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2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Los Angeles Rams

20

New Orleans SaintsWinner

27

NO -2.5 ✓O 39.5 ✓Dome

New Orleans Saints 27–20. Biggest swing: Q3 5:55, NO +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NOLA
Q3 · 5:55LA 14NO 23NO ball · 3rd & 10NO 70%

(5:55) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 12-C.Olave for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Donald]. Pass 40, YAC 13

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 5:55NO +15% win prob(5:55) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 12-C.Olave for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Donald]. Pass 40, YAC 13
  2. Q1 · 4:08NO +15% win prob(4:08) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 15-T.Atwell for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 46, YAC 16
  3. Q2 · 0:22NO +14% win prob(:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 1-Al.Robinson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 6, YAC 0
  4. Q2 · 12:16NO +11% win prob(12:16) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left to 83-J.Johnson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 8, YAC 0

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:19NO Field goal

    (4:19) 3-W.Lutz 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: LA 0NO 3
  2. Q1 · 4:08LA Touchdown

    (4:08) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 15-T.Atwell for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 46, YAC 16 (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7NO 3
  3. Q2 · 12:16NO Touchdown

    (12:16) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left to 83-J.Johnson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 8, YAC 0 (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7NO 10
  4. Q2 · 0:22LA Touchdown

    (:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 1-Al.Robinson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 6, YAC 0 (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NO 10
  5. Q3 · 10:27NO Touchdown

    (10:27) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle to 5-J.Landry for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 7, YAC 0 (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NO 17
  6. Q3 · 5:55NO Touchdown

    (5:55) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 12-C.Olave for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Donald]. Pass 40, YAC 13 (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NO 24
  7. Q4 · 14:51LA Field goal

    (14:51) 8-M.Gay 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: LA 17NO 24
  8. Q4 · 9:09NO Field goal

    (9:09) 3-W.Lutz 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: LA 17NO 27
  9. Q4 · 0:11LA Field goal

    (:11) 8-M.Gay 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: LA 20NO 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsSaints
Offensive plays6154
Total yards336 (edge)325
Yards per play5.56.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.000.09 (edge)
Success rate39%50% (edge)
Dropback rate57%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.000.28 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.00 (edge)-0.19
Third downs5/144/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1718 (edge)
Sacks taken44
Turnovers00

Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.00.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Andy DaltonQB

21/25, 260 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

10.7 expected points added · +14.4% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

11/18, 159 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.5 expected points added · -1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

14 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Taysom HillTE

9 att, 52 yds, 0 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Chris OlaveWR

5/6 for 102 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 7.7 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Allen RobinsonWR

4/5 for 47 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 25582:11Punt
2NONO 23491:48Punt
3LALA 156152:11Punt
4NONO 419314:36Field goal +3
5LALA 383620:14Touchdown +7
6NONO 257172:51Punt
7LALA 3420:58Punt
8NOLA 498493:00Touchdown +7
9LALA 2512406:48Turnover on downs
10NONO 36482:10Punt
11LALA 1312972:54Touchdown +7
12NONO 25200:19End of half
13NONO 2511754:37Touchdown +7
14LALA 255-71:43Punt
15NONO 326682:53Touchdown +7
16LALA 2513705:59Field goal +3
17NONO 2510545:42Field goal +3
18LALA 258312:50Punt
19NONO 8492:40Punt
20LALA 224-161:48Punt
21NOLA 49450:25Punt
22LALA 266341:17Field goal +3
23NOLA 44200:06End of game

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 97 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford11/181592014.5
Bryce Perkins5/1064003-4.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Akers14614.401.3
Bryce Perkins5397.802.3
Kyren Williams7365.10-1.1
Darrell Henderson294.500.3
Matthew Stafford144.00-0.6
Brandon Powell1-1-1.00-2.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tutu Atwell116214%5.2
Allen Robinson4547119%3.1
Tyler Higbee4845030%-0.6
Van Jefferson3541019%0.2
Brandon Powell221607%0.9
Kyren Williams12807%-0.3
Ben Skowronek144015%-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Wagner370.000
Jalen Ramsey520.000
Taylor Rapp320.001
Nick Scott230.000
Troy Hill410.000
Leonard Floyd322.000
A'Shawn Robinson210.000
Aaron Donald120.000
David Long200.000
Greg Gaines202.000

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Andy Dalton21/2526030310.7
Taysom Hill1/314001-1.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Taysom Hill9525.80-0.1
Alvin Kamara12423.50-2.8
Andy Dalton2-2-1.00-0.8
David Johnson1-4-4.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Chris Olave56102122%7.7
Alvin Kamara4547019%2.8
Juwan Johnson3447115%4.7
Jarvis Landry3433115%3.2
Adam Trautman3312011%-2.0
David Johnson111104%0.6
Taysom Hill11804%0.6
Rashid Shaheed12807%-0.9
Marquez Callaway11604%0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kaden Elliss561.501
Demario Davis350.500
Carl Granderson341.500
Tyrann Mathieu420.001
Paulson Adebo400.000
David Onyemata220.000
Alontae Taylor400.001
Shy Tuttle030.001
Marcus Maye210.000
Chris Harris300.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NO -2.5
Closing total
39.5
LA moneyline
+112
NO moneyline
-124

Saints closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 47 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
LA 7 days · NO 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Dennis Allen