:45Turnover on downs
25GBGB 356503:09Field goal +3

9 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 97 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott27/46265322-6.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard221155.211.7
Malik Davis5387.601.1
Dak Prescott461.504.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1115150234%5.8
Dalton Schultz6854118%-0.6
Michael Gallup4735016%0.1
Tony Pollard3613014%-3.3
Kavontae Turpin11902%-0.0
Noah Brown14309%-3.2
Sean McKeon12105%-0.6
Peyton Hendershot01002%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Leighton Vander Esch430.000
Donovan Wilson420.000
Daron Bland510.000
Demarcus Lawrence421.000
Kelvin Joseph410.000
Luke Gifford320.000
Jayron Kearse320.000
Micah Parsons220.000
Malik Hooker120.000
Trevon Diggs120.000

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers14/202243026.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Aaron Jones241385.815.5
A.J. Dillon13655.000.2
Aaron Rodgers242.00-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Watson48107342%9.2
Sammy Watkins3347016%4.1
Allen Lazard3445021%1.1
Aaron Jones2218011%0.8
Robert Tonyan11805%0.5
Marcedes Lewis11-105%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Isaiah McDuffie550.000
Adrian Amos811.000
Jaire Alexander620.001
Quay Walker440.001
Darnell Savage520.001
Dean Lowry130.000
Rudy Ford400.022
Kingsley Enagbare220.000
Kenny Clark121.000
Jarran Reed110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -3.5
Closing total
44.5
DAL moneyline
-199
GB moneyline
+177

Cowboys closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 59 — over by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
33°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
DAL 14 days · GB 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Matt LaFleur