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2022 Week 15 · Mon, Dec 19, 2022 · Lambeau Field

Los Angeles Rams

12

Green Bay PackersWinner

24

GB -8 ✓U 39.5 ✓15°F

Green Bay Packers 24–12. Biggest swing: Q1 0:39, LA +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GB ↑LA ↓
Q1 · 0:39LA 0 — GB 3GB ball · 1st & 10GB 86%

(:39) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 13-A.Lazard INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Rapp at LA 14. 24-T.Rapp to LA 32 for 18 yards (28-A.Dillon).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 0:39LA +6% win prob(:39) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 13-A.Lazard INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Rapp at LA 14. 24-T.Rapp to LA 32 for 18 yards (28-A.Dillon).
  2. Q1 · 12:56GB +5% win prob(12:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 12-V.Jefferson to LA 47 for 17 yards (26-D.Savage).
  3. Q2 · 12:43GB +5% win prob(12:43) 3-C.Akers left end pushed ob at GB 33 for 6 yards (20-R.Ford). PENALTY on GB-20-R.Ford, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at GB 33.
  4. Q2 · 12:16LA +5% win prob(12:16) 15-T.Atwell left end to GB 22 for -4 yards (31-A.Amos).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:29GB Field goal

    (4:29) 2-M.Crosby 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

    Score after this play: LA 0 — GB 3
  2. Q2 · 10:45LA Field goal

    (10:45) 8-M.Gay 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — GB 3
  3. Q2 · 4:33GB Touchdown

    (4:33) (Shotgun) 28-A.Dillon up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — GB 10
  4. Q2 · 0:51LA Field goal

    (:51) 8-M.Gay 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: LA 6 — GB 10
  5. Q3 · 8:09GB Touchdown

    (8:09) 28-A.Dillon right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 6 — GB 17
  6. Q3 · 2:36GB Touchdown

    (2:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 6 — GB 24
  7. Q3 · 0:26LA Touchdown

    (:26) (Shotgun) 17-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 89-T.Higbee for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 12 — GB 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsPackers
Offensive plays4365
Total yards156348 (edge)
Yards per play3.65.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.110.06 (edge)
Success rate37%51% (edge)
Dropback rate63%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.170.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.09 (edge)
Third downs4/114/8 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)25 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1025 (edge)
Sacks taken53 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.11.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

22/30, 229 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.0 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Baker MayfieldQB

12/21, 111 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-3.4 expected points added · -7.6% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

17 att, 90 yds, 0 TD

0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

12 att, 65 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Romeo DoubsWR

5/5 for 55 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Christian WatsonWR

4/6 for 46 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 0.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 209254:21Punt
2GBGB 3212526:14Field goal +3
3LALA 26541:49Punt
4GBGB 444122:08Interception
5LALA 329384:47Field goal +3
6GBGB 2613746:15Touchdown +7
7LALA 3511283:40Field goal +3
8GBGB 135270:46End of half
9GBGB 3213586:56Touchdown +7
10LALA 265102:31Punt
11GBLA 357353:02Touchdown +7
12LALA 308552:09Touchdown +6
13GBLA 476-112:09Punt
14LALA 133-31:20Interception
15GBLA 342160:58Fumble
16LALA 155-12:04Punt
17GBGB 1415858:51End of game

7 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 85 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a end of game.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Baker Mayfield12/21111115-3.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Akers12655.401.6
Kyren Williams273.50-0.6
Brandon Powell133.000.0
Baker Mayfield111.00-1.1
Tutu Atwell1-4-4.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cam Akers3335015%2.2
Van Jefferson2232010%4.7
Tyler Higbee4527125%2.4
Tutu Atwell1410020%-0.2
Brandon Powell124010%-0.8
Ben Skowronek133015%-3.1
Malcolm Brown01005%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nick Scott720.000
Taylor Rapp610.011
Troy Hill600.000
Bobby Wagner330.000
Leonard Floyd322.000
Greg Gaines411.000
Michael Hoecht320.000
Jalen Ramsey130.000
Jonah Williams220.000
Ernest Jones220.000

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers22/302291131.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Aaron Jones17905.300.3
A.J. Dillon11363.323.3
Patrick Taylor4153.80-0.7
Aaron Rodgers3-3-1.00-5.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Romeo Doubs5555018%4.8
Christian Watson4646021%0.2
Aaron Jones4536118%0.5
A.J. Dillon3335011%2.3
Randall Cobb3432014%0.9
Marcedes Lewis111404%1.2
Allen Lazard12707%-4.2
Robert Tonyan12407%0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Rasul Douglas510.011
Quay Walker501.002
De'Vondre Campbell220.000
Preston Smith212.000
Adrian Amos200.001
Darnell Savage200.000
Keisean Nixon200.000
Tyler Davis200.000
Devonte Wyatt110.500
Kingsley Enagbare201.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -8
Closing total
39.5
LA moneyline
+301
GB moneyline
-356

Packers closed -8 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 36 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
15°F, wind 4 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
LA 11 days · GB 15 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Matt LaFleur