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2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · M&T Bank Stadium

Denver Broncos

9

Baltimore RavensWinner

10

BAL -9.5 no coverU 40.5 ✓

Baltimore Ravens 10–9 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:02, DEN +33% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BAL ↑DEN ↓
Q4 · 0:02DEN 9 — BAL 10DEN ball · 2nd & 6BAL 67%

(:02) 8-B.McManus 63 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:02DEN +33% win prob(:02) 8-B.McManus 63 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  2. Q4 · 12:23DEN +21% win prob(12:23) (Shotgun) 3-J.Proche pass deep right intended for 17-K.Drake INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Simmons at DEN -4. Touchback.
  3. Q3 · 6:06DEN +18% win prob(6:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-T.Huntley pass short right intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Simmons [53-J.Cooper] at BAL 48. 31-J.Simmons to BAL 40 for 8 yards.
  4. Q4 · 1:06BAL +14% win prob(1:06) (Shotgun) 2-T.Huntley left tackle to DEN 15 for 3 yards (47-J.Jewell).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:09DEN Field goal

    (9:09) 8-B.McManus 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: DEN 3 — BAL 0
  2. Q2 · 5:58BAL Field goal

    (5:58) 9-J.Tucker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: DEN 3 — BAL 3
  3. Q2 · 0:42DEN Field goal

    (:42) 8-B.McManus 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: DEN 6 — BAL 3
  4. Q3 · 4:03DEN Field goal

    (4:03) 8-B.McManus 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: DEN 9 — BAL 3
  5. Q4 · 0:31BAL Touchdown

    (:31) (Shotgun) 2-T.Huntley up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DEN 9 — BAL 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBroncosRavens
Offensive plays5268
Total yards272285 (edge)
Yards per play5.2 (edge)4.2
Expected points added / play-0.14 (edge)-0.14
Success rate35%38% (edge)
Dropback rate50%68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.06 (edge)-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.330.01 (edge)
Third downs2/123/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps1117 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)4
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DEN

Russell WilsonQB

17/22, 189 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

0.8 expected points added · +16.0% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Tyler HuntleyQB

27/32, 187 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-1.1 expected points added · +16.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DEN

Latavius MurrayRB

17 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Tyler HuntleyQB

10 att, 41 yds, 1 TD

4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DEN

Greg DulcichTE

6/8 for 85 yds, 0 TD

38% of team targets · 4.4 expected points added

Receiving · DEN

Jerry JeudyWR

4/4 for 65 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DENDEN 1712495:57Field goal +3
2BALBAL 23551:13Punt
3DENDEN 20491:52Punt
4BALBAL 326153:34Punt
5DENDEN 19451:30Punt
6BALBAL 30481:53Punt
7DENDEN 146213:04Punt
8BALBAL 3010515:02Field goal +3
9DENDEN 24551:32Punt
10BALBAL 29481:28Punt
11DENDEN 78752:18Field goal +3
12BALBAL 257350:37End of half
13BALBAL 168173:54Punt
14DENDEN 186193:11Punt
15BALBAL 124281:56Interception
16DENBAL 40482:01Field goal +3
17BALBAL 2212496:43Interception
18DENDEN 206113:05Punt
19BALBAL 31451:35Punt
20DENDEN 196332:33Punt
21BALBAL 917644:34Touchdown +7
22DENDEN 185370:28Missed field goal

5 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 75 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Denver Broncos

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Russell Wilson17/221890020.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Latavius Murray17472.80-4.8
Russell Wilson22110.500.8
Mike Boone6183.00-1.9
Marlon Mack231.50-0.9
Montrell Washington1-1-1.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Greg Dulcich6885038%4.4
Jerry Jeudy4465019%1.6
Latavius Murray4414019%-1.6
Kendall Hinton111105%1.0
Mike Boone11805%-0.0
Marlon Mack11605%0.4
Courtland Sutton01005%-0.6
Montrell Washington01005%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Josey Jewell7100.000
Alex Singleton780.000
Patrick Surtain610.001
Kareem Jackson330.000
Damarri Mathis600.000
Jonathon Cooper231.000
DeShawn Williams222.000
Justin Simmons310.022
P.J. Locke110.000
Essang Bassey200.000

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyler Huntley27/32187012-1.1
Lamar Jackson3/411002-5.9
James Proche0/10010-4.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyler Huntley10414.114.8
Kenyan Drake7294.10-1.8
Gus Edwards6122.00-2.7
Lamar Jackson199.000.8
Devin Duvernay294.50-0.3
Justice Hill122.00-1.1
Mark Andrews111.001.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mark Andrews4753019%-3.5
Demarcus Robinson7841022%0.3
Devin Duvernay6634017%-0.3
Isaiah Likely4430011%1.5
Kenyan Drake231708%-2.3
DeSean Jackson231008%-0.2
James Proche22906%-0.4
Justice Hill22406%-0.7
Patrick Ricard11003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Roquan Smith550.000
Chuck Clark260.000
Marlon Humphrey521.000
Patrick Queen420.000
Jason Pierre-Paul310.000
Kyle Hamilton310.000
Geno Stone210.000
Daryl Worley200.000
Marcus Peters110.000
Broderick Washington110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BAL -9.5
Closing total
40.5
DEN moneyline
+294
BAL moneyline
-347

Ravens closed -9.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 19 — under by 21.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
63°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
DEN 7 days · BAL 7 days
Coaches
Nathaniel Hackett vs John Harbaugh