2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · Nissan Stadium
Denver Broncos
10
Tennessee TitansWinner
17
Tennessee Titans 17–10. Biggest swing: Q3 5:25, TEN +19% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:25) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 5:25TEN +19% win prob(5:25) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 8:30TEN +17% win prob(8:30) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 15-J.Virgil for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 7:39DEN +15% win prob(7:39) (Shotgun) 7-M.Willis to DEN 38 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by DEN-98-M.Purcell at DEN 38.
- Q4 · 4:07TEN +11% win prob(4:07) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 85-C.Okonkwo to DEN 20 for 41 yards (2-P.Surtain).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q2 · 8:30DEN Touchdown
(8:30) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 15-J.Virgil for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 7 — TEN 0 - Q2 · 2:27DEN Field goal
(2:27) 8-B.McManus 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
Score after this play: DEN 10 — TEN 0 - Q2 · 0:16TEN Touchdown
(:16) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 10 — TEN 7 - Q3 · 5:25TEN Touchdown
(5:25) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DEN 10 — TEN 14 - Q4 · 3:02TEN Field goal
(3:02) 14-R.Bullock 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: DEN 10 — TEN 17
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Broncos | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 72 | 60 |
| Total yards | 314 (edge) | 307 |
| Yards per play | 4.4 | 5.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.13 | -0.08 (edge) |
| Success rate | 33% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 68% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.09 | 0.16 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.20 (edge) | -0.50 |
| Third downs | 4/17 | 6/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 (edge) | 13 |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.13.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DEN
21/42, 286 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-6.3 expected points added · -10.0% completion over expected
Passing · TEN
19/36, 255 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
4.8 expected points added · -15.7% completion over expected
Receiving · TEN
5/8 for 119 yds, 2 TD
22% of team targets · 8.9 expected points added
Receiving · DEN
6/11 for 66 yds, 0 TD
28% of team targets · -0.3 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 2 | DEN | DEN 4 | 7 | 35 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 3 | TEN | TEN 25 | 7 | 13 | 3:10 | Punt | |
| 4 | DEN | DEN 21 | 4 | 7 | 1:15 | Punt | |
| 5 | TEN | TEN 28 | 5 | 28 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 6 | 8 | 18 | 4:09 | Punt | |
| 7 | TEN | TEN 42 | 4 | 8 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 8 | DEN | DEN 8 | 7 | 37 | 2:35 | Punt | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 20 | 4 | 6 | 1:07 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 20 | 7 | 85 | 3:00 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 29 | 5 | -11 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 38 | 9 | 26 | 3:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 25 | 15 | 70 | 2:11 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 26 | 2 | 0 | 0:12 | End of half | |
| 15 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 30 | 4 | 19 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 17 | DEN | DEN 20 | 7 | 32 | 4:33 | Punt | |
| 18 | TEN | TEN 20 | 4 | 80 | 1:39 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 12 | 4:24 | Punt | |
| 20 | TEN | TEN 20 | 4 | 3 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 21 | DEN | DEN 18 | 6 | 2 | 3:30 | Punt | |
| 22 | TEN | TEN 42 | 6 | 25 | 3:45 | Fumble | |
| 23 | DEN | DEN 38 | 4 | 9 | 0:43 | Punt | |
| 24 | TEN | TEN 20 | 10 | 63 | 3:52 | Field goal +3 | |
| 25 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 46 | 2:48 | Interception | |
| 26 | TEN | TEN 1 | 1 | 1 | 0:11 | End of game |
5 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 85 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 21/42 | 286 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -6.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Gordon | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Latavius Murray | 9 | 24 | 2.7 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Chase Edmonds | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Russell Wilson | 7 | 8 | 1.1 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 6 | 11 | 66 | 0 | 28% | -0.3 |
| Jalen Virgil | 1 | 1 | 66 | 1 | 3% | 6.6 |
| Kendall Hinton | 4 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 13% | 4.4 |
| Melvin Gordon | 4 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 15% | 2.4 |
| Latavius Murray | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 8% | 0.5 |
| Eric Saubert | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | -0.2 |
| Greg Dulcich | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 10% | -2.1 |
| Chase Edmonds | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -1.1 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Tyrie Cleveland | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -2.1 |
| Montrell Washington | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.4 |
| Eric Tomlinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josey Jewell | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Singleton | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Essang Bassey | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kareem Jackson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Purcell | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Harris | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| P.J. Locke | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick Surtain | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathon Cooper | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nik Bonitto | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Tennessee Titans
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tannehill | 19/36 | 255 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 19 | 53 | 2.8 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Ryan Tannehill | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Malik Willis | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | 0 | -4.9 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 5 | 8 | 119 | 2 | 22% | 8.9 |
| Austin Hooper | 5 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 19% | 2.4 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 1 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 6% | 3.1 |
| Treylon Burks | 3 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 17% | -1.2 |
| Derrick Henry | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 8% | 0.2 |
| Robert Woods | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 19% | -4.1 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6% | -0.8 |
| Geoff Swaim | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Mitchell | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| David Long Jr. | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Monty Rice | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roger McCreary | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Adams | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Edwards | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Cole | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMarcus Walker | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Teair Tart | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Molden | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TEN -2.5
- Closing total
- 40
- DEN moneyline
- +122
- TEN moneyline
- -135
Titans closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 40; the game landed 27 — under by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Nissan Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 36°F, wind 9 mph
- Referee
- Scott Novak
- Rest
- DEN 14 days · TEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Nathaniel Hackett vs Mike Vrabel