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2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · Lambeau Field
28
31
Green Bay Packers 31–28 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 4:47, GB +36% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 13-A.Lazard to DAL 20 for 36 yards (6-D.Wilson, 1-K.Joseph).
How the points landed
(9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 0(5:02) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 9-C.Watson for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 7(1:48) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 7 — GB 14(:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 86-D.Schultz for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 14 — GB 14(7:19) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 21 — GB 14(2:54) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 14(13:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 21(2:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 9-C.Watson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 28(3:09) 2-M.Crosby 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
Score after this play: DAL 28 — GB 31Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cowboys | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 79 | 60 |
| Total yards | 421 (edge) | 418 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 7.0 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.01 | 0.23 (edge) |
| Success rate | 46% | 47% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 61% | 38% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.14 | 0.36 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.24 (edge) | 0.15 |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 6/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Cowboys outgained Packers 421–418 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DAL
27/46, 265 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
-6.7 expected points added · -4.5% completion over expected
Passing · GB
14/20, 224 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
6.9 expected points added · +11.0% completion over expected
Receiving · GB
4/8 for 107 yds, 3 TD
42% of team targets · 9.2 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | DAL 39 | 5 | 1 | 0:45 | Punt | |
| 2 | GB | GB 16 | 10 | 33 | 4:47 | Missed field goal | |
| 3 | DAL | DAL 44 | 4 | 4 | 0:57 | Punt | |
| 4 | GB | GB 17 | 8 | 40 | 5:18 | Punt | |
| 5 | DAL | DAL 17 | 18 | 88 | 8:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | GB | GB 10 | 4 | 0 | 1:37 | Fumble | |
| 7 | DAL | GB 10 | 3 | -1 | 1:18 | Interception | |
| 8 | GB | GB 33 | 4 | 67 | 2:03 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | DAL | DAL 25 | 9 | 12 | 2:34 | Interception | |
| 10 | GB | DAL 24 | 4 | 19 | 0:38 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | DAL | DAL 34 | 10 | 66 | 1:34 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | GB | — | 1 | 0 | 0:08 | End of half | |
| 13 | GB | GB 30 | 8 | 38 | 4:21 | Punt | |
| 14 | DAL | DAL 5 | 4 | 7 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 15 | DAL | GB 45 | 5 | 45 | 1:15 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | GB | GB 33 | 5 | -3 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 17 | DAL | DAL 14 | 8 | 97 | 2:47 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | GB | GB 24 | 11 | 76 | 4:24 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | DAL | DAL 12 | 10 | 25 | 4:26 | Punt | |
| 20 | GB | GB 11 | 11 | 89 | 6:28 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | DAL | DAL 25 | 5 | 3 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 22 | GB | GB 33 | 4 | 9 | 1:22 | Punt | |
| 23 | DAL | DAL 19 | 3 | 19 | 0:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | DAL | DAL 25 | 10 | 55 | 3:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | GB | GB 35 | 6 | 50 | 3:09 | Field goal +3 |
9 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 97 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 27/46 | 265 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 22 | 115 | 5.2 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Malik Davis | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Dak Prescott | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 11 | 15 | 150 | 2 | 34% | 5.8 |
| Dalton Schultz | 6 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 18% | -0.6 |
| Michael Gallup | 4 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Vander Esch | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovan Wilson | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Bland | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demarcus Lawrence |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 14/20 | 224 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 24 | 138 | 5.8 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Cowboys closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 59 — over by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
| 0.1 |
| Tony Pollard | 3 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 14% | -3.3 |
| Kavontae Turpin | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2% | -0.0 |
| Noah Brown | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9% | -3.2 |
| Sean McKeon | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| Peyton Hendershot | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.2 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kelvin Joseph | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Gifford | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayron Kearse | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Parsons | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Hooker | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Diggs | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.5 |
| A.J. Dillon | 13 | 65 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 4 | 8 | 107 | 3 | 42% | 9.2 |
| Sammy Watkins | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 16% | 4.1 |
| Allen Lazard | 3 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 21% | 1.1 |
| Aaron Jones | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 11% | 0.8 |
| Robert Tonyan | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5% | 0.5 |
| Marcedes Lewis | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 5% | -0.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McDuffie | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Amos | 8 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaire Alexander | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay Walker | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Darnell Savage | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dean Lowry | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rudy Ford | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kingsley Enagbare | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Clark | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarran Reed | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
