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2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Chicago Bears

24

Atlanta FalconsWinner

27

ATL -3 pushO 48.5 ✓Dome

Atlanta Falcons 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 1:13, CHI +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ATL ↑CHI ↓
Q4 · 1:13CHI 24 — ATL 27CHI ball · 3rd & 5ATL 78%

(1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short middle intended for 32-D.Montgomery INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Hawkins at CHI 40. 32-J.Hawkins to CHI 40 for no gain (11-D.Mooney).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:13CHI +19% win prob(1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short middle intended for 32-D.Montgomery INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Hawkins at CHI 40. 32-J.Hawkins to CHI 40 for no gain (11-D.Mooney).
  2. Q4 · 3:30ATL +17% win prob(3:30) (Shotgun) 84-C.Patterson right guard to CHI 38 for 6 yards (57-J.Sanborn).
  3. Q2 · 7:37CHI +15% win prob(7:37) (Shotgun) 84-C.Patterson left end to ATL 38 for 17 yards (9-J.Brisker). FUMBLES (9-J.Brisker), RECOVERED by CHI-33-J.Johnson at ATL 46. 33-J.Johnson to ATL 29 for 17 yards (63-C.Lindstrom).
  4. Q2 · 1:14CHI +12% win prob(1:14) 2-C.Santos 56 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Crossbar, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:46ATL Touchdown

    (9:46) 1-M.Mariota pass short left to 5-D.London for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [57-J.Sanborn]. Penalty on CHI-9-J.Brisker, Defensive Holding, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — ATL 7
  2. Q1 · 6:08CHI Touchdown

    (6:08) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass deep left to 11-D.Mooney for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — ATL 7
  3. Q2 · 7:47CHI Field goal

    (7:47) 2-C.Santos 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — ATL 7
  4. Q2 · 4:35CHI Touchdown

    (4:35) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — ATL 7
  5. Q2 · 4:31ATL Touchdown

    2-C.Santos kicks 68 yards from CHI 35 to ATL -3. 84-C.Patterson for 103 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — ATL 14
  6. Q2 · 0:03ATL Field goal

    (:03) 7-Y.Koo 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — ATL 17
  7. Q3 · 1:53ATL Touchdown

    (1:53) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota right tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. CHI-6-K.Gordon was injured during the play. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 17 — ATL 24
  8. Q4 · 8:20CHI Touchdown

    (8:20) 32-D.Montgomery left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 24 — ATL 24
  9. Q4 · 1:52ATL Field goal

    (1:52) 7-Y.Koo 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: CHI 24 — ATL 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsFalcons
Offensive plays6648
Total yards288 (edge)283
Yards per play4.45.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.03 (edge)-0.01
Success rate44%48% (edge)
Dropback rate47%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.14 (edge)0.01
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.08-0.03 (edge)
Third downs9/16 (edge)2/7
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)45 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)16
Sacks taken40 (edge)
Turnovers11

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

14/21, 153 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.5 expected points added · +6.0% completion over expected

Passing · ATL

Marcus MariotaQB

13/20, 131 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · -0.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

18 att, 85 yds, 1 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

David MontgomeryRB

17 att, 67 yds, 1 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

David MontgomeryRB

3/4 for 54 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 1.2 expected points added

Receiving · ATL

Kyle PittsTE

3/5 for 43 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 0.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 2512695:23Touchdown +7
2CHIATL 449443:35Touchdown +7
3ATLATL 198183:03Punt
4CHICHI 166172:57Punt
5CHIATL 41652:17Punt
6ATLATL 10551:08Punt
7CHICHI 307473:55Field goal +3
8ATLATL 212170:18Fumble
9CHIATL 298292:53Touchdown +7
10ATL—200:13Defensive touchdown +7
11CHICHI 2511473:08Missed field goal
12ATLATL 467421:10Field goal +3
13CHICHI 25501:45Punt
14ATLATL 425162:32Punt
15CHICHI 209125:28Punt
16ATLATL 397463:27Touchdown +7
17CHICHI 2515828:32Touchdown +7
18ATLATL 2513406:29Field goal +3
19CHICHI 25450:40Interception
20ATLCHI 405301:07End of game

9 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 82 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Fields14/211531141.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Fields18854.712.8
David Montgomery17673.91-0.5
Trestan Ebner681.30-2.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
David Montgomery3454021%1.2
Cole Kmet3435021%1.6
Darnell Mooney4529126%1.5
Equanimeous St. Brown2224011%4.0
Chase Claypool2311016%0.7
Trestan Ebner01005%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jaquan Brisker640.000
Jack Sanborn810.000
Kyler Gordon430.000
Eddie Jackson610.001
Joe Thomas120.000
Matthew Adams110.000
Justin Jones110.000
Jaylon Johnson110.000
Josh Blackwell200.000
Darnell Mooney100.000

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Marcus Mariota13/201311001.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyler Allgeier8556.901.2
Cordarrelle Patterson10525.20-4.6
Marcus Mariota13251.91-4.1
Olamide Zaccheaus11313.000.9
Caleb Huntley144.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Kyle Pitts3543028%0.6
Damiere Byrd2229011%2.7
MyCole Pruitt111706%1.0
KhaDarel Hodge111306%1.3
Tyler Allgeier11906%-0.3
Olamide Zaccheaus129011%-0.2
Cordarrelle Patterson227011%-1.3
Caleb Huntley11206%-0.4
Drake London132117%-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Mykal Walker350.002
Rashaan Evans430.000
Darren Hall600.000
Richie Grant150.000
Arnold Ebiketie511.000
Lorenzo Carter411.000
Troy Andersen310.000
A.J. Terrell310.000
Jaylinn Hawkins120.011
Isaiah Oliver300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -3
Closing total
48.5
CHI moneyline
+125
ATL moneyline
-138

Falcons closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 51 — over by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
CHI 7 days · ATL 10 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs Arthur Smith