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2022 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 27, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field

Green Bay Packers

33

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

40

PHI -6.5 ✓O 46 ✓24 mph wind

Philadelphia Eagles 40–33. Biggest swing: Q2 8:56, GB +17% win probability on one snap. Played in 24 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑GB ↓
Q2 · 8:56GB 14 — PHI 20PHI ball · 3rd & 8PHI 87%

(8:56) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 11-A.Brown to GB 22 for no gain (20-R.Ford; 51-K.Barnes). FUMBLES (20-R.Ford), RECOVERED by GB-7-Q.Walker at GB 24. 7-Q.Walker pushed ob at PHI 13 for 63 yards (1-J.Hurts).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 8:56GB +17% win prob(8:56) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 11-A.Brown to GB 22 for no gain (20-R.Ford; 51-K.Barnes). FUMBLES (20-R.Ford), RECOVERED by GB-7-Q.Walker at GB 24. 7-Q.Walker pushed ob at PHI 13 for 63 yards (1-J.Hurts).
  2. Q2 · 0:19PHI +13% win prob(:19) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 16-Q.Watkins for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 0:53PHI +11% win prob(:53) 1-J.Hurts scrambles right end pushed ob at GB 3 for 42 yards (29-R.Douglas).
  4. Q2 · 3:01GB +10% win prob(3:01) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 29 for -9 yards (91-F.Cox).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:25PHI Touchdown

    (11:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 9:08PHI Touchdown

    (9:08) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left guard for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 0 — PHI 13
  3. Q1 · 6:51GB Touchdown

    (6:51) 28-A.Dillon left guard for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — PHI 13
  4. Q1 · 3:16GB Touchdown

    (3:16) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 14 — PHI 13
  5. Q2 · 15:00PHI Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 14 — PHI 20
  6. Q2 · 7:50GB Touchdown

    (7:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 33-A.Jones for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 20 — PHI 20
  7. Q2 · 0:19PHI Touchdown

    (:19) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 16-Q.Watkins for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 20 — PHI 27
  8. Q3 · 7:23PHI Touchdown

    (7:23) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 11-A.Brown for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 20 — PHI 34
  9. Q3 · 2:06GB Field goal

    (2:06) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: GB 23 — PHI 34
  10. Q4 · 11:14PHI Field goal

    (11:14) 4-J.Elliott 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: GB 23 — PHI 37
  11. Q4 · 9:10GB Touchdown

    (9:10) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 9-C.Watson for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 30 — PHI 37
  12. Q4 · 2:21PHI Field goal

    (2:21) 4-J.Elliott 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: GB 30 — PHI 40
  13. Q4 · 1:11GB Field goal

    (1:11) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: GB 33 — PHI 40

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersEagles
Offensive plays4878
Total yards343501 (edge)
Yards per play7.1 (edge)6.4
Expected points added / play0.190.20 (edge)
Success rate50%51% (edge)
Dropback rate58%45%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.27 (edge)0.06
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.080.31 (edge)
Third downs1/78/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)813 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1727 (edge)
Sacks taken32 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs 0.19.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

16/28, 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.7 expected points added · -2.8% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

11/16, 140 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

0.2 expected points added · -0.7% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

17 att, 157 yds, 0 TD

9.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

21 att, 143 yds, 2 TD

6.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Christian WatsonWR

4/6 for 110 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 10.5 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Aaron JonesRB

3/4 for 56 yds, 1 TD

16% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 2512753:41Touchdown +7
2GBGB 9460:56Interception
3PHIGB 294291:21Touchdown +6
4GBGB 416592:22Touchdown +7
5PHIPHI 28591:40Turnover on downs
6GBPHI 376371:51Touchdown +7
7PHIPHI 259753:15Touchdown +7
8GBGB 257473:42Interception
9PHIPHI 226392:34Fumble
10GBPHI 134230:57Touchdown +6
11PHIPHI 28521:53Punt
12GBGB 186113:32Punt
13PHIPHI 2910662:03Touchdown +7
14GBGB 25200:13End of half
15GBGB 475-22:18Punt
16PHIPHI 1412915:23Touchdown +7
17GBGB 2511495:16Field goal +3
18PHIPHI 2615615:52Field goal +3
19GBGB 256752:11Touchdown +7
20PHIPHI 2111436:44Field goal +3
21GBGB 478381:08Field goal +3
22PHIGB 445111:08End of game

13 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 91 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers11/161402230.2
Jordan Love6/91131007.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
A.J. Dillon8648.015.7
Aaron Jones12433.60-4.2
Aaron Rodgers1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Watson46110124%10.5
Aaron Jones3456116%5.0
A.J. Dillon3424016%0.6
Allen Lazard2324012%-1.4
Robert Tonyan3320012%0.8
Randall Cobb2419116%1.5
Tyler Davis01004%-4.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker470.000
Adrian Amos540.000
Rudy Ford630.000
Rasul Douglas520.001
Kingsley Enagbare340.001
Jaire Alexander420.001
Preston Smith330.500
Krys Barnes310.000
Keisean Nixon300.000
Tedarrell Slaton120.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts16/281532021.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts171579.209.6
Miles Sanders211436.826.7
Kenneth Gainwell8394.912.5
Boston Scott3248.000.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith4950036%0.6
A.J. Brown4646124%-3.0
Quez Watkins3535120%2.6
Miles Sanders3317012%0.3
Kenneth Gainwell11704%0.3
Grant Calcaterra11-204%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
T.J. Edwards340.000
Reed Blankenship330.011
Darius Slay400.001
Haason Reddick210.500
Josh Sweat121.000
Marcus Epps300.000
Josiah Scott120.011
Javon Hargrave120.000
Kyzir White110.000
K'Von Wallace110.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6.5
Closing total
46
GB moneyline
+241
PHI moneyline
-278

Eagles closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 46; the game landed 73 — over by 27.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
62°F, wind 24 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
GB 10 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Nick Sirianni

Wind at 24 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.