2022 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 27, 2022 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Los Angeles Rams
10
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
26
Kansas City Chiefs 26–10. Biggest swing: Q1 11:34, KC +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(11:34) 11-R.Dixon punts 44 yards to KC 48, Center-42-M.Orzech. 24-S.Moore MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LA-31-R.Rochell at KC 43.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 11:34KC +10% win prob(11:34) 11-R.Dixon punts 44 yards to KC 48, Center-42-M.Orzech. 24-S.Moore MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LA-31-R.Rochell at KC 43.
- Q1 · 9:30KC +8% win prob(9:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 24-S.Moore pushed ob at KC 31 for 18 yards (33-N.Scott).
- Q1 · 5:51KC +7% win prob(5:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 13:12LA +6% win prob(13:12) 5-T.Townsend punts 49 yards to LA 8, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 19-B.Powell. PENALTY on LA-5-J.Ramsey, Unnecessary Roughness, 4 yards, enforced at LA 8.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 5:51KC Touchdown
(5:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 0 — KC 7 - Q2 · 15:00LA Field goal
(15:00) 8-M.Gay 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.
Score after this play: LA 3 — KC 7 - Q2 · 9:53KC Field goal
(9:53) 7-H.Butker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LA 3 — KC 10 - Q2 · 0:19KC Field goal
(:19) 7-H.Butker 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LA 3 — KC 13 - Q3 · 6:36KC Touchdown
(6:36) 10-I.Pacheco up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 3 — KC 20 - Q4 · 15:00LA Touchdown
(15:00) (Shotgun) 16-B.Perkins pass short middle to 12-V.Jefferson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 10 — KC 20 - Q4 · 6:39KC Field goal
(6:39) 7-H.Butker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LA 10 — KC 23 - Q4 · 1:47KC Field goal
(1:47) 7-H.Butker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: LA 10 — KC 26
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Rams | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 72 |
| Total yards | 199 | 437 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.7 | 6.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.23 | 0.13 (edge) |
| Success rate | 31% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 64% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.22 | 0.26 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.24 | -0.10 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/13 | 5/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 26 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.23.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · KC
27/42, 320 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
7.4 expected points added · +4.8% completion over expected
Passing · LA
13/23, 100 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-13.1 expected points added · -10.6% completion over expected
Receiving · KC
4/5 for 56 yds, 0 TD
14% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 25 | 7 | 18 | 1:55 | Punt | |
| 2 | LA | LA 4 | 4 | 4 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 3 | LA | KC 43 | 4 | -2 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 4 | KC | KC 10 | 10 | 100 | 4:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | LA | LA 25 | 11 | 46 | 5:43 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | KC | KC 25 | 13 | 66 | 5:07 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | LA | LA 25 | 12 | 28 | 6:34 | Punt | |
| 8 | KC | KC 4 | 13 | 93 | 3:00 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | LA | LA 23 | 2 | 0 | 0:16 | End of half | |
| 10 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | -2 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 11 | KC | KC 29 | 13 | 71 | 6:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | LA | LA 25 | 16 | 75 | 6:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | KC | KC 25 | 13 | 68 | 6:06 | Interception | |
| 14 | LA | LA 20 | 2 | 4 | 0:41 | Interception | |
| 15 | KC | LA 9 | 4 | 5 | 1:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | LA | LA 27 | 5 | 16 | 1:19 | Interception | |
| 17 | KC | LA 27 | 9 | 16 | 3:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | LA | LA 16 | 7 | 30 | 1:44 | End of game |
8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 100 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Rams
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Perkins | 13/23 | 100 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Riley Dixon | 1/1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Perkins | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Cam Akers | 8 | 37 | 4.6 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Kyren Williams | 11 | 35 | 3.2 | 0 | -2.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Jefferson | 3 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 25% | -8.1 |
| Kyren Williams | 3 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 13% | 1.9 |
| Tutu Atwell | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 8% | 4.8 |
| Brycen Hopkins | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 8% | -0.4 |
| Brandon Powell | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8% | -0.8 |
| Jacob Harris | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 2.8 |
| Ben Skowronek | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17% | -3.3 |
| Lance McCutcheon | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17% | -2.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Jones | 5 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Rapp | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Hill | 3 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Scott | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Hoecht | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Wagner | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jalen Ramsey | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonah Williams | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Long | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Kendrick | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 27/42 | 320 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 22 | 69 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 4.3 |
| Ronald Jones | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 4 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 22% | -1.9 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 4 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 14% | 2.2 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 8% | 3.3 |
| Skyy Moore | 5 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 16% | 1.5 |
| Joseph Fortson | 2 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 8% | 0.9 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 3 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 16% | -1.2 |
| Justin Watson | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 5% | 1.5 |
| Ronald Jones | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| Noah Gray | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 5% | 1.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| L'Jarius Sneed | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Frank Clark | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Willie Gay | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Danna | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Reid | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Dunlap | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trent McDuffie | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryan Cook | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Williams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -16.5
- Closing total
- 42
- LA moneyline
- +768
- KC moneyline
- -1088
Chiefs closed -16.5, won by 16 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 36 — under by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 44°F, wind 6 mph
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- LA 7 days · KC 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean McVay vs Andy Reid