For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · Allianz Arena

Seattle Seahawks

16

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

21

TB -2.5 ✓U 45 ✓

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21–16. Biggest swing: Q2 13:48, TB +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3TB ↑SEA ↓
Q2 · 13:48SEA 0 — TB 6TB ball · 3rd & 10TB 58%

(13:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 6-J.Jones for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 13:48TB +12% win prob(13:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 6-J.Jones for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q3 · 2:36SEA +10% win prob(2:36) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at TB 13 for -4 yards (45-D.White). FUMBLES (45-D.White) [45-D.White], RECOVERED by TB-98-A.Nelson at TB 13.
  3. Q4 · 4:04TB +10% win prob(4:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 11-M.Goodwin for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN [45-D.White].
  4. Q1 · 12:00SEA +8% win prob(12:00) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at SEA 18 for -17 yards (9-J.Tryon).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 13:48TB Touchdown

    (13:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 6-J.Jones for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — TB 7
  2. Q2 · 4:33TB Touchdown

    (4:33) (No Huddle) 7-L.Fournette right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — TB 14
  3. Q3 · 12:10SEA Field goal

    (12:10) 5-J.Myers 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — TB 14
  4. Q4 · 10:53TB Touchdown

    (10:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 14-C.Godwin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — TB 21
  5. Q4 · 8:24SEA Touchdown

    (8:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 16-T.Lockett for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: SEA 9 — TB 21
  6. Q4 · 4:04SEA Touchdown

    (4:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 11-M.Goodwin for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN [45-D.White]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 16 — TB 21

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksBuccaneers
Offensive plays5168
Total yards283422 (edge)
Yards per play5.56.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.010.17 (edge)
Success rate53% (edge)49%
Dropback rate80%44%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.140.35 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.520.02 (edge)
Third downs1/910/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)29 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1825 (edge)
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Buccaneers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs 0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

23/33, 275 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

3.9 expected points added · +5.5% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Tom BradyQB

22/29, 258 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

15.3 expected points added · +10.4% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Rachaad WhiteRB

22 att, 105 yds, 0 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TB

Leonard FournetteRB

14 att, 57 yds, 1 TD

1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

6/9 for 71 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Receiving · TB

Chris GodwinWR

6/8 for 71 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TBTB 16500:58Punt
2SEASEA 255-22:57Punt
3TBTB 416352:12Missed field goal
4SEASEA 426323:41Punt
5TBTB 1214886:32Touchdown +7
6SEASEA 27581:35Punt
7TBTB 1414837:34Touchdown +7
8SEASEA 217121:38Punt
9TBTB 4431:04Punt
10SEASEA 30471:21Punt
11TBTB 2300:28End of half
12SEASEA 259532:55Field goal +3
13TBTB 2910495:32Interception
14SEASEA 1610564:04Fumble
15TBTB 1312876:41Touchdown +7
16SEASEA 237722:28Touchdown +6
17TBTB 236131:56Interception
18SEATB 459452:26Touchdown +7
19TBTB 1710643:58End of game

6 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 88 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith23/332752033.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Geno Smith4225.501.8
Kenneth Walker10171.70-5.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DK Metcalf6971027%1.1
Kenneth Walker6855024%1.8
Tyler Lockett3542115%4.5
Marquise Goodwin223816%4.7
Noah Fant3434012%0.6
Will Dissly222806%2.0
Colby Parkinson13709%-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordyn Brooks950.001
Cody Barton720.011
Quandre Diggs610.000
Ryan Neal420.000
Michael Jackson310.001
Coby Bryant310.000
Bruce Irvin310.000
Tariq Woolen300.011
Shelby Harris210.000
Poona Ford110.000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tom Brady22/2925821015.3
Leonard Fournette0/10010-4.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rachaad White221054.80-0.3
Leonard Fournette14574.111.7
Ke'Shawn Vaughn221.00-0.7
Tom Brady6-3-0.50-2.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Chris Godwin6871128%5.9
Mike Evans5654021%-0.4
Julio Jones3553117%4.4
Cade Otton3335010%2.4
Scott Miller222507%2.6
Ke'Shawn Vaughn111103%1.8
Cameron Brate12807%0.2
Leonard Fournette11103%-0.8
Tom Brady01003%-4.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin White612.000
Lavonte David340.000
Jamel Dean510.001
Antoine Winfield220.000
Mike Edwards400.000
Akiem Hicks220.000
Carlton Davis400.000
Joe Tryon201.000
Olakunle Fatukasi200.000
Sean Murphy-Bunting200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
TB -2.5
Closing total
45
SEA moneyline
+124
TB moneyline
-138

Buccaneers closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 45; the game landed 37 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allianz Arena
Roof / surface
outdoors
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
SEA 7 days · TB 7 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs Todd Bowles