2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · NRG Stadium

Cleveland BrownsWinner

Houston Texans

CLE -7.5 ✓U 47 ✓DomeBrowns closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Cleveland Browns 27–14. Biggest swing: Q2 4:00, CLE +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 4:00CLE 6 — HOU 5HOU ball · 4th & 2CLE 64%

(4:00) 11-C.Johnston punts 60 yards to CLE 24, Center-46-J.Weeks. 11-D.Peoples-Jones for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 4:00CLE +15% win prob(4:00) 11-C.Johnston punts 60 yards to CLE 24, Center-46-J.Weeks. 11-D.Peoples-Jones for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 3:35CLE +14% win prob(3:35) 74-C.Hubbard reported in as eligible. 4-D.Watson pass short middle intended for 2-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 5-J.Pitre [50-M.Dwumfour] at HOU -3. 5-J.Pitre to HOU 26 for 29 yards (77-W.Teller).
Q3 · 10:15CLE +13% win prob(10:15) 67-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 3-K.Allen up the middle to HOU 2 for 1 yard (42-T.Fields). FUMBLES (42-T.Fields), RECOVERED by CLE-21-D.Ward at HOU 4. 21-D.Ward for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 9:46HOU +10% win prob(9:46) 11-C.Johnston punts 43 yards to CLE 1, Center-46-J.Weeks, downed by HOU-1-T.Smith.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:06HOU Field goal
(8:06) 7-K.Fairbairn 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
Score after this play: CLE 0 — HOU 3
Q2 · 12:00HOU Safety
(12:00) 74-C.Hubbard reported in as eligible. 24-N.Chubb up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (91-R.Lopez).
Score after this play: CLE 0 — HOU 5
Q2 · 4:00CLE Touchdown
(4:00) 11-C.Johnston punts 60 yards to CLE 24, Center-46-J.Weeks. 11-D.Peoples-Jones for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — HOU 5
Q3 · 10:15CLE Touchdown
(10:15) 67-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 3-K.Allen up the middle to HOU 2 for 1 yard (42-T.Fields). FUMBLES (42-T.Fields), RECOVERED by CLE-21-D.Ward at HOU 4. 21-D.Ward for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 14 — HOU 5
Q3 · 5:11HOU Field goal
(5:11) 7-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
Score after this play: CLE 14 — HOU 8
Q4 · 9:40CLE Field goal
(9:40) 3-C.York 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 17 — HOU 8
Q4 · 9:36CLE Touchdown
(9:36) 3-K.Allen pass short middle intended for 33-D.Ogunbowale INTERCEPTED by 42-T.Fields (69-C.Winovich) at HOU 16. 42-T.Fields for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 24 — HOU 8
Q4 · 4:06CLE Field goal
(4:06) 3-C.York 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 27 — HOU 8
Q4 · 2:00HOU Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-K.Allen pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: CLE 27 — HOU 14

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Texans
Offensive plays	58	62
Total yards	305 (edge)	283
Yards per play	5.3 (edge)	4.6
Expected points added / play	-0.23 (edge)	-0.44
Success rate	38%	40% (edge)
Dropback rate	41%	65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.42 (edge)	-0.48
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10 (edge)	-0.38
Third downs	4/12 (edge)	1/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	14	15 (edge)
Sacks taken	1	0 (edge)
Turnovers	2 (edge)	3

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.44.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

Kyle AllenQB

20/39, 201 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-19.2 expected points added · -13.5% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

12/22, 131 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-4.6 expected points added · -13.5% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

17 att, 80 yds, 0 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Dameon PierceRB

18 att, 73 yds, 0 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

Brevin JordanTE

4/5 for 46 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 2.3 expected points added

Receiving · HOU

Chris MooreWR

3/3 for 46 yds, 0 TD

8% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	HOU	HOU 25	2	0	0:06	Interception
2	CLE	CLE 43	4	7	0:50	Punt
3	HOU	HOU 10	5	18	1:26	Punt
4	CLE	CLE 30	2	17	0:45	Fumble
5	HOU	CLE 38	8	33	3:51	Field goal +3
6	CLE	CLE 16	10	73	4:39	Interception
7	HOU	HOU 26	12	73	5:21	Turnover on downs
8	CLE	CLE 1	2	0	1:09	Safety
9	HOU	CLE 49	5	5	2:18	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 1	8	45	4:15	Punt
11	HOU	HOU 8	4	8	1:39	Defensive touchdown
12	HOU	HOU 32	6	22	2:19	Punt
13	CLE	CLE 9	5	13	0:50	Punt
14	HOU	HOU 26	4	7	0:21	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 20	2	17	0:11	End of half
16	CLE	CLE 13	10	41	4:22	Punt
17	HOU	HOU 1	2	1	0:28	Defensive touchdown
18	HOU	HOU 24	8	29	5:02	Field goal +3
19	CLE	CLE 21	7	28	3:37	Punt
20	HOU	HOU 19	4	1	0:57	Punt
21	CLE	CLE 33	11	52	5:58	Field goal +3
22	HOU	HOU 25	2	0	0:06	Defensive touchdown
23	HOU	HOU 25	7	11	1:44	Punt
24	CLE	CLE 20	4	9	2:17	Punt
25	CLE	HOU 32	4	3	1:26	Field goal +3
26	HOU	HOU 25	9	75	2:06	Touchdown +6
27	CLE	HOU 46	4	0	1:57	End of game

5 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Deshaun Watson	12/22	131	0	1	1	-4.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Nick Chubb	17	80	4.7	-2.1
Kareem Hunt	9	56	6.2	1.1
Deshaun Watson	7	21	3.0	-2.8
Harrison Bryant	1	8	8.0	0.9
Anthony Schwartz	1	6	6.0	-0.1
Jerome Ford	3	3	1.0	-2.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Donovan Peoples-Jones	3	3	44	14%	2.6
Amari Cooper	4	9	40	43%	-5.9
Kareem Hunt	2	3	18	14%	2.4
Anthony Schwartz	1	1	12	5%	-5.1
Pharaoh Brown	1	1	11	5%	0.7
Harrison Bryant	1	1	6	5%	-0.0
Nick Chubb	0	1	0	5%	-0.5
Demetric Felton	0	1	0	5%	-0.6
David Bell	0	1	0	5%	-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Sione Takitaki	1	8	0	0
Grant Delpit	2	3	0	1
Denzel Ward	1	3	0	1
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah	1	3	0	0
Greg Newsome	4	0	0	1
Alex Wright	1	3	0	1
Greedy Williams	1	2	0	0
Tony Fields	2	1	1	1
Myles Garrett	3	0	0	0
Taven Bryan	1	1	0	0

Houston Texans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyle Allen	20/39	201	1	2	0	-19.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Dameon Pierce	18	73	4.1	-1.1
Dare Ogunbowale	2	8	4.0	1.0
Kyle Allen	2	1	0.5	-8.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brevin Jordan	4	5	46	0	14%	2.3
Chris Moore	3	3	46	0	8%	5.0
Nico Collins	3	10	35	1	27%	-2.1
Dameon Pierce	3	3	22	0	8%	0.1
Jordan Akins	3	6	21	0	16%	-5.1
Phillip Dorsett	2	3	18	0	8%	1.0
Dare Ogunbowale	2	3	13	0	8%	-8.9
Teagan Quitoriano	0	3	0	0	8%	-4.8
Troy Hairston	0	1	0	0	3%	-4.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jalen Pitre	5	7	0.0	1	1
Christian Harris	2	4	0.0	0	0
Desmond King	2	3	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Owens	2	3	0.0	0	0
Tavierre Thomas	2	3	0.0	0	0
Roy Lopez	4	0	0.0	0	0
Christian Kirksey	2	2	0.0	0	0
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	2	1	1.0	0	0
Steven Nelson	2	1	0.0	0	1
Dare Ogunbowale	1	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -7.5
Closing total: 47
CLE moneyline: -329
HOU moneyline: +280

Browns closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Total closed 47; the game landed 41 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: NRG Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · astroturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Land Clark
Rest: CLE 7 days · HOU 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Lovie Smith