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2022 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 18, 2022 · SoFi Stadium

Tennessee Titans

14

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

17

LAC -3 pushU 46.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 17–14 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:32, LAC +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑TEN ↓
Q4 · 0:32TEN 14 — LAC 14LAC ball · 2nd & 4LAC 66%

(:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 81-M.Williams to TEN 20 for 35 yards (32-G.Mabin).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:32LAC +21% win prob(:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 81-M.Williams to TEN 20 for 35 yards (32-G.Mabin).
  2. Q4 · 0:08LAC +15% win prob(:08) 15-C.Dicker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  3. Q3 · 5:29TEN +12% win prob(5:29) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle intended for 81-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at TEN 17. 31-K.Byard to TEN 20 for 3 yards (30-A.Ekeler). Penalty on LAC-71-M.Feiler, Offensive Holding, declined.
  4. Q4 · 14:19TEN +10% win prob(14:19) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at LAC 33 for -9 yards (94-C.Rumph).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:27LAC Touchdown

    (4:27) 25-J.Kelley right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 0 — LAC 7
  2. Q2 · 10:13TEN Touchdown

    (10:13) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 7 — LAC 7
  3. Q4 · 10:34LAC Touchdown

    (10:34) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 7 — LAC 14
  4. Q4 · 0:51TEN Touchdown

    (:51) 17-R.Tannehill up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 14 — LAC 14
  5. Q4 · 0:08LAC Field goal

    (:08) 15-C.Dicker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: TEN 14 — LAC 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTitansChargers
Offensive plays5667
Total yards285365 (edge)
Yards per play5.15.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.05 (edge)-0.07
Success rate43%52% (edge)
Dropback rate57%64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.22-0.17 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.17 (edge)0.13
Third downs3/114/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1721 (edge)
Sacks taken43 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

28/42, 313 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-7.5 expected points added · +2.7% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

15/22, 165 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-6.4 expected points added · -4.5% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

21 att, 104 yds, 1 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

12 att, 58 yds, 1 TD

3.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

8/9 for 86 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Mike WilliamsWR

4/8 for 67 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · -7.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TENTEN 255102:24Punt
2LACLAC 3215688:11Touchdown +7
3TENTEN 2510315:51Punt
4LACLAC 12491:10Punt
5TENTEN 377632:15Touchdown +7
6LACLAC 259184:03Punt
7TENTEN 187364:14Punt
8LACLAC 208601:45Interception
9TENTEN 20100:07End of half
10LACLAC 257152:36Punt
11TENTEN 21481:38Punt
12LACLAC 187482:38Punt
13TENTEN 132-10:45Interception
14LACTEN 485212:00Interception
15TENTEN 205262:13Punt
16LACLAC 124-31:27Punt
17TENTEN 466213:09Missed field goal
18LACLAC 417593:06Touchdown +7
19TENTEN 25532:38Punt
20LACLAC 32581:46Punt
21TENTEN 206142:45Punt
22LACLAC 15450:22Punt
23TENTEN 2612742:09Touchdown +7
24LACLAC 237570:44Field goal +3
25TEN—100:04End of game

5 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 74 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill15/22165014-6.4
Malik Willis3/420000-0.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry211045.011.6
Malik Willis188.000.9
Hassan Haskins188.000.9
Chigoziem Okonkwo166.00-0.3
Ryan Tannehill310.310.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Derrick Henry4459015%2.9
Chigoziem Okonkwo4554019%0.6
Austin Hooper2433015%0.9
Chris Conley3319012%1.8
Robert Woods2412015%-1.3
Hassan Haskins22708%-1.0
Racey McMath12108%-3.4
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine02008%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Greg Mabin720.000
Jeffery Simmons341.000
Dylan Cole410.000
DeMarcus Walker412.000
Monty Rice230.001
Jack Gibbens230.000
Kevin Byard320.011
John Reid400.000
Andrew Adams220.000
Roger McCreary210.002

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert28/42313023-7.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler12584.813.2
Joshua Kelley10242.41-0.4
Justin Herbert122.002.1
DeAndre Carter1-10-10.00-1.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen8986024%4.7
Mike Williams4867021%-7.3
Josh Palmer5549013%0.8
Gerald Everett4642016%0.6
Donald Parham333508%1.9
DeAndre Carter121505%0.2
Austin Ekeler231208%-0.9
Joshua Kelley12705%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Drue Tranquill631.000
Alohi Gilman440.000
Kenneth Murray330.001
Breiden Fehoko140.000
Khalil Mack220.001
Kyle Van Noy221.000
Sebastian Joseph220.000
Nasir Adderley300.011
Ja'Sir Taylor300.000
Asante Samuel110.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3
Closing total
46.5
TEN moneyline
+142
LAC moneyline
-158

Chargers closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 31 — under by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
TEN 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Mike Vrabel vs Brandon Staley