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2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · Ford Field

Jacksonville Jaguars

14

Detroit LionsWinner

40

DET -1 ✓O 51.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 40–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:20, JAX +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑JAX ↓
Q1 · 14:20JAX 0 — DET 0JAX ball · 2nd & 6DET 52%

(14:20) 1-T.Etienne left end to JAX 38 for 13 yards (5-D.Elliott). FUMBLES (5-D.Elliott), RECOVERED by DET-34-A.Anzalone at JAX 38.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:20JAX +10% win prob(14:20) 1-T.Etienne left end to JAX 38 for 13 yards (5-D.Elliott). FUMBLES (5-D.Elliott), RECOVERED by DET-34-A.Anzalone at JAX 38.
  2. Q1 · 5:29DET +7% win prob(5:29) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 4-D.Chark to JAX 9 for 41 yards (29-Te.Campbell).
  3. Q1 · 10:55DET +7% win prob(10:55) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk ran ob at DET 43 for 37 yards (31-K.Joseph).
  4. Q1 · 11:33DET +6% win prob(11:33) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to JAX 1 for 12 yards (42-A.Wingard).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:58DET Touchdown

    (10:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-Ja.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 0 — DET 7
  2. Q1 · 7:46JAX Field goal

    (7:46) 10-R.Patterson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 7
  3. Q1 · 4:09DET Touchdown

    (4:09) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 14
  4. Q2 · 12:44DET Field goal

    (12:44) 17-M.Badgley 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 17
  5. Q2 · 7:02DET Field goal

    (7:02) 17-M.Badgley 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 20
  6. Q2 · 4:19JAX Field goal

    (4:19) 10-R.Patterson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 20
  7. Q2 · 0:34DET Field goal

    (:34) 17-M.Badgley 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 23
  8. Q3 · 10:43DET Touchdown

    (10:43) (No Huddle) 32-D.Swift right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 30
  9. Q3 · 2:58JAX Touchdown

    (2:58) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 17-E.Engram for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — DET 30
  10. Q4 · 12:25DET Field goal

    (12:25) 17-M.Badgley 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — DET 33
  11. Q4 · 2:47DET Touchdown

    (2:47) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — DET 40

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsLions
Offensive plays5672
Total yards268438 (edge)
Yards per play4.86.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.090.29 (edge)
Success rate41%54% (edge)
Dropback rate71%60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.050.50 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.17-0.03 (edge)
Third downs3/128/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1629 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers10 (edge)

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

31/41, 340 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

21.6 expected points added · +4.6% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

17/31, 179 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.2 expected points added · -10.1% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

D'Andre SwiftRB

14 att, 62 yds, 1 TD

0.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

Travis EtienneRB

13 att, 54 yds, 0 TD

-5.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

11/12 for 114 yds, 2 TD

31% of team targets · 14.8 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Christian KirkWR

6/8 for 104 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1JAXJAX 213170:52Fumble
2DETJAX 388383:13Touchdown +7
3JAXJAX 2511673:13Field goal +3
4DETDET 259753:38Touchdown +7
5JAXJAX 259303:08Punt
6DETDET 159593:17Field goal +3
7JAXJAX 25531:07Punt
8DETDET 308414:34Field goal +3
9JAXJAX 2510512:43Field goal +3
10DETDET 3312473:44Field goal +3
11JAXJAX 25480:31End of half
12DETDET 3912564:25Touchdown +7
13JAXJAX 2518827:41Touchdown +8
14DETDET 2513545:33Field goal +3
15JAXJAX 255-22:05Punt
16DETDET 3213687:33Touchdown +7
17JAXJAX 235121:50Turnover on downs
18DETJAX 31200:53End of game

11 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 82 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence17/31179102-1.2
C.J. Beathard2/36000-4.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne13544.20-5.3
Trevor Lawrence4328.003.7
Snoop Conner166.00-0.0
Jamal Agnew133.002.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Kirk68104024%7.5
Evan Engram5730121%1.2
Marvin Jones1417012%-1.4
Zay Jones2716021%-4.2
Travis Etienne331209%-1.6
Luke Farrell11303%-3.3
Tim Jones11303%-0.1
Jamal Agnew01003%0.3
Chris Manhertz01003%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Chad Muma741.500
Foyesade Oluokun640.000
Andrew Wingard620.000
Davon Hamilton050.500
Travon Walker230.000
Devin Lloyd140.000
Rayshawn Jenkins320.000
Tyson Campbell300.001
Dawuane Smoot120.000
Darious Williams210.002

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff31/4134020221.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift14624.410.6
Jamaal Williams11353.210.4
Justin Jackson144.00-0.1
Jason Cabinda144.00-0.1
Amon-Ra St. Brown122.00-0.3
Nate Sudfeld2-1-0.50-3.5
Kalif Raymond1-6-6.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown1112114231%14.8
D.J. Chark5698015%6.5
D'Andre Swift4649015%2.0
Brock Wright222505%1.4
Justin Jackson3519013%0.0
Josh Reynolds3419010%1.2
Kalif Raymond221205%0.4
Shane Zylstra11403%-0.2
Jameson Williams01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kerby Joseph710.000
DeShon Elliott330.000
Will Harris510.001
Benito Jones030.500
Malcolm Rodriguez120.000
Jeff Okudah200.000
Jerry Jacobs200.001
Alex Anzalone200.000
John Cominsky200.001
Derrick Barnes110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -1
Closing total
51.5
JAX moneyline
+107
DET moneyline
-118

Lions closed -1 and covered, winning by 26.

Total closed 51.5; the game landed 54 — over by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Jerome Boger
Rest
JAX 7 days · DET 10 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Dan Campbell