Vikings 33 – Bills 30 (2022 Week 10) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Vikings 33 – Bills 30 (2022 Week 10) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:19MIN Touchdown
(10:19) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 18-J.Jefferson for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 7 — BUF 0
Q1 · 8:14BUF Touchdown
(8:14) (Shotgun) 68-B.Hart reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 7 — BUF 7
Q1 · 1:08BUF Touchdown
(1:08) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 7 — BUF 14
Q2 · 12:57BUF Field goal
(12:57) 2-T.Bass 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: MIN 7 — BUF 17
Q2 · 7:15MIN Field goal
(7:15) 1-G.Joseph 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
Score after this play: MIN 10 — BUF 17
Q2 · 0:33BUF Touchdown
(:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 13-G.Davis for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front corner of end zone. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 10 — BUF 24
Q3 · 1:56BUF Field goal
(1:56) 2-T.Bass 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: MIN 10 — BUF 27
Q3 · 1:46MIN Touchdown
(1:46) 4-D.Cook left tackle for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 17 — BUF 27
Q4 · 4:38MIN Touchdown
(4:38) 30-C.Ham left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: MIN 23 — BUF 27
Q4 · 0:49MIN Touchdown
(:49) 68-B.Hart reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 1, RECOVERED by MIN-54-E.Kendricks at BUF 0. TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 30 — BUF 27
Q4 · 0:05BUF Field goal
(:05) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: MIN 30 — BUF 30
OT · 3:45MIN Field goal
(3:45) 1-G.Joseph 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
Score after this play: MIN 33 — BUF 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Bills
Offensive plays	78	72
Total yards	482	486 (edge)
Yards per play	6.2	6.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.07 (edge)	-0.06
Success rate	45%	54% (edge)
Dropback rate	72%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.10	0.18 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.01 (edge)	-0.59
Third downs	7/17	7/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	10
First downs gained on snaps	22	27 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	2 (edge)	4

Bills outgained Vikings 486–482 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	BUF	BUF 24	5	2	1:53	Punt
2	MIN	MIN 26	7	74	2:54	Touchdown +7
3	BUF	MIN 47	6	32	2:03	Touchdown +7
4	MIN	MIN 25	5	14	1:57	Punt
5	BUF	BUF 30	11	70	5:09	Touchdown +7
6	MIN	MIN 25	3	11	0:46	Interception
7	BUF	MIN 27	7	12	2:25	Field goal +3
8	MIN	MIN 45	13	56	5:41	Field goal +3
9	BUF	BUF 10	8	63	3:57	Fumble
10	MIN	BUF 37	4	9	1:25	Turnover on downs
11	BUF	BUF 29	6	71	1:22	Touchdown +7
12	MIN	MIN 25	5	2	0:28	Punt
13	MIN	MIN 22	7	42	2:38	Interception
14	BUF	BUF 42	4	6	2:04	Punt
15	MIN	MIN 23	7	19	4:06	Punt
16	BUF	BUF 27	8	46	4:21	Field goal +3
17	MIN	MIN 19	3	81	0:17	Touchdown +7
18	BUF	BUF 26	14	77	6:07	Interception
19	MIN	MIN 34	14	66	5:53	Touchdown +6
20	BUF	BUF 28	5	0	1:08	Punt
21	MIN	MIN 24	12	60	2:37	Turnover on downs
22	BUF	BUF 1	1	0	0:08	Defensive touchdown
23	BUF	BUF 20	6	55	0:39	Field goal +3
24	MIN	MIN 25	2	0	0:02	Turnover on downs
25	MIN	MIN 25	13	48	6:18	Field goal +3
26	BUF	BUF 28	7	52	2:30	Interception

11 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 81 scrimmage yards over 3 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	30/50	357	1	2	4	4.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Dalvin Cook	14	119	8.5	1	2.9
Kirk Cousins	6	12	2.0	0	-5.4
Alexander Mattison	3	11	3.7	0	-0.3
C.J. Ham	1	3	3.0	1	1.6
K.J. Osborn	1	2	2.0	0	1.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Justin Jefferson	10	16	193	1	32%	10.5
Adam Thielen	5	7	49	0	14%	4.1
T.J. Hockenson	7	10	45	0	20%

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Chandon Sullivan	6	3	0.0	0	2
Eric Kendricks	6	3	0.0	0	0
Akayleb Evans	5	1	0.0	0	0
Harrison Smith

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Josh Allen	29/43	330	1	2	2	2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Josh Allen	6	84	14.0	0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Stefon Diggs	12	16	128	0	39%	7.5
Gabe Davis	6	10	93	1	24%	1.9
Dawson Knox	4	6	57	0	15%	-2.4
Isaiah McKenzie	4	4	37	0	10%	3.3
Nyheim Miller-Hines	1	1	9	0	2%	0.8
Khalil Shakir	1	2	6	0	5%	-0.9
Devin Singletary	1	2	0	0	5%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Damar Hamlin	9	1	0.0	0	0
Cameron Lewis	7	2	0.0	0	0
Christian Benford	5	2	0.0	1	3
Matt Milano	3	3	0.0	0	0
Dane Jackson	4	0	0.0	1	2
Taron Johnson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Tremaine Edmunds	1	2	0.0	0	2
A.J. Epenesa	3	0	1.0	0	2
DaQuan Jones	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jordan Phillips	2	1	0.0	0	0

Minnesota VikingsWinner

Buffalo Bills

Win probability

Highest-leverage plays

Scoring summary

Situational splits

Top performers

Drive chart

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Rushing

Betting context

Game environment

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)