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2022 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2022 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
10
24
Kansas City Chiefs 24–10. Biggest swing: Q1 14:55, KC +6% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray pushed ob at KC 37 for 8 yards (57-C.Barton).
How the points landed
(6:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 19-K.Toney for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 0 — KC 7(9:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-J.McKinnon for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 0 — KC 14(2:44) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
Score after this play: SEA 0 — KC 17(:01) 5-J.Myers 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 3 — KC 17(4:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 3 — KC 24(2:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 10 — KC 24Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Seahawks | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 51 |
| Total yards | 333 (edge) | 297 |
| Yards per play | 4.6 | 5.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.22 | 0.01 (edge) |
| Success rate | 33% | 43% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 60% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.36 | 0.15 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.20 |
| Third downs | 2/14 | 3/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Seahawks outgained Chiefs 333–297 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
16/28, 224 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
2.2 expected points added · -9.0% completion over expected
Passing · SEA
25/40, 215 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-18.2 expected points added · +0.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 29 | 5 | 8 | 0:45 | Punt | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 7 | 5 | 14 | 2:22 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 37 | 10 | 58 | 5:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | SEA | KC 48 | 5 | 7 | 2:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | KC | KC 41 | 5 | 12 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 20 | 4 | 2 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 7 | KC | KC 30 | 4 | 7 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 16 | 4 | -5 | 2:43 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 47 | 8 | 53 | 3:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | SEA | SEA 28 | 8 | 14 | 3:28 | Punt | |
| 11 | KC | KC 28 | 6 | 43 | 2:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 7 | 12 | 66 | 2:40 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 4 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 33 | 4 | 7 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 18 | 10 | 48 | 5:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | KC | KC 34 | 6 | 12 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 26 | 7 | 57 | 4:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | KC | KC 22 | 4 | 9 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 45 | 9 | 33 | 5:41 | Interception | |
| 20 | KC | KC 20 | 6 | 80 | 3:00 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | SEA | SEA 25 | 12 | 75 | 2:17 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 22 | KC | SEA 44 | 5 | 8 | 1:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | SEA | SEA 36 | 4 | 18 | 1:06 | End of game |
6 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 80 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 25/40 | 215 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -18.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 26 | 107 | 4.1 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Geno Smith | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 4.9 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | 7 | 9 | 81 | 0 | 24% | 2.3 |
| Colby Parkinson | 3 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 11% | -2.4 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 6 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Barton | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Shelby Harris | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Poona Ford |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 16/28 | 224 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 14 | 58 | 4.1 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 14.
Total closed 50.5; the game landed 34 — under by 16.5.
Conditions and crew
| -1.1 |
| Laquon Treadwell | 3 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 18% | -4.6 |
| Will Dissly | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| Noah Fant | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 8% | 1.0 |
| Penny Hart | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5% | -1.6 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -7.2 |
| Kenneth Walker | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 5% | -1.6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Darrell Taylor | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Jackson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Boye Mafe | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Teez Tabor | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Adams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tariq Woolen | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 0.0 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Ronald Jones | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 6 | 8 | 113 | 0 | 30% | 4.0 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 1 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 7% | 1.3 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 3 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 11% | 3.7 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 15% | -0.6 |
| Kadarius Toney | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7% | 1.1 |
| Noah Gray | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | 0.6 |
| Skyy Moore | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 0.3 |
| Justin Watson | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15% | -4.0 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -2.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 7 | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie Gay | 2 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Reid | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| L'Jarius Sneed | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Thornhill | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Trent McDuffie | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Nnadi | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Danna | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
