For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · AT&T Stadium

Indianapolis Colts

19

Dallas CowboysWinner

54

DAL -11 ✓O 44.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 54–19 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 3:49, DAL +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑IND ↓
Q3 · 3:49IND 19 — DAL 21IND ball · 2nd & 13DAL 88%

(3:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-A.Pierce for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 3:49DAL +13% win prob(3:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-A.Pierce for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 2:56IND +11% win prob(2:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 13-M.Gallup INTERCEPTED by 5-S.Gilmore at 50. 5-S.Gilmore to DAL 19 for 31 yards (66-C.McGovern).
  3. Q1 · 2:42DAL +11% win prob(2:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 16-A.Dulin for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 1:03IND +11% win prob(1:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 14-A.Pierce INTERCEPTED by 28-M.Hooker at DAL 48. 28-M.Hooker pushed ob at IND 26 for 26 yards (1-P.Campbell).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:53IND Field goal

    (10:53) 7-C.McLaughlin 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: IND 3 — DAL 0
  2. Q1 · 4:58DAL Touchdown

    (4:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 3 — DAL 7
  3. Q1 · 2:42IND Touchdown

    (2:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 16-A.Dulin for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 10 — DAL 7
  4. Q2 · 10:18DAL Touchdown

    (10:18) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 10 — DAL 14
  5. Q2 · 1:51IND Field goal

    (1:51) 7-C.McLaughlin 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: IND 13 — DAL 14
  6. Q2 · 0:20DAL Touchdown

    (:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 13 — DAL 21
  7. Q3 · 3:49IND Touchdown

    (3:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-A.Pierce for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 21
  8. Q4 · 13:55DAL Touchdown

    (13:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 28
  9. Q4 · 13:46DAL Touchdown

    (13:46) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-M.Alie-Cox to IND 33 for 6 yards (33-D.Clark). FUMBLES (33-D.Clark), RECOVERED by DAL-28-M.Hooker at IND 38. 28-M.Hooker for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 34
  10. Q4 · 9:54DAL Touchdown

    (9:54) 20-T.Pollard left end for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 40
  11. Q4 · 6:11DAL Touchdown

    (6:11) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 47
  12. Q4 · 2:31DAL Touchdown

    (2:31) (Shotgun) 34-M.Davis up the middle for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 19 — DAL 54

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricColtsCowboys
Offensive plays6966
Total yards312385 (edge)
Yards per play4.55.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.300.21 (edge)
Success rate38%45% (edge)
Dropback rate59%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.430.08 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.110.34 (edge)
Third downs4/137/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)410 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1822 (edge)
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers61 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs -0.30.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Matt RyanQB

21/37, 233 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-9.1 expected points added · -10.4% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

20/30, 170 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

3.4 expected points added · -4.5% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 91 yds, 2 TD

4.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Jonathan TaylorRB

21 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

-3.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · IND

Alec PierceWR

4/8 for 86 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/7 for 71 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 9.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 18561:29Punt
2INDIND 476202:42Field goal +3
3DALDAL 2714735:59Touchdown +7
4INDIND 217792:13Touchdown +7
5DALDAL 168242:46Punt
6INDIND 204-41:37Punt
7DALDAL 447562:58Touchdown +7
8INDIND 2311305:39Punt
9DALDAL 126231:53Interception
10INDDAL 19430:57Field goal +3
11DALDAL 25500:28Punt
12INDIND 275130:24Interception
13DALIND 266260:42Touchdown +7
14INDIND 10200:13End of half
15INDIND 9511:31Punt
16DALIND 49471:46Punt
17INDIND 1016958:00Touchdown +6
18DALDAL 2512604:51Touchdown +7
19INDIND 27260:18Defensive touchdown
20INDIND 228182:31Interception
21DALDAL 474531:17Touchdown +6
22INDIND 254270:42Interception
23DALDAL 286282:58Touchdown +7
24INDIND 23762:07Defensive touchdown
25DALIND 294291:34Touchdown +7
26INDIND 325182:25End of game

11 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 95 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matt Ryan21/37233233-9.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jonathan Taylor21823.90-3.8
Zack Moss3186.000.2
Deon Jackson263.00-0.5
Parris Campbell122.00-0.4
Matt Ryan3-2-0.70-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Alec Pierce4886123%4.1
Parris Campbell4543014%3.2
Jelani Woods2428011%0.2
Jonathan Taylor3421011%-0.0
Kylen Granson4619017%-3.2
Michael Pittman2416011%1.0
Ashton Dulin121416%-2.7
Mo Alie-Cox11603%-8.2
Deon Jackson01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kwity Paye631.000
Zaire Franklin540.001
Bobby Okereke330.000
Rodney McLeod510.001
Stephon Gilmore410.012
Grover Stewart230.000
Isaiah Rodgers300.000
Rodney Thomas120.000
E.J. Speed110.000
DeForest Buckner110.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott20/301703113.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard12917.624.0
Ezekiel Elliott17774.512.8
Malik Davis3299.713.0
CeeDee Lamb22311.501.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb5771123%9.7
Dalton Schultz2633020%-0.9
Michael Gallup4723223%-1.7
Tony Pollard2315010%-0.1
Noah Brown221507%-0.3
Ezekiel Elliott3314010%-1.9
Jake Ferguson22-107%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Donovan Wilson821.000
Daron Bland440.022
Jayron Kearse700.001
Osa Odighizuwa321.000
Johnathan Hankins220.000
Neville Gallimore120.000
Peyton Hendershot210.000
Demarcus Lawrence120.000
Anthony Brown300.001
Carlos Watkins110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -11
Closing total
44.5
IND moneyline
+376
DAL moneyline
-460

Cowboys closed -11 and covered, winning by 35.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 73 — over by 28.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
IND 6 days · DAL 10 days
Coaches
Jeff Saturday vs Mike McCarthy