For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

17

Indianapolis Colts

16

PHI -6.5 no coverU 45.5 ✓Dome

Philadelphia Eagles 17–16 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 9:43, PHI +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3IND ↑PHI ↓
Q4 · 9:43PHI 10 — IND 13PHI ball · 2nd & 4PHI 57%

(9:43) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown to IND 32 for 8 yards (44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), RECOVERED by IND-93-E.Johnson at IND 34.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 9:43PHI +24% win prob(9:43) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown to IND 32 for 8 yards (44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), RECOVERED by IND-93-E.Johnson at IND 34.
  2. Q4 · 3:48IND +19% win prob(3:48) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to 26-M.Sanders. PENALTY on IND-44-Z.Franklin, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at PHI 33 - No Play.
  3. Q4 · 0:48PHI +17% win prob(:48) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at IND 33 for -7 yards (55-B.Graham).
  4. Q4 · 2:00IND +15% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to IND 6 for 3 yards (26-R.McLeod; 44-Z.Franklin).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:40IND Touchdown

    (9:40) 28-J.Taylor left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 0 — IND 7
  2. Q2 · 4:54PHI Field goal

    (4:54) 4-J.Elliott 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: PHI 3 — IND 7
  3. Q2 · 0:18IND Field goal

    (:18) 7-C.McLaughlin 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: PHI 3 — IND 10
  4. Q3 · 13:18IND Field goal

    (13:18) 7-C.McLaughlin 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: PHI 3 — IND 13
  5. Q4 · 13:37PHI Touchdown

    (13:37) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 16-Q.Watkins for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 10 — IND 13
  6. Q4 · 4:42IND Field goal

    (4:42) 7-C.McLaughlin 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: PHI 10 — IND 16
  7. Q4 · 1:24PHI Touchdown

    (1:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 17 — IND 16

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesColts
Offensive plays5962
Total yards316 (edge)284
Yards per play5.4 (edge)4.6
Expected points added / play-0.13 (edge)-0.15
Success rate49% (edge)35%
Dropback rate51%58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.34-0.09 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.08 (edge)-0.22
Third downs5/12 (edge)6/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps17 (edge)14
Sacks taken3 (edge)4
Turnovers21 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.15.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Matt RyanQB

23/32, 213 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-3.3 expected points added · +0.6% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

18/25, 190 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-5.4 expected points added · +9.2% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

16 att, 86 yds, 1 TD

5.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Jonathan TaylorRB

22 att, 84 yds, 1 TD

-5.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

6/9 for 78 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · 1.8 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Michael PittmanWR

6/7 for 75 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 4.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1INDIND 2512755:23Touchdown +7
2PHIPHI 256222:49Punt
3INDIND 28491:26Punt
4PHIPHI 167685:12Punt
5INDIND 106213:12Punt
6PHIPHI 4215627:08Field goal +3
7INDIND 257212:17Punt
8PHIPHI 20480:50Punt
9INDIND 455221:30Field goal +3
10PHIPHI 25200:13End of half
11PHIPHI 252-30:11Fumble
12INDPHI 224101:35Field goal +3
13PHIPHI 2510384:18Turnover on downs
14INDIND 47562:24Punt
15PHIPHI 5481:35Punt
16INDIND 458334:22Missed field goal
17PHIPHI 406542:04Touchdown +7
18INDIND 256322:43Fumble
19PHIPHI 433231:14Fumble
20INDIND 3411424:57Field goal +3
21PHIPHI 2513363:17Touchdown +7
22INDIND 257130:49Turnover on downs
23PHIIND 33100:31End of game

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts18/25190103-5.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts16865.415.9
Miles Sanders13473.60-2.1
Boston Scott382.70-1.7
Kenneth Gainwell100.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith6978039%1.8
A.J. Brown5760030%-3.0
Quez Watkins223119%4.4
Zach Pascal11904%0.6
Jack Stoll11704%0.2
Boston Scott22409%-2.3
Miles Sanders11104%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson1000.000
T.J. Edwards540.000
Kyzir White320.000
Marcus Epps230.000
Milton Williams221.000
Linval Joseph130.500
Darius Slay310.000
Haason Reddick311.000
Ndamukong Suh120.500
Josh Sweat210.000

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Ryan23/32213004-3.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jonathan Taylor22843.81-5.7
Deon Jackson177.00-0.1
Zack Moss273.50-0.2
Matt Ryan111.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Michael Pittman6775023%4.9
Parris Campbell5667019%1.8
Alec Pierce3828026%-1.1
Kylen Granson111603%1.7
Mo Alie-Cox111403%1.5
Jonathan Taylor3410013%-2.3
Deon Jackson443013%-4.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zaire Franklin480.500
Bobby Okereke450.000
Julian Blackmon410.000
Rodney McLeod230.001
DeForest Buckner320.000
Isaiah Rodgers400.000
Kenny Moore400.000
Dayo Odeyingbo210.000
Yannick Ngakoue211.500
Brandon Facyson210.002

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6.5
Closing total
45.5
PHI moneyline
-270
IND moneyline
+235

Eagles closed -6.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 33 — under by 12.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lucas Oil Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
PHI 6 days · IND 7 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs Jeff Saturday