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2022 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2023 · SoFi Stadium

Los Angeles Rams

10

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

31

LAC -6.5 ✓U 41.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 31–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 4:14, LAC +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑LA ↓
Q2 · 4:14LA 9 — LAC 14LA ball · 3rd & 3LAC 90%

(4:14) 41-M.Brown up the middle for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 4:14LAC +8% win prob(4:14) 41-M.Brown up the middle for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 8:37LAC +7% win prob(8:37) 30-A.Ekeler right guard for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 5:44LAC +7% win prob(5:44) 3-C.Akers left end to LAC 22 for 42 yards (9-K.Murray).
  4. Q2 · 13:47LAC +7% win prob(13:47) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 1:13LA Field goal

    (1:13) 8-M.Gay 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — LAC 0
  2. Q2 · 13:47LAC Touchdown

    (13:47) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — LAC 7
  3. Q2 · 8:37LAC Touchdown

    (8:37) 30-A.Ekeler right guard for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — LAC 14
  4. Q2 · 4:14LA Touchdown

    (4:14) 41-M.Brown up the middle for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10 — LAC 14
  5. Q2 · 0:18LAC Field goal

    (:18) 15-C.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LA 10 — LAC 17
  6. Q3 · 8:50LAC Touchdown

    (8:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 7-G.Everett for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10 — LAC 24
  7. Q4 · 12:16LAC Touchdown

    (12:16) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 89-D.Parham for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10 — LAC 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsChargers
Offensive plays4762
Total yards278431 (edge)
Yards per play5.97.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.100.29 (edge)
Success rate43%56% (edge)
Dropback rate51%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.430.37 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.24 (edge)0.20
Third downs4/118/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)66
First downs gained on snaps1222 (edge)
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

21/28, 212 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.2 expected points added · +6.8% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Baker MayfieldQB

11/19, 132 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-11.6 expected points added · -3.5% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

19 att, 123 yds, 0 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

10 att, 122 yds, 2 TD

10.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Mike WilliamsWR

7/10 for 94 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Van JeffersonWR

3/3 for 77 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 257152:47Punt
2LACLAC 246232:54Punt
3LALA 1413818:10Field goal +3
4LACLAC 257752:29Touchdown +7
5LALA 257463:20Punt
6LACLAC 106901:55Touchdown +7
7LALA 259804:16Touchdown +7
8LACLAC 2514533:55Field goal +3
9LALA 25200:14End of half
10LACLAC 2513756:14Touchdown +7
11LALA 256362:37Fumble
12LACLAC 39421:40Punt
13LALA 236163:16Punt
14LACLAC 3010704:01Touchdown +7
15LALA 25571:00Punt
16LACLAC 267284:39Punt
17LALA 124-91:28Punt
18LACLAC 467154:05Punt
19LALA 6261:00End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 90 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Baker Mayfield11/19132003-11.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Akers191236.501.4
Malcolm Brown12323.013.2
Baker Mayfield382.701.3
Brandon Powell166.001.1
Kyren Williams263.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Van Jefferson3377017%5.9
Brycen Hopkins112106%1.3
Tyler Higbee3411022%-1.2
Cam Akers1210011%0.1
Tutu Atwell2510028%-2.4
Brandon Powell123011%-1.1
Lance McCutcheon01006%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones540.000
Taylor Rapp610.000
Bobby Wagner420.000
Cobie Durant510.000
Nick Scott420.000
Michael Hoecht320.000
Troy Hill300.000
Larrell Murchison110.000
Jalen Ramsey110.001
Leonard Floyd110.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert21/2821220010.2
Chase Daniel3/3270001.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler1012212.2210.0
Joshua Kelley9455.001.1
Larry Rountree10151.50-5.9
Keenan Allen188.000.6
Justin Herbert122.000.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mike Williams71094032%3.1
Keenan Allen5660019%5.2
Austin Ekeler4439013%1.7
Gerald Everett3315110%2.1
DeAndre Carter2314010%-1.5
Larry Rountree111303%2.0
Donald Parham11313%2.1
Joshua Kelley12106%-2.2
Josh Palmer01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Drue Tranquill650.000
Asante Samuel420.000
Nasir Adderley220.001
Sebastian Joseph221.000
Alohi Gilman210.000
Kenneth Murray120.000
Ja'Sir Taylor030.001
Morgan Fox211.000
J.T. Woods110.000
Kyle Van Noy111.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -6.5
Closing total
41.5
LA moneyline
+244
LAC moneyline
-283

Chargers closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 41 — under by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
LA 7 days · LAC 6 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Brandon Staley