For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 27, 2022 · Hard Rock Stadium

Houston Texans

15

Miami DolphinsWinner

30

MIA -14 ✓U 47 ✓

Miami Dolphins 30–15. Biggest swing: Q2 12:38, HOU +4% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIA ↑HOU ↓
Q2 · 12:38HOU 0 — MIA 10HOU ball · 2nd & 9MIA 94%

(12:38) 3-K.Allen pass short right intended for 31-D.Pierce INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel at HOU 26. 43-A.Van Ginkel to HOU 3 for 23 yards (31-D.Pierce).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 12:38HOU +4% win prob(12:38) 3-K.Allen pass short right intended for 31-D.Pierce INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel at HOU 26. 43-A.Van Ginkel to HOU 3 for 23 yards (31-D.Pierce).
  2. Q1 · 13:32HOU +4% win prob(13:32) 11-C.Johnston punts 52 yards to MIA 19, Center-46-J.Weeks. 11-C.Wilson ran ob at MIA 34 for 15 yards (23-E.Murray).
  3. Q1 · 7:52MIA +2% win prob(7:52) 11-C.Johnston punts 56 yards to MIA 35, Center-46-J.Weeks. 11-C.Wilson to MIA 41 for 6 yards (29-M.Stewart).
  4. Q1 · 11:02HOU +2% win prob(11:02) 23-J.Wilson right end pushed ob at HOU 9 for 8 yards (21-S.Nelson). PENALTY on MIA-68-R.Hunt, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 17 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:26MIA Field goal

    (10:26) 7-J.Sanders 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 3
  2. Q1 · 3:06MIA Touchdown

    (3:06) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 81-D.Smythe for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 10
  3. Q2 · 12:27MIA Touchdown

    (12:27) 23-J.Wilson right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 17
  4. Q2 · 6:26MIA Field goal

    (6:26) 7-J.Sanders 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 20
  5. Q2 · 5:10MIA Touchdown

    (5:10) (Shotgun) 3-K.Allen pass short right to 88-J.Akins to HOU 18 for 7 yards (28-K.Kohou, 21-E.Rowe). FUMBLES (21-E.Rowe), RECOVERED by MIA-25-X.Howard at HOU 16. 25-X.Howard for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 27
  6. Q2 · 0:01MIA Field goal

    (:01) 7-J.Sanders 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: HOU 0 — MIA 30
  7. Q3 · 3:22HOU Touchdown

    (3:22) 33-D.Ogunbowale up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: HOU 6 — MIA 30
  8. Q4 · 12:56HOU Touchdown

    (12:56) (Shotgun) 3-K.Allen pass short left to 88-J.Akins for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: HOU 12 — MIA 30
  9. Q4 · 9:04HOU Field goal

    (9:04) 7-K.Fairbairn 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.

    Score after this play: HOU 15 — MIA 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTexansDolphins
Offensive plays6068
Total yards210339 (edge)
Yards per play3.55.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.39-0.11 (edge)
Success rate28%37% (edge)
Dropback rate78%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.480.07 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.05 (edge)-0.49
Third downs2/134/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)27 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1422 (edge)
Sacks taken55
Turnovers31 (edge)

Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.39.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

22/36, 299 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.3 expected points added · +3.1% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

Kyle AllenQB

26/39, 215 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-16.7 expected points added · -4.9% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Jeffery WilsonRB

13 att, 39 yds, 1 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Myles GaskinRB

6 att, 17 yds, 0 TD

-4.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Tyreek HillWR

6/9 for 85 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Jaylen WaddleWR

5/10 for 85 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1HOUHOU 25541:38Punt
2MIAMIA 349493:01Field goal +3
3HOUHOU 106-12:40Punt
4MIAMIA 419594:44Touchdown +7
5HOUHOU 257131:51Punt
6MIAMIA 98402:48Punt
7HOUHOU 20210:51Interception
8MIAHOU 3230:05Touchdown +7
9HOUHOU 25541:28Punt
10MIAMIA 2310724:32Field goal +3
11HOUHOU 254-71:23Defensive touchdown
12HOUHOU 167183:07Punt
13MIAMIA 1211641:52Field goal +3
14MIAMIA 258104:22Punt
15HOUHOU 26412:09Punt
16MIAMIA 30402:01Punt
17HOUHOU 367493:10Touchdown +6
18MIAMIA 257233:07Fumble
19HOU507552:25Touchdown +6
20MIAMIA 25520:59Punt
21HOUHOU 338572:47Field goal +3
22MIAMIA 25551:48Punt
23HOUHOU 41502:24Punt
24MIAMIA 214-10:28Punt
25HOUHOU 407161:40Interception
26MIAMIA 365132:40End of game

8 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 72 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyle Allen26/39215125-16.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Dare Ogunbowale4143.51-0.4
Kyle Allen4123.002.0
Dameon Pierce581.60-2.3
Brandin Cooks122.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jordan Akins5561113%0.6
Brandin Cooks5559013%2.9
Nico Collins6944024%-1.4
Teagan Quitoriano222005%0.9
Dameon Pierce368016%-7.7
Chris Moore23708%-3.9
Dare Ogunbowale12605%-0.4
Rex Burkhead12505%-0.5
Phillip Dorsett12505%-0.8
O.J. Howard02005%-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jalen Pitre700.001
Christian Kirksey421.001
Desmond King220.000
Tavierre Thomas400.000
Jalen Reeves-Maybin220.000
M.J. Stewart300.000
Jake Hansen301.000
Steven Nelson300.001
Maliek Collins302.000
Jonathan Owens110.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tua Tagovailoa22/362991048.3
Skylar Thompson1/56001-3.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jeffery Wilson13393.01-0.6
Myles Gaskin6172.80-4.3
Skylar Thompson650.80-6.8
Tyreek Hill155.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyreek Hill6985024%5.0
Jaylen Waddle51085026%2.5
River Cracraft4455011%3.9
Trent Sherfield2533013%0.9
Cedrick Wilson232608%1.8
Jeffery Wilson131308%-0.2
Myles Gaskin11403%0.0
Durham Smythe11413%1.3
Mike Gesicki01003%-1.2
Alec Ingold11003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Elandon Roberts811.000
Jaelan Phillips611.000
Andrew Van Ginkel310.011
Jevon Holland310.000
Eric Rowe130.000
Zach Sieler220.001
Jerome Baker211.000
Kader Kohou120.000
Melvin Ingram211.000
Keion Crossen110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -14
Closing total
47
HOU moneyline
+613
MIA moneyline
-822

Dolphins closed -14 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 47; the game landed 45 — under by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
84°F, wind 13 mph
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
HOU 7 days · MIA 14 days
Coaches
Lovie Smith vs Mike McDaniel