2022 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 26, 2022 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Los Angeles ChargersWinner
20
Indianapolis Colts
3
Los Angeles Chargers 20–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:32, LAC +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 8:32LAC +9% win prob(8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).
- Q2 · 12:25IND +9% win prob(12:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 81-M.Williams to IND 31 for 16 yards (31-B.Facyson).
- Q3 · 1:39LAC +8% win prob(1:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 19 for -6 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 54-D.Odeyingbo). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner) [54-D.Odeyingbo], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at LAC 21.
- Q1 · 2:01LAC +8% win prob(2:01) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles sacked at IND 26 for -8 yards (9-K.Murray).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q2 · 8:44LAC Touchdown
(8:44) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 7 — IND 0 - Q2 · 4:26IND Field goal
(4:26) 7-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.
Score after this play: LAC 7 — IND 3 - Q2 · 0:03LAC Field goal
(:03) 15-C.Dicker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 10 — IND 3 - Q3 · 6:05LAC Field goal
(6:05) 15-C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 13 — IND 3 - Q4 · 8:23LAC Touchdown
(8:23) (No Huddle) 30-A.Ekeler left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 20 — IND 3
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chargers | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 50 |
| Total yards | 317 (edge) | 174 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 (edge) | 3.5 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 (edge) | -0.57 |
| Success rate | 50% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 56% | 72% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.09 (edge) | -0.69 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.00 (edge) | -0.28 |
| Third downs | 8/17 (edge) | 0/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 1 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 (edge) | 8 |
| Sacks taken | 4 (edge) | 7 |
| Turnovers | 2 (edge) | 3 |
Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.57.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LAC
24/31, 235 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-3.0 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected
Passing · IND
17/29, 144 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
-24.7 expected points added · -8.1% completion over expected
Receiving · LAC
11/14 for 104 yds, 0 TD
47% of team targets · -1.7 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | IND 28 | 5 | 4 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 34 | 4 | 9 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 3 | IND | IND 15 | 8 | 47 | 3:26 | Interception | |
| 4 | LAC | LAC 41 | 3 | 8 | 0:45 | Interception | |
| 5 | IND | IND 47 | 5 | 10 | 2:40 | Interception | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 33 | 4 | 1 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 7 | IND | IND 30 | 4 | -4 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 8 | LAC | LAC 30 | 14 | 70 | 7:26 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | IND | IND 13 | 9 | 41 | 4:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | LAC | LAC 25 | 14 | 74 | 4:21 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | LAC | LAC 25 | 7 | 30 | 3:22 | Punt | |
| 12 | IND | IND 22 | 3 | 3 | 1:35 | Interception | |
| 13 | LAC | IND 26 | 8 | 23 | 4:02 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | IND | IND 25 | 7 | 8 | 3:09 | Punt | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 18 | 3 | 3 | 1:21 | Fumble | |
| 16 | IND | LAC 21 | 4 | 9 | 1:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 12 | 13 | 93 | 6:33 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | IND | IND 26 | 7 | 23 | 2:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | LAC | IND 48 | 4 | 6 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 20 | IND | IND 20 | 6 | 33 | 3:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | LAC | LAC 48 | 3 | 0 | 1:55 | End of game |
5 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 93 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 24/31 | 235 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | 18 | 67 | 3.7 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Joshua Kelley | 9 | 33 | 3.7 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Justin Herbert | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.5 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | 11 | 14 | 104 | 0 | 47% | -1.7 |
| Mike Williams | 4 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 13% | 9.3 |
| Josh Palmer | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 10% | 1.3 |
| Austin Ekeler | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 13% | -0.3 |
| Tre' McKitty | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 7% | -1.1 |
| Joshua Kelley | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| Donald Parham | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 7% | -0.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drue Tranquill | 3 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Davis | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Alohi Gilman | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Callahan | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Fox | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenneth Murray | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalil Mack | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Van Noy | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derwin James | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sebastian Joseph | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Indianapolis Colts
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Foles | 17/29 | 144 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -24.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Moss | 12 | 65 | 5.4 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Jordan Wilkins | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Nick Foles | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Woods | 3 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 18% | -4.5 |
| Michael Pittman | 4 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 25% | -0.5 |
| Alec Pierce | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 14% | 3.9 |
| Parris Campbell | 2 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 18% | -6.9 |
| Deon Jackson | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11% | -2.4 |
| Zack Moss | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7% | -2.4 |
| Jordan Wilkins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney McLeod | 3 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Blackmon | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Okereke | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaire Franklin | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rodney Thomas | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| DeForest Buckner | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwity Paye | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayo Odeyingbo | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Facyson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| E.J. Speed | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LAC -3.5
- Closing total
- 44.5
- LAC moneyline
- -185
- IND moneyline
- +165
Chargers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 23 — under by 21.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lucas Oil Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- LAC 8 days · IND 9 days
- Coaches
- Brandon Staley vs Jeff Saturday