2022 Week 17 · Thu, Dec 29, 2022 · Nissan Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

Tennessee Titans

DAL -14 pushU 41 ✓Cowboys closed -14 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Dallas Cowboys 27–13. Biggest swing: Q3 9:02, TEN +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 9:02DAL 10 — TEN 6DAL ball · 3rd & 19DAL 87%

(9:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 13-M.Gallup. PENALTY on TEN-30-T.Avery, Defensive Pass Interference, 51 yards, enforced at DAL 43 - No Play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 9:02TEN +6% win prob(9:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 13-M.Gallup. PENALTY on TEN-30-T.Avery, Defensive Pass Interference, 51 yards, enforced at DAL 43 - No Play.
Q1 · 13:20DAL +5% win prob(13:20) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to DAL 49 for 3 yards (99-R.Weaver, 93-T.Tart).
Q1 · 9:24TEN +4% win prob(9:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 86-D.Schultz to TEN 42 for 13 yards (47-A.Adams).
Q1 · 14:25TEN +4% win prob(14:25) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 42 for 13 yards (30-T.Avery).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:41DAL Touchdown
(4:41) 21-E.Elliott left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 7 — TEN 0
Q2 · 15:00DAL Field goal
(15:00) 19-B.Maher 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 10 — TEN 0
Q2 · 1:08TEN Field goal
(1:08) 14-R.Bullock 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: DAL 10 — TEN 3
Q2 · 0:02TEN Field goal
(:02) 14-R.Bullock 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: DAL 10 — TEN 6
Q3 · 8:52DAL Touchdown
(8:52) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-D.Schultz for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 17 — TEN 6
Q3 · 2:10TEN Touchdown
(2:10) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs pass short left to 2-R.Woods for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 17 — TEN 13
Q4 · 12:03DAL Touchdown
(12:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-D.Schultz for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-47-A.Adams was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 24 — TEN 13
Q4 · 6:28DAL Field goal
(6:28) 19-B.Maher 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DAL 27 — TEN 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Titans
Offensive plays	74	65
Total yards	361 (edge)	317
Yards per play	4.9 (edge)	4.9
Expected points added / play	0.00 (edge)	-0.16
Success rate	43% (edge)	29%
Dropback rate	59%	65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.25 (edge)	-0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.35	-0.11 (edge)
Third downs	8/13 (edge)	7/16
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	21 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	3	2 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.00 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

29/41, 282 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

10.5 expected points added · +3.7% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Joshua DobbsQB

20/39, 232 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-8.4 expected points added · -10.1% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Hassan HaskinsRB

12 att, 40 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Malik DavisRB

10 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

11/14 for 100 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 2.1 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Treylon BurksWR

4/8 for 66 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 0.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	7	24	2:26	Punt
2	TEN	TEN 13	6	26	2:28	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 40	11	41	5:30	Touchdown +7
4	TEN	TEN 25	5	2	0:59	Punt
5	DAL	DAL 35	8	47	3:41	Field goal +3
6	TEN	TEN 25	10	44	5:01	Fumble
7	DAL	DAL 31	5	23	1:52	Fumble
8	TEN	TEN 48	4	5	1:27	Punt
9	DAL	DAL 8	8	40	3:03	Interception
10	TEN	TEN 36	8	45	2:29	Field goal +3
11	DAL	DAL 25	8	31	0:51	Interception
12	TEN	DAL 41	2	30	0:13	Field goal +3
13	TEN	TEN 25	5	4	1:37	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 11	11	39	4:35	Touchdown +7
15	TEN	TEN 29	16	71	6:44	Touchdown +7
16	DAL	DAL 25	12	60	5:06	Touchdown +7
17	TEN	TEN 25	8	35	2:08	Punt
18	DAL	DAL 20	7	53	3:26	Field goal +3
19	TEN	TEN 40	3	4	0:27	Interception
20	DAL	DAL 40	4	0	1:02	Punt
21	TEN	TEN 33	8	25	1:11	Turnover on downs
22	DAL	DAL 47	4	3	1:54	Punt
23	TEN	TEN 9	4	26	1:50	End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 71 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	29/41	282	2	2	1	10.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Malik Davis	10	39	3.9	0	-1.2
Ezekiel Elliott	19	37	1.9	1	-4.6
Dak Prescott	3	11	3.7	0	-4.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	11	14	100	0	34%	2.1
Dalton Schultz	7	10	56	2	24%	3.3
T.Y. Hilton	4	5	50	0	12%	5.6
Michael Gallup	3	4	39	0	10%	3.8
Malik Davis	2	2	23	0	5%	2.7
Jake Ferguson	1	1	7	0	2%	0.3
Noah Brown	1	4	7	0	10%	-1.9
Peyton Hendershot	0	1	0	0	2%	-3.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Nahshon Wright	6	3	0.0	1	2
Daron Bland	4	3	0.0	0	0
Jayron Kearse	5	2	0.0	0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	3	2	0.0	0	2
Carlos Watkins	1	3	0.0	0	0
Anthony Barr	2	2	0.0	0	0
Damone Clark	3	1	0.0	0	0
Malik Hooker	2	1	0.0	0	0
Dorance Armstrong	1	1	0.0	0	0
Dante Fowler	1	1	1.0	0	0

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joshua Dobbs	20/39	232	1	1	2	-8.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Hassan Haskins	12	40	3.3	-0.7
Jonathan Ward	4	26	6.5	-0.2
Treylon Burks	1	20	20.0	1.2
Joshua Dobbs	3	12	4.0	-0.2
Julius Chestnut	4	-1	-0.3	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Treylon Burks	4	8	66	0	21%	0.0
Robert Woods	5	9	39	1	24%	-0.5
Racey McMath	1	2	39	0	5%	2.8
Julius Chestnut	1	1	33	0	3%	2.0
Chigoziem Okonkwo	3	4	24	0	11%	0.1
Hassan Haskins	2	3	13	0	8%	0.4
Austin Hooper	1	6	6	0	16%	-4.9
Jonathan Ward	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	1	3	4	0	8%	-1.4
Geoff Swaim	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Monty Rice	5	5	0.0	0	0
Jack Gibbens	5	5	0.0	0	0
Joshua Kalu	2	5	0.0	0	0
Tre Avery	5	1	0.0	0	2
Kevin Byard	4	2	0.0	2	2
Teair Tart	1	4	0.5	0	0
Roger McCreary	3	0	0.0	0	1
Mario Edwards	2	1	0.0	0	0
DeMarcus Walker	1	2	0.5	0	0
Lonnie Johnson	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -14
Closing total: 41
DAL moneyline: -741
TEN moneyline: +563

Cowboys closed -14 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 41; the game landed 40 — under by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 56°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: DAL 5 days · TEN 5 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Mike Vrabel