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2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · Acrisure Stadium
37
30
Cincinnati Bengals 37–30. Biggest swing: Q3 5:27, CIN +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(5:27) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle intended for 83-T.Boyd INTERCEPTED by 90-T.Watt at CIN 21. 90-T.Watt to CIN 21 for no gain (71-L.Collins).
How the points landed
(8:59) 2-E.McPherson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — PIT 0(4:41) 4-M.Wright 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — PIT 3(:48) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 10 — PIT 3(13:04) 22-N.Harris left end for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 10 — PIT 10(6:46) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 17 — PIT 10(1:52) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep right to 14-G.Pickens for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-S.Hubbard]. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 17 — PIT 17(:03) 4-M.Wright 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: CIN 17 — PIT 20(7:07) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 16-T.Irwin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 24 — PIT 20(4:32) 4-M.Wright 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: CIN 24 — PIT 23(:36) 2-E.McPherson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
Score after this play: CIN 27 — PIT 23(4:35) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 34 — PIT 23(3:22) 2-E.McPherson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
Score after this play: CIN 37 — PIT 23(:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-N.Harris up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 37 — PIT 30Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Bengals | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 68 |
| Total yards | 410 (edge) | 351 |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 5.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 (edge) | -0.04 |
| Success rate | 48% (edge) | 38% |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.29 (edge) | -0.05 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | -0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/9 | 8/17 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.04.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CIN
24/39, 355 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT
12.7 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected
Passing · PIT
25/42, 265 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-2.2 expected points added · +2.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 38 | 5 | 7 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 5 | 4 | 7 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 3 | CIN | CIN 43 | 5 | 30 | 2:09 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 35 | 10 | 41 | 4:17 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 21 | 8 | 64 | 3:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 44 | 10 | 56 | 2:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 8 | 12 | 92 | 6:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 35 | 12 | 59 | 4:51 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 24 | 7 | 29 | 1:16 | Interception | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 44 | 5 | 49 | 0:31 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 12 | CIN | CIN 30 | 5 | 10 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 9 | 4 | 6 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 14 | CIN | CIN 41 | 8 | 59 | 3:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 24 | 5 | 6 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 16 | CIN | CIN 23 | 1 | 0 | 0:04 | Interception | |
| 17 | PIT | CIN 21 | 4 | 6 | 0:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | CIN | CIN 42 | 10 | 22 | 3:57 | Field goal +3 | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 22 | 8 | 27 | 3:00 | Punt | |
| 20 | CIN | CIN 10 | 4 | 2 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 21 | PIT | CIN 47 | 5 | 20 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 22 | CIN | CIN 7 | 9 | 93 | 5:03 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 23 | PIT | PIT 27 | 5 | 1 | 0:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | CIN | PIT 28 | 4 | 2 | 0:17 | Field goal +3 | |
| 25 | PIT | PIT 28 | 11 | 72 | 2:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 26 | CIN | PIT 38 | 3 | 0 | 0:45 | End of game |
13 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 93 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 24/39 | 355 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaje Perine | 11 | 30 | 2.7 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Joe Mixon | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Trayveon Williams | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Joe Burrow | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins | 9 | 13 | 148 | 0 | 35% | 7.7 |
| Samaje Perine | 4 | 4 | 52 | 3 | 11% | 8.5 |
| Joe Mixon | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 8% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Taylor-Britt | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Wilson | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Germaine Pratt | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vonn Bell |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pickett | 25/42 | 265 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 20 | 90 | 4.5 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Bengals closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 39; the game landed 67 — over by 28.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 4.1 |
| Trenton Irwin | 3 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 11% | 3.0 |
| Tyler Boyd | 2 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 19% | -4.3 |
| Hayden Hurst | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 8% | 1.5 |
| Trent Taylor | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Trayveon Williams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Mike Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -2.7 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Tre Flowers | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trayveon Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Hubbard | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Hendrickson | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eli Apple | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Akeem Davis-Gaither | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -0.5 |
| Kenny Pickett | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Diontae Johnson | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Steven Sims | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 4 | 6 | 83 | 1 | 16% | 7.0 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 8 | 12 | 79 | 0 | 32% | -0.9 |
| Gunner Olszewski | 2 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 8% | 1.8 |
| Najee Harris | 4 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 16% | -1.4 |
| Diontae Johnson | 4 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 13% | -2.0 |
| Jaylen Warren | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 |
| Zach Gentry | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 8% | -1.3 |
| Steven Sims | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -2.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Jack | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Arthur Maulet | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Spillane | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Bush | 1 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Heyward | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Watt | 2 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Levi Wallace | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marcus Allen | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Sutton | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Minkah Fitzpatrick | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
