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2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

20

Las Vegas RaidersWinner

27

LV -2.5 ✓U 49 ✓Dome

Las Vegas Raiders 27–20. Biggest swing: Q1 5:15, LAC +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LV ↑LAC ↓
Q1 · 5:15LAC 6 — LV 0LV ball · 3rd & 5LV 51%

(5:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 10-M.Hollins INTERCEPTED by 23-B.Callahan (26-A.Samuel) at LV 26. 23-B.Callahan for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 5:15LAC +16% win prob(5:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 10-M.Hollins INTERCEPTED by 23-B.Callahan (26-A.Samuel) at LV 26. 23-B.Callahan for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q3 · 14:36LV +13% win prob(14:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q3 · 14:50LAC +12% win prob(14:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 30-A.Ekeler to LAC 32 for 11 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao, 30-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (30-D.Harmon), touched at LAC 34, RECOVERED by LV-39-N.Hobbs at LAC 38. 39-N.Hobbs to LAC 31 for 7 yards (48-S.Smartt).
  4. Q3 · 11:01LV +12% win prob(11:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:15LAC Touchdown

    (5:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left intended for 10-M.Hollins INTERCEPTED by 23-B.Callahan (26-A.Samuel) at LV 26. 23-B.Callahan for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — LV 0
  2. Q2 · 11:41LAC Field goal

    (11:41) 15-C.Dicker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — LV 0
  3. Q2 · 7:57LV Touchdown

    (7:57) 28-J.Jacobs right tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — LV 7
  4. Q2 · 2:22LV Field goal

    (2:22) 2-D.Carlson 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LAC 10 — LV 10
  5. Q2 · 0:31LAC Field goal

    (:31) 15-C.Dicker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 13 — LV 10
  6. Q3 · 14:36LV Touchdown

    (14:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 13 — LV 17
  7. Q3 · 11:01LV Touchdown

    (11:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 13 — LV 24
  8. Q4 · 14:53LV Field goal

    (14:53) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LAC 13 — LV 27
  9. Q4 · 8:44LAC Touchdown

    (8:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 13-K.Allen for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 20 — LV 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersRaiders
Offensive plays7359
Total yards387404 (edge)
Yards per play5.36.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.11-0.09 (edge)
Success rate38%41% (edge)
Dropback rate74%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.19 (edge)-0.26
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.15 (edge)0.09
Third downs5/16 (edge)3/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)27 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)18
Sacks taken50 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Raiders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.11.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

28/47, 335 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-0.5 expected points added · -4.3% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Derek CarrQB

16/30, 250 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-2.4 expected points added · -5.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Josh JacobsRB

26 att, 144 yds, 1 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

10 att, 35 yds, 0 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

8/12 for 177 yds, 2 TD

44% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

6/14 for 88 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LVLV 25561:43Punt
2LACLAC 328173:36Punt
3LVLV 63142:02Fumble
4LACLV 25491:28Turnover on downs
5LVLV 16351:04Defensive touchdown
6LVLV 256121:55Punt
7LACLAC 2013616:35Field goal +3
8LVLV 2510753:45Touchdown +7
9LACLAC 22592:13Punt
10LVLV 218373:22Field goal +3
11LACLAC 2513591:50Field goal +3
12LVLV 255410:23Missed field goal
13LACLAC 42100:04End of half
14LACLAC 213110:24Fumble
15LVLAC 312310:08Touchdown +7
16LACLAC 199423:03Missed field goal
17LVLV 423580:32Touchdown +7
18LACLAC 206162:24Punt
19LVLV 2014748:40Field goal +3
20LACLAC 2214736:15Touchdown +7
21LVLV 259333:22Punt
22LACLAC 98492:30Turnover on downs
23LVLV 426182:20Punt
24LACLAC 103410:22End of game

8 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert28/47335105-0.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler10353.50-1.7
Joshua Kelley7304.302.8
Justin Herbert571.40-2.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen61488131%1.4
Gerald Everett5680013%4.8
Austin Ekeler5667013%-3.4
Josh Palmer71160024%3.1
Michael Bandy111502%0.9
DeAndre Carter121404%-2.4
Tre' McKitty11802%0.5
Stone Smartt23307%-1.5
Joshua Kelley01002%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bryce Callahan420.011
Derwin James330.000
Nasir Adderley330.001
Asante Samuel410.001
Sebastian Joseph140.000
Drue Tranquill410.000
Morgan Fox220.000
Kenneth Murray210.000
Michael Davis300.003
Joe Gaziano110.000

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Derek Carr16/30250210-2.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs261445.512.0
Zamir White263.00-0.4
Ameer Abdullah144.001.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davante Adams812177244%6.6
Mack Hollins5935033%-5.1
Foster Moreau1332011%1.4
Josh Jacobs22607%-6.2
Ameer Abdullah01004%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Chandler Jones513.001
Duron Harmon420.000
Denzel Perryman150.000
Nate Hobbs600.000
Trevon Moehrig410.001
Jayon Brown320.000
Amik Robertson320.001
Sam Webb320.000
Isaiah Pola-Mao401.000
Malcolm Koonce300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LV -2.5
Closing total
49
LAC moneyline
+125
LV moneyline
-139

Raiders closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 49; the game landed 47 — under by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
LAC 7 days · LV 7 days
Coaches
Brandon Staley vs Josh McDaniels

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.