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2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · Ford Field

Cleveland Browns

23

Buffalo BillsWinner

31

BUF -7.5 ✓O 50.5 ✓Dome

Buffalo Bills 31–23. Biggest swing: Q2 8:21, CLE +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BUF ↑CLE ↓
Q2 · 8:21CLE 10 — BUF 3CLE ball · 2nd & 3CLE 54%

(8:21) (No Huddle) 7-J.Brissett FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 48, RECOVERED by BUF-58-M.Milano at BUF 48.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 8:21CLE +14% win prob(8:21) (No Huddle) 7-J.Brissett FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 48, RECOVERED by BUF-58-M.Milano at BUF 48.
  2. Q2 · 0:18BUF +10% win prob(:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 9:08BUF +9% win prob(9:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 2-A.Cooper for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 5:29CLE +8% win prob(5:29) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 44 yards to BUF 40, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 20-N.Hines pushed ob at CLE 32 for 28 yards (51-J.Kunaszyk).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:08CLE Touchdown

    (9:08) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 2-A.Cooper for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — BUF 0
  2. Q1 · 3:37BUF Field goal

    (3:37) 2-T.Bass 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — BUF 3
  3. Q2 · 14:08CLE Field goal

    (14:08) 3-C.York 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 3
  4. Q2 · 4:58BUF Field goal

    (4:58) 2-T.Bass 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 6
  5. Q2 · 0:18BUF Touchdown

    (:18) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 13
  6. Q3 · 9:48BUF Field goal

    (9:48) 2-T.Bass 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 16
  7. Q3 · 4:11BUF Touchdown

    (4:11) 26-D.Singletary up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 22
  8. Q4 · 13:25BUF Field goal

    (13:25) 2-T.Bass 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 25
  9. Q4 · 6:48BUF Field goal

    (6:48) 2-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — BUF 28
  10. Q4 · 4:16CLE Touchdown

    (4:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 2-A.Cooper for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CLE 16 — BUF 28
  11. Q4 · 2:00BUF Field goal

    (2:00) 2-T.Bass 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

    Score after this play: CLE 16 — BUF 31
  12. Q4 · 0:25CLE Touchdown

    (:25) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 11-D.Peoples-Jones for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 23 — BUF 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsBills
Offensive plays6762
Total yards397 (edge)358
Yards per play5.9 (edge)5.8
Expected points added / play0.080.12 (edge)
Success rate49%50% (edge)
Dropback rate67%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.47 (edge)0.24
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.70-0.00 (edge)
Third downs4/11 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)99
First downs gained on snaps24 (edge)22
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers10 (edge)

Browns outgained Bills 397–358 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Jacoby BrissettQB

28/41, 324 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

17.8 expected points added · +5.8% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Josh AllenQB

18/27, 197 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

7.0 expected points added · +2.9% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

Devin SingletaryRB

18 att, 86 yds, 1 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

James CookRB

11 att, 86 yds, 0 TD

2.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

8/12 for 113 yds, 2 TD

31% of team targets · 9.1 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Dawson KnoxTE

7/7 for 70 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 2511755:58Touchdown +7
2BUFBUF 35571:37Punt
3CLECLE 114122:09Punt
4BUFCLE 32481:44Field goal +3
5CLECLE 3510514:27Field goal +3
6BUFBUF 315-32:16Punt
7CLECLE 108433:32Fumble
8BUFBUF 4811443:23Field goal +3
9CLECLE 258303:00Punt
10BUFBUF 2212781:40Touchdown +7
11CLECLE 25200:14End of half
12BUFBUF 269465:18Field goal +3
13CLECLE 259283:53Turnover on downs
14BUFBUF 275581:41Touchdown +6
15CLECLE 257282:31Missed field goal
16BUFBUF 247453:17Field goal +3
17CLECLE 255-71:27Punt
18BUFBUF 369545:08Field goal +3
19CLECLE 2510702:34Touchdown +6
20BUFCLE 428212:15Field goal +3
21CLECLE 2510671:37Touchdown +7
22BUFBUF 38200:19End of game

12 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 78 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett28/4132430117.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kareem Hunt5326.401.6
Jacoby Brissett7294.10-7.2
Nick Chubb14191.40-6.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amari Cooper812113231%9.1
Donovan Peoples-Jones5661115%5.7
Nick Chubb334808%2.9
Harrison Bryant4741018%1.7
Kareem Hunt222205%1.1
David Bell4522013%1.2
David Njoku231708%-0.5
Pharaoh Brown01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
John Johnson720.000
Sione Takitaki350.000
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah440.000
Martin Emerson440.000
Grant Delpit320.000
Jordan Kunaszyk210.000
A.J. Green210.000
Jordan Elliott210.000
Myles Garrett211.000
Denzel Ward110.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Josh Allen18/271971027.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devin Singletary18864.811.0
James Cook11867.802.9
Josh Allen372.30-0.3
Nyheim Miller-Hines1-8-8.00-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Dawson Knox7770029%5.4
Gabe Davis5768029%3.6
Stefon Diggs4548121%4.3
Devin Singletary221108%0.4
James Cook01004%-0.8
Isaiah McKenzie01004%-0.4
Nyheim Miller-Hines01004%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyrel Dodson740.000
Matt Milano541.000
Taron Johnson340.000
Jordan Poyer230.001
Damar Hamlin130.001
Dane Jackson310.001
Ed Oliver120.000
Carlos Basham110.000
DaQuan Jones110.000
Christian Benford200.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BUF -7.5
Closing total
50.5
CLE moneyline
+298
BUF moneyline
-353

Bills closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 54 — over by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
CLE 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Sean McDermott