2022 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 11, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

New York Giants

PHI -7.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓Eagles closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 26.

Philadelphia Eagles 48–22 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 12:14, NYG +5% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 12:14PHI 13 — NYG 0PHI ball · 4th & 7PHI 90%

(12:14) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 12:14NYG +5% win prob(12:14) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence].
Q1 · 12:28NYG +5% win prob(12:28) 6-J.Gillan punts 52 yards to PHI 15, Center-58-C.Kreiter. 18-B.Covey to PHI 16 for 1 yard (38-Z.Gilbert).
Q1 · 13:48PHI +4% win prob(13:48) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 35 for -7 yards (94-J.Sweat).
Q1 · 10:22NYG +3% win prob(10:22) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts right guard to NYG 47 for 9 yards (96-H.Mondeaux).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:20PHI Touchdown
(4:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — NYG 0
Q2 · 12:14PHI Touchdown
(12:14) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence]. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 14 — NYG 0
Q2 · 8:24PHI Touchdown
(8:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 11-A.Brown for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 21 — NYG 0
Q2 · 3:03NYG Touchdown
(3:03) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 18-I.Hodgins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 21 — NYG 7
Q2 · 0:58PHI Field goal
(:58) 4-J.Elliott 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-18-B.Covey.
Score after this play: PHI 24 — NYG 7
Q3 · 11:25PHI Field goal
(11:25) 4-J.Elliott 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-18-B.Covey.
Score after this play: PHI 27 — NYG 7
Q3 · 5:42NYG Touchdown
(5:42) 8-D.Jones left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 27 — NYG 14
Q3 · 1:46PHI Touchdown
(1:46) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts right tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 34 — NYG 14
Q4 · 6:10PHI Touchdown
(6:10) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right tackle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 41 — NYG 14
Q4 · 3:14PHI Touchdown
(3:14) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 48 — NYG 14
Q4 · 0:44NYG Touchdown
(:44) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass deep right to 80-R.James for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-22-M.Epps, Unnecessary Roughness, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: PHI 48 — NYG 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Giants
Offensive plays	65	64
Total yards	438 (edge)	306
Yards per play	6.7 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	0.40 (edge)	-0.06
Success rate	51% (edge)	48%
Dropback rate	55%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.20 (edge)	-0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.65 (edge)	-0.15
Third downs	6/11 (edge)	4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	13 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	19
Sacks taken	4 (edge)	7
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.40 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

21/31, 217 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

5.5 expected points added · +3.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

18/27, 169 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-5.1 expected points added · -1.0% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

17 att, 144 yds, 2 TD

8.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

7 att, 77 yds, 1 TD

8.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

4/6 for 70 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 5.5 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

5/8 for 64 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 24	7	9	2:41	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 16	15	80	8:05	Touchdown +7
3	NYG	NYG 21	6	16	2:14	Punt
4	PHI	PHI 9	13	86	4:55	Touchdown +7
5	NYG	NYG 25	8	18	3:41	Turnover on downs
6	PHI	NYG 33	2	33	0:08	Touchdown +7
7	NYG	NYG 20	8	30	3:11	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 8	4	-6	0:50	Punt
9	NYG	PHI 15	4	15	1:18	Touchdown +7
10	PHI	NYG 35	7	24	2:03	Field goal +3
11	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	0:40	Punt
12	PHI	PHI 32	1	0	0:14	End of half
13	PHI	PHI 16	9	63	3:39	Field goal +3
14	NYG	NYG 25	13	75	5:41	Touchdown +7
15	PHI	PHI 37	10	63	3:59	Touchdown +7
16	NYG	NYG 25	5	6	1:37	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 44	4	-4	1:40	Punt
18	NYG	NYG 25	10	57	3:26	Turnover on downs
19	PHI	PHI 24	8	76	3:57	Touchdown +7
20	NYG	NYG 25	3	-2	0:31	Fumble
21	PHI	NYG 23	5	23	2:21	Touchdown +7
22	NYG	NYG 25	11	77	2:30	Touchdown +8
23	PHI	NYG 46	2	0	0:39	End of game

11 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 86 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	21/31	217	2	0	4	5.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	17	144	8.5	2	8.9
Jalen Hurts	7	77	11.0	1	8.9
Boston Scott	6	33	5.5	1	2.6
Gardner Minshew	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	4	6	70	1	19%	5.5
DeVonta Smith	5	8	64	1	26%	7.2
Grant Calcaterra	2	4	24	0	13%	-0.1
Jack Stoll	2	2	20	0	6%	1.5
Quez Watkins	4	5	19	0	16%	-1.6
Miles Sanders	1	3	11	0	10%	-0.0
Zach Pascal	1	1	5	0	3%	0.1
Boston Scott	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.5
Kenneth Gainwell	1	1	0	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Marcus Epps	7	1	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	4	2	0.0	0
Christian Elliss	4	2	0.0	0
T.J. Edwards	1	4	0.0	1
K'Von Wallace	5	0	0.0	0
Fletcher Cox	4	0	1.0	0
Darius Slay	2	2	0.0	2
James Bradberry	3	0	0.0	0
Brandon Graham	3	0	3.0	0
Josiah Scott	1	1	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	18/27	169	1	0	4	-5.1
Tyrod Taylor	5/5	47	1	0	3	-2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tyrod Taylor	2	40	20.0	0	4.5
Saquon Barkley	9	28	3.1	0	-0.7
Daniel Jones	4	26	6.5	1	4.8
Gary Brightwell	5	23	4.6	0	0.0
Matt Breida	3	6	2.0	0	-1.4
Jamie Gillan	1	0	0.0	0	-3.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Richie James	7	9	61	1	28%	-1.0
Darius Slayton	2	3	42	0	9%	2.7
Isaiah Hodgins	4	6	38	1	19%	2.5
Saquon Barkley	2	2	20	0	6%	0.9
Daniel Bellinger	3	3	19	0	9%	1.1
Gary Brightwell	2	3	18	0	9%	0.8
Matt Breida	2	4	9	0	13%	-2.4
Nick Vannett	1	2	9	0	6%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jaylon Smith	7	2	0.0	0
Julian Love	5	3	0.0	0
Jason Pinnock	6	1	0.0	0
Tony Jefferson	4	1	0.0	0
Zyon Gilbert	4	1	1.0	0
Nick McCloud	4	0	0.0	0
Fabian Moreau	4	0	0.0	1
Chris Myarick	1	2	0.0	0
Azeez Ojulari	2	1	2.0	0
Micah McFadden	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -7.5
Closing total: 44.5
PHI moneyline: -302
NYG moneyline: +260

Eagles closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 26.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 70 — over by 25.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 37°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: PHI 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.