2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Houston Texans

New York GiantsWinner

NYG -5.5 ✓U 41.5 ✓15 mph windGiants closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 8.

New York Giants 24–16. Biggest swing: Q3 12:46, NYG +13% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 12:46HOU 3 — NYG 13NYG ball · 3rd & 9NYG 78%

(12:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 86-D.Slayton for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-M.Addison].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 12:46NYG +13% win prob(12:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 86-D.Slayton for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-M.Addison].
Q4 · 14:17HOU +9% win prob(14:17) 31-D.Pierce left tackle to NYG 8 for 2 yards (99-L.Williams, 5-K.Thibodeaux). FUMBLES (99-L.Williams), touched at NYG 7, RECOVERED by NYG-54-J.Smith at NYG 7. 54-J.Smith to NYG 11 for 4 yards (60-A.Cann). Penalty on HOU-59-K.Green, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 14:04HOU +8% win prob(14:04) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills sacked at HOU 25 for -12 yards (sack split by 27-J.Pinnock and 97-D.Lawrence).
Q3 · 8:12NYG +8% win prob(8:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short left to 12-N.Collins for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 7:57NYG Touchdown
(7:57) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 83-L.Cager for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 0 — NYG 7
Q2 · 11:32HOU Field goal
(11:32) 7-K.Fairbairn 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
Score after this play: HOU 3 — NYG 7
Q3 · 12:46NYG Touchdown
(12:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 86-D.Slayton for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-M.Addison]. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 3 — NYG 14
Q3 · 8:12HOU Touchdown
(8:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short left to 12-N.Collins for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 10 — NYG 14
Q3 · 2:25NYG Touchdown
(2:25) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 10 — NYG 21
Q4 · 2:26HOU Field goal
(2:26) 7-K.Fairbairn 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
Score after this play: HOU 13 — NYG 21
Q4 · 2:00NYG Field goal
(2:00) 9-G.Gano 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: HOU 13 — NYG 24
Q4 · 0:11HOU Field goal
(:11) 7-K.Fairbairn 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
Score after this play: HOU 16 — NYG 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Texans	Giants
Offensive plays	60	66
Total yards	387 (edge)	368
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	5.6
Expected points added / play	0.01	0.14 (edge)
Success rate	45% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	68%	35%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13	0.56 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24	-0.08 (edge)
Third downs	3/10	7/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8	8
First downs gained on snaps	21 (edge)	18
Sacks taken	4	3 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Texans outgained Giants 387–368 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

Davis MillsQB

22/37, 319 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

5.2 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

13/17, 197 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

11.9 expected points added · +3.8% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

35 att, 152 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Dameon PierceRB

17 att, 94 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

3/4 for 95 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 8.4 expected points added

Receiving · HOU

Jordan AkinsTE

3/3 for 72 yds, 0 TD

8% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	HOU	HOU 38	5	-13	1:47	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 32	11	73	5:22	Touchdown +7
3	HOU	HOU 25	5	6	1:37	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 24	4	6	1:19	Punt
5	HOU	HOU 20	4	4	1:29	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 30	8	34	3:33	Punt
7	HOU	HOU 20	7	61	3:26	Field goal +3
8	NYG	NYG 25	10	35	5:28	Punt
9	HOU	HOU 26	7	14	3:49	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 3	6	19	1:11	Punt
11	HOU	HOU 33	6	14	0:36	Punt
12	NYG	NYG 17	3	15	0:23	End of half
13	NYG	NYG 25	7	75	2:27	Touchdown +7
14	HOU	HOU 25	9	72	4:27	Touchdown +7
15	NYG	NYG 26	14	74	5:45	Touchdown +7
16	HOU	HOU 25	9	67	3:12	Fumble
17	NYG	NYG 11	4	9	2:09	Punt
18	HOU	HOU 48	4	38	2:11	Interception
19	NYG	NYG 20	8	20	5:09	Punt
20	HOU	HOU 8	12	76	2:18	Field goal +3
21	NYG	HOU 39	5	8	0:27	Field goal +3
22	HOU	HOU 25	6	48	1:48	Field goal +3
23	NYG	HOU 48	2	0	0:07	End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 76 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Davis Mills	22/37	319	1	1	4	5.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Dameon Pierce	17	94	5.5	-3.5
Brandin Cooks	1	5	5.0	0.0
Rex Burkhead	1	2	2.0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jordan Akins	3	3	72	0	8%	6.6
Chris Moore	3	6	70	0	16%	1.6
Nico Collins	5	10	49	1	27%	0.4
Brandin Cooks	4	7	37	0	19%	0.4
Dameon Pierce	2	3	28	0	8%	2.4
Rex Burkhead	2	2	28	0	5%	1.3
Phillip Dorsett	2	4	22	0	11%	-3.7
Dare Ogunbowale	1	1	13	0	3%	2.4
O.J. Howard	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jonathan Owens	6	2	0.0	0
Christian Harris	3	5	0.0	1
Christian Kirksey	3	5	0.5	0
Jalen Pitre	2	4	0.0	0
Rasheem Green	3	2	0.0	0
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	3	1	0.0	0
Jerry Hughes	4	0	1.0	0
Eric Murray	2	2	0.0	0
Maliek Collins	1	2	0.5	0
Desmond King	1	1	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	13/17	197	2	0	3	11.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	35	152	4.3	1	-1.2
Daniel Jones	5	24	4.8	0	0.8
Matt Breida	6	20	3.3	0	-1.3
Wan'Dale Robinson	1	-5	-5.0	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	3	4	95	1	24%	8.4
Isaiah Hodgins	2	2	41	0	12%	4.4
Tanner Hudson	3	3	24	0	18%	-0.4
Wan'Dale Robinson	2	2	20	0	12%	3.1
Lawrence Cager	2	2	9	1	12%	1.4
Saquon Barkley	1	1	8	0	6%	0.4
Chris Myarick	0	1	0	0	6%	-0.5
Kenny Golladay	0	2	0	0	12%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Julian Love	4	3	0.0	0	0
Leonard Williams	3	4	0.5	0	0
Adoree' Jackson	4	2	0.0	0	2
Dexter Lawrence	1	4	1.0	0	1
Fabian Moreau	5	0	0.0	0	1
Jason Pinnock	3	1	1.5	0	0
Dane Belton	2	2	0.0	1	1
Darnay Holmes	3	0	0.0	0	0
Kayvon Thibodeaux	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jaylon Smith	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NYG -5.5
Closing total: 41.5
HOU moneyline: +195
NYG moneyline: -221

Giants closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 40 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 50°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: HOU 10 days · NYG 14 days
Coaches: Lovie Smith vs Brian Daboll

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.