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2022 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Indianapolis Colts

10

New York GiantsWinner

38

NYG -5.5 ✓O 38.5 ✓

New York Giants 38–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:33, NYG +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑IND ↓
Q1 · 5:33IND 0 — NYG 0IND ball · 3rd & 8NYG 69%

(5:33) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep middle to 1-P.Campbell to NYG 14 for 49 yards (29-X.McKinney).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 5:33NYG +12% win prob(5:33) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep middle to 1-P.Campbell to NYG 14 for 49 yards (29-X.McKinney).
  2. Q2 · 10:44NYG +8% win prob(10:44) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 80-R.James for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 7:21IND +5% win prob(7:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-Z.Moss left guard to IND 43 for 8 yards (54-J.Smith, 29-X.McKinney). PENALTY on IND-79-B.Raimann, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 35 - No Play.
  4. Q2 · 1:54IND +5% win prob(1:54) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right intended for 1-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 21-L.Collins at NYG 48. 21-L.Collins for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 2:29IND Field goal

    (2:29) 7-C.McLaughlin 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 10:44NYG Touchdown

    (10:44) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 80-R.James for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 7
  3. Q2 · 4:26NYG Touchdown

    (4:26) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 18-I.Hodgins for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 14
  4. Q2 · 1:54NYG Touchdown

    (1:54) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right intended for 1-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 21-L.Collins at NYG 48. 21-L.Collins for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 21
  5. Q2 · 0:05NYG Field goal

    (:05) 9-G.Gano 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 24
  6. Q3 · 10:46NYG Touchdown

    (10:46) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones left end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 3 — NYG 31
  7. Q3 · 2:13IND Touchdown

    (2:13) (Shotgun) 4-S.Ehlinger pass short middle to 11-M.Pittman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-D.Lawrence]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 10 — NYG 31
  8. Q4 · 12:04NYG Touchdown

    (12:04) 8-D.Jones left end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: IND 10 — NYG 38

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricColtsGiants
Offensive plays5661
Total yards252394 (edge)
Yards per play4.56.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.170.21 (edge)
Success rate32%59% (edge)
Dropback rate54%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.290.33 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.020.10 (edge)
Third downs3/124/7 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)410 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1223 (edge)
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers11

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs -0.17.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

19/24, 177 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

11.8 expected points added · +12.2% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Nick FolesQB

8/13, 81 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-9.5 expected points added · -8.6% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

11 att, 91 yds, 2 TD

8.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Zack MossRB

15 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Richie JamesWR

7/7 for 76 yds, 1 TD

30% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Parris CampbellWR

3/6 for 52 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1INDIND 25772:48Punt
2NYGNYG 219323:56Punt
3INDIND 209855:50Field goal +3
4NYGNYG 2913816:48Touchdown +7
5INDIND 256111:28Punt
6NYGNYG 3610594:49Touchdown +7
7INDIND 257162:36Defensive touchdown
8INDIND 31680:59Punt
9NYGNYG 399430:46Field goal +3
10NYGNYG 25250:07Fumble
11INDNYG 30410:54Missed field goal
12NYGNYG 387623:19Touchdown +7
13INDIND 3218688:32Touchdown +7
14NYGNYG 3010555:11Touchdown +7
15INDIND 129393:21Punt
16NYGNYG 1410576:40Turnover on downs
17INDIND 293171:56End of game

7 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Nick Foles8/1381011-9.5
Sam Ehlinger9/14601010.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zack Moss15744.900.7
Jordan Wilkins6233.80-1.4
Sam Ehlinger11212.001.3
Deon Jackson3103.30-0.8
Nick Foles188.00-0.0
Parris Campbell111.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Parris Campbell3652022%-6.0
Michael Pittman6841130%4.0
Jelani Woods3419015%-0.7
Alec Pierce3515019%-1.8
Jordan Wilkins221407%-0.1
Mike Strachan01004%-0.6
Mo Alie-Cox01004%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Okereke1140.000
Zaire Franklin630.002
Rodney Thomas510.000
DeForest Buckner410.000
Rodney McLeod210.000
Stephon Gilmore300.000
Julian Blackmon200.000
Kwity Paye110.000
Dallis Flowers200.000
Grover Stewart110.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones19/2417720011.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Daniel Jones11918.328.4
Matt Breida9596.602.4
Saquon Barkley12584.80-0.5
Gary Brightwell591.80-4.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Richie James7776130%8.2
Isaiah Hodgins4542122%2.3
Daniel Bellinger3342013%3.6
Darius Slayton2314013%-5.5
Matt Breida11804%0.2
Saquon Barkley24-5017%-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jaylon Smith440.000
Xavier McKinney330.001
Fabian Moreau310.000
Dexter Lawrence311.000
Landon Collins130.011
Tony Jefferson220.000
Julian Love210.000
Darnay Holmes300.000
Micah McFadden120.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux211.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -5.5
Closing total
38.5
IND moneyline
+202
NYG moneyline
-229

Giants closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 48 — over by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
52°F, wind 14 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
IND 6 days · NYG 8 days
Coaches
Jeff Saturday vs Brian Daboll