2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

Minnesota Vikings

DAL -1.5 ✓U 48.5 ✓DomeCowboys closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 37.

Dallas Cowboys 40–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:52, DAL +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:52DAL 0 — MIN 0MIN ball · 3rd & 3DAL 56%

(13:52) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 25 for -7 yards (11-M.Parsons). FUMBLES (11-M.Parsons) [11-M.Parsons], touched at MIN 27, RECOVERED by DAL-92-D.Armstrong at MIN 27.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:52DAL +15% win prob(13:52) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 25 for -7 yards (11-M.Parsons). FUMBLES (11-M.Parsons) [11-M.Parsons], touched at MIN 27, RECOVERED by DAL-92-D.Armstrong at MIN 27.
Q2 · 13:36MIN +6% win prob(13:36) 14-R.Wright punts 46 yards to DAL 13, Center-42-A.DePaola. 9-K.Turpin ran ob at DAL 17 for 4 yards (91-P.Jones).
Q2 · 5:36MIN +5% win prob(5:36) 19-B.Maher 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Q1 · 8:08MIN +5% win prob(8:08) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 19-A.Thielen pushed ob at DAL 14 for 10 yards (26-D.Bland) [92-D.Armstrong].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:25DAL Field goal
(10:25) 19-B.Maher 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 3 — MIN 0
Q1 · 6:42MIN Field goal
(6:42) 1-G.Joseph 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
Score after this play: DAL 3 — MIN 3
Q1 · 1:31DAL Touchdown
(1:31) 21-E.Elliott left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 10 — MIN 3
Q2 · 5:36DAL Field goal
(5:36) 19-B.Maher 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 13 — MIN 3
Q2 · 1:52DAL Touchdown
(1:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 20-T.Pollard for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 20 — MIN 3
Q2 · 0:05DAL Field goal
(:05) 19-B.Maher 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 23 — MIN 3
Q3 · 12:43DAL Touchdown
(12:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 20-T.Pollard for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 30 — MIN 3
Q3 · 8:18DAL Touchdown
(8:18) 21-E.Elliott left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 37 — MIN 3
Q4 · 10:09DAL Field goal
(10:09) 19-B.Maher 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 40 — MIN 3

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Vikings
Offensive plays	70	54
Total yards	458 (edge)	183
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	3.4
Expected points added / play	0.29 (edge)	-0.37
Success rate	49% (edge)	26%
Dropback rate	46%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.59 (edge)	-0.44
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.23
Third downs	12/17 (edge)	1/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	7
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.37.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

22/25, 276 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

18.4 expected points added · +15.8% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

12/23, 105 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-18.3 expected points added · -10.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

15 att, 80 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIN

Dalvin CookRB

11 att, 72 yds, 0 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Tony PollardRB

6/6 for 109 yds, 2 TD

20% of team targets · 10.6 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/5 for 45 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 0.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 25	4	2	1:16	Fumble
2	DAL	MIN 27	7	18	3:22	Field goal +3
3	MIN	MIN 25	11	55	3:43	Field goal +3
4	DAL	DAL 25	12	75	5:13	Touchdown +7
5	MIN	MIN 21	7	20	3:01	Punt
6	DAL	DAL 17	14	53	7:54	Field goal +3
7	MIN	MIN 25	5	3	1:04	Punt
8	DAL	DAL 41	9	59	2:44	Touchdown +7
9	MIN	MIN 25	9	18	1:12	Punt
10	DAL	DAL 14	5	44	0:31	Field goal +3
11	DAL	DAL 25	7	75	2:28	Touchdown +7
12	MIN	MIN 25	5	-10	2:23	Punt
13	DAL	MIN 41	6	41	1:54	Touchdown +7
14	MIN	MIN 21	8	24	2:04	Punt
15	DAL	DAL 34	4	4	2:16	Punt
16	MIN	MIN 17	7	19	2:46	Punt
17	DAL	DAL 24	9	54	6:05	Field goal +3
18	MIN	MIN 25	7	19	1:48	Punt
19	DAL	DAL 10	9	35	4:57	Punt
20	MIN	MIN 2	7	33	3:19	End of game

9 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	22/25	276	2	0	0	18.4
Cooper Rush	4/5	31	0	0	0	1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	15	80	5.3	0	1.0
Ezekiel Elliott	15	42	2.8	2	1.5
Dak Prescott	3	16	5.3	0	1.1
Malik Davis	7	13	1.9	0	-3.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tony Pollard	6	6	109	2	20%	10.6
CeeDee Lamb	5	5	45	0	17%	0.7
Noah Brown	2	2	42	0	7%	4.2
Michael Gallup	3	4	41	0	13%	3.6
Malik Davis	2	3	22	0	10%	1.0
Dalton Schultz	3	5	22	0	17%	-1.5
Jake Ferguson	2	2	15	0	7%	1.2
Jalen Tolbert	1	1	8	0	3%	0.5
Ezekiel Elliott	1	1	5	0	3%	0.3
Peyton Hendershot	1	1	-2	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Micah Parsons	4	0	2.0	0
Jayron Kearse	3	1	1.0	1
Neville Gallimore	1	2	0.0	0
Jabril Cox	2	1	0.0	0
Sam Williams	2	1	0.0	0
Anthony Brown	3	0	0.0	2
Dorance Armstrong	3	0	2.0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	3	0	0.0	0
Trevon Diggs	3	0	0.0	1
Daron Bland	2	0	0.0	0

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	12/23	105	0	0	7	-18.3
Nick Mullens	5/7	54	0	0	0	2.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Dalvin Cook	11	72	6.5	0.7
Kene Nwangwu	4	1	0.3	-2.7
Alexander Mattison	2	0	0.0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
T.J. Hockenson	5	9	34	32%	-4.4
Justin Jefferson	3	5	33	18%	0.9
Adam Thielen	2	3	25	11%	2.2
K.J. Osborn	2	3	17	11%	1.0
Jalen Nailor	1	3	15	11%	-1.2
Jalen Reagor	1	1	14	4%	1.8
Alexander Mattison	1	1	8	4%	0.4
Johnny Mundt	1	1	8	4%	0.8
Kene Nwangwu	1	1	5	4%	-0.0
Dalvin Cook	0	1	0	4%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Camryn Bynum	6	2	0
Andrew Booth	8	0	0
Harrison Smith	5	2	0
Jordan Hicks	3	3	0
Harrison Phillips	5	1	0
Patrick Jones	3	2	0
Patrick Peterson	5	0	0
Khyiris Tonga	3	1	1
Danielle Hunter	3	1	0
Jonathan Bullard	3	1	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -1.5
Closing total: 48.5
DAL moneyline: -131
MIN moneyline: +118

Cowboys closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 37.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 43 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: DAL 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Kevin O'Connell