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2022 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2022 · U.S. Bank Stadium

New York Giants

24

Minnesota VikingsWinner

27

MIN -4.5 no coverO 48 ✓Dome

Minnesota Vikings 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, MIN +35% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIN ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 0:04NYG 24 — MIN 27MIN ball · 2nd & 10MIN 65%

(:04) 1-G.Joseph 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:04MIN +35% win prob(:04) 1-G.Joseph 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  2. Q4 · 0:25NYG +21% win prob(:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 41 for -7 yards (21-L.Collins).
  3. Q4 · 14:18MIN +18% win prob(14:18) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 0:19MIN +17% win prob(:19) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to NYG 42 for 17 yards (20-J.Love).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:23MIN Touchdown

    (3:23) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NYG-99-L.Williams, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — MIN 7
  2. Q2 · 9:45MIN Field goal

    (9:45) 1-G.Joseph 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — MIN 10
  3. Q2 · 4:30NYG Touchdown

    (4:30) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 18-I.Hodgins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — MIN 10
  4. Q3 · 11:22NYG Field goal

    (11:22) 9-G.Gano 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — MIN 10
  5. Q3 · 4:35NYG Field goal

    (4:35) 9-G.Gano 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — MIN 10
  6. Q4 · 14:18MIN Touchdown

    (14:18) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — MIN 17
  7. Q4 · 6:29NYG Field goal

    (6:29) 9-G.Gano 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 16 — MIN 17
  8. Q4 · 3:06MIN Touchdown

    (3:06) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 18-J.Jefferson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Ward]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 16 — MIN 24
  9. Q4 · 2:07NYG Touchdown

    (2:07) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left guard for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: NYG 24 — MIN 24
  10. Q4 · 0:04MIN Field goal

    (:04) 1-G.Joseph 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: NYG 24 — MIN 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsVikings
Offensive plays6770
Total yards447 (edge)353
Yards per play6.7 (edge)5.0
Expected points added / play0.02 (edge)-0.02
Success rate51% (edge)46%
Dropback rate75%73%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.04-0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.23 (edge)-0.00
Third downs3/116/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps24 (edge)21
Sacks taken3 (edge)4
Turnovers20 (edge)

Giants outgained Vikings 447–353 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

30/42, 334 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

3.4 expected points added · +2.7% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

34/48, 299 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

-0.5 expected points added · +2.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

14 att, 84 yds, 1 TD

4.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIN

Dalvin CookRB

14 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

Justin JeffersonWR

12/16 for 133 yds, 1 TD

34% of team targets · 3.2 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

T.J. HockensonTE

13/16 for 109 yds, 2 TD

34% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 257232:09Punt
2NYGNYG 247241:54Punt
3MINMIN 126112:08Punt
4NYGNYG 33471:42Punt
5MINMIN 169843:50Touchdown +7
6NYGNYG 257513:27Fumble
7MINMIN 3610425:10Field goal +3
8NYGNYG 3112695:17Touchdown +7
9MINMIN 25591:39Punt
10NYGNYG 98482:07Punt
11MINMIN 16340:37End of half
12NYGNYG 259443:42Field goal +3
13MINMIN 257192:05Punt
14NYGNYG 208604:42Field goal +3
15MINMIN 2514705:19Touchdown +7
16NYGNYG 256432:30Interception
17MINMIN 296272:47Turnover on downs
18NYGNYG 456182:31Field goal +3
19MINMIN 25522:00Punt
20NYGNYG 25460:22Punt
21MINNYG 296291:02Touchdown +7
22NYGNYG 259770:59Touchdown +8
23MINMIN 259332:01Field goal +3

10 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 84 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones30/423341133.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley14846.014.8
Daniel Jones4348.501.0
Matt Breida294.500.1
Gary Brightwell1-1-1.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Richie James81190027%3.0
Isaiah Hodgins81289129%-3.0
Darius Slayton4679015%5.2
Saquon Barkley81049024%0.8
Daniel Bellinger222705%-4.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jaylon Smith371.000
Fabian Moreau530.000
Micah McFadden250.000
Julian Love330.001
Darnay Holmes420.001
Dexter Lawrence410.001
Kayvon Thibodeaux220.001
Cordale Flott130.001
Leonard Williams121.000
Landon Collins211.001

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins34/48299304-0.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Dalvin Cook14644.60-0.3
Alexander Mattison4174.30-0.4
Kirk Cousins122.000.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Justin Jefferson1216133134%3.2
T.J. Hockenson1316109234%3.1
K.J. Osborn341709%-0.3
Johnny Mundt111602%1.3
Dalvin Cook341309%-1.4
Adam Thielen156011%-2.5
C.J. Ham11502%0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Hicks550.001
Eric Kendricks530.001
Duke Shelley800.000
Danielle Hunter422.000
Josh Metellus410.000
Patrick Peterson400.011
Chandon Sullivan310.000
Harrison Smith210.000
Camryn Bynum210.000
Dalvin Tomlinson110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -4.5
Closing total
48
NYG moneyline
+191
MIN moneyline
-215

Vikings closed -4.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 48; the game landed 51 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
NYG 6 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Kevin O'Connell