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2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · SoFi Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

27

Los Angeles Rams

23

SEA -7 no coverO 41 ✓Dome

Seattle Seahawks 27–23. Biggest swing: Q4 1:41, LA +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LA ↑SEA ↓
Q4 · 1:41SEA 20 — LA 23SEA ball · 3rd & 10LA 57%

(1:41) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 16-T.Lockett to LA 30 for 10 yards (14-D.Durant).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:41LA +16% win prob(1:41) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 16-T.Lockett to LA 30 for 10 yards (14-D.Durant).
  2. Q4 · 4:33LA +14% win prob(4:33) 13-J.Wolford left end ran ob at SEA 35 for 14 yards (27-T.Woolen).
  3. Q4 · 0:49LA +13% win prob(:49) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 11-M.Goodwin to LA 8 for 17 yards (6-D.Kendrick; 33-N.Scott).
  4. Q4 · 0:41LA +13% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:35LA Touchdown

    (9:35) 3-C.Akers up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — LA 7
  2. Q1 · 6:14SEA Touchdown

    (6:14) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — LA 7
  3. Q1 · 2:37LA Field goal

    (2:37) 8-M.Gay 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — LA 10
  4. Q2 · 9:54SEA Touchdown

    (9:54) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — LA 10
  5. Q2 · 1:00LA Field goal

    (1:00) 8-M.Gay 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — LA 13
  6. Q3 · 7:38SEA Field goal

    (7:38) 5-J.Myers 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — LA 13
  7. Q4 · 13:02LA Field goal

    (13:02) 8-M.Gay 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — LA 16
  8. Q4 · 6:49SEA Field goal

    (6:49) 5-J.Myers 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 20 — LA 16
  9. Q4 · 3:01LA Touchdown

    (3:01) 3-C.Akers up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 20 — LA 23
  10. Q4 · 0:41SEA Touchdown

    (:41) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 27 — LA 23

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksRams
Offensive plays6463
Total yards439 (edge)319
Yards per play6.9 (edge)5.1
Expected points added / play0.15 (edge)-0.05
Success rate53% (edge)44%
Dropback rate69%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.24 (edge)-0.27
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.050.24 (edge)
Third downs5/10 (edge)4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)18
Sacks taken44
Turnovers22

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.15 expected points added per play vs -0.05.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

28/39, 367 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

10.6 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected

Passing · LA

John WolfordQB

14/26, 178 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-8.0 expected points added · -8.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

17 att, 60 yds, 2 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

DeeJay DallasRB

10 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

9/12 for 128 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 10.6 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

8/8 for 127 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 9.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 2312775:30Touchdown +7
2SEASEA 258803:25Touchdown +7
3LALA 258533:31Field goal +3
4SEASEA 25500:24Punt
5LALA 146202:10Punt
6SEASEA 912915:12Touchdown +7
7LALA 2510354:07Interception
8SEASEA 164-22:37Punt
9LALA 377222:09Field goal +3
10SEASEA 254-20:55End of half
11SEASEA 255351:47Fumble
12LALA 294-61:51Punt
13SEASEA 178603:49Field goal +3
14LALA 25561:44Punt
15SEASEA 227404:03Interception
16LALA 459423:49Field goal +3
17SEASEA 2512676:11Field goal +3
18LALA 2511753:50Touchdown +7
19SEASEA 2512702:20Touchdown +7
20LALA 255-50:26Interception
21SEALA 31100:10End of game

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 91 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith28/3936731410.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
DeeJay Dallas10373.70-0.8
Kenneth Walker33612.002.2
Tony Jones7142.00-2.5
Geno Smith231.50-2.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyler Lockett912128132%10.6
DK Metcalf88127122%9.5
Noah Fant4542114%3.9
Will Dissly222205%1.2
Tony Jones2418011%-4.1
Marquise Goodwin121705%0.9
Colby Parkinson111203%0.8
Laquon Treadwell11103%-0.5
DeeJay Dallas01003%-1.0
Kenneth Walker01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordyn Brooks631.000
Tariq Woolen610.013
Cody Barton330.011
Ryan Neal320.000
Coby Bryant310.001
Uchenna Nwosu402.000
Michael Jackson310.000
Tre Brown300.000
Bruce Irvin200.000
Al Woods200.000

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
John Wolford14/26178024-8.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Akers17603.52-2.1
Brandon Powell34515.004.2
John Wolford5295.801.2
Tutu Atwell4235.800.6
Kyren Williams393.000.7
Bryce Perkins155.000.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tutu Atwell2548020%-1.6
Brandon Powell4439016%2.2
Van Jefferson2439016%2.7
Ben Skowronek2330012%2.4
Tyler Higbee2514020%-1.2
Austin Trammell12808%-1.2
Cam Akers11004%-0.5
Kyren Williams01004%-4.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Derion Kendrick820.000
Nick Scott530.001
Ernest Jones710.000
Bobby Wagner432.011
Jonah Williams150.000
Jalen Ramsey330.000
Michael Hoecht302.000
Taylor Rapp210.002
David Long200.000
Kyren Williams100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -7
Closing total
41
SEA moneyline
-292
LA moneyline
+252

Seahawks closed -7, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41; the game landed 50 — over by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
SEA 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.