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2022 Wild Card · Sun, Jan 15, 2023 · U.S. Bank Stadium

New York GiantsWinner

31

Minnesota Vikings

24

MIN -2.5 upsetO 48 ✓Dome

New York Giants 31–24. Biggest swing: Q3 0:32, MIN +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIN ↑NYG ↓
Q3 · 0:32NYG 24 — MIN 21MIN ball · 4th & 2NYG 57%

(:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson to NYG 25 for 18 yards (20-J.Love).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 0:32MIN +16% win prob(:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson to NYG 25 for 18 yards (20-J.Love).
  2. Q4 · 8:38MIN +11% win prob(8:38) 8-D.Jones up the middle to MIN 5 for 2 yards (94-D.Tomlinson).
  3. Q1 · 3:06MIN +9% win prob(3:06) 8-D.Jones pass deep right to 86-D.Slayton pushed ob at MIN 34 for 47 yards (24-C.Bynum).
  4. Q1 · 5:19MIN +8% win prob(5:19) 26-S.Barkley left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:26MIN Touchdown

    (8:26) 64-B.Brandel reported in as eligible. 8-K.Cousins up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — MIN 7
  2. Q1 · 5:19NYG Touchdown

    (5:19) 26-S.Barkley left end for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — MIN 7
  3. Q1 · 1:08NYG Touchdown

    (1:08) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 18-I.Hodgins for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 14 — MIN 7
  4. Q2 · 3:29NYG Field goal

    (3:29) 9-G.Gano 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — MIN 7
  5. Q2 · 0:50MIN Touchdown

    (:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 17-K.Osborn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — MIN 14
  6. Q3 · 11:42NYG Touchdown

    (11:42) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 82-D.Bellinger for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 24 — MIN 14
  7. Q3 · 7:50MIN Touchdown

    (7:50) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 84-I.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-57-J.Davis, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 24 — MIN 21
  8. Q4 · 12:38MIN Field goal

    (12:38) 1-G.Joseph 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

    Score after this play: NYG 24 — MIN 24
  9. Q4 · 7:52NYG Touchdown

    (7:52) 26-S.Barkley up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 31 — MIN 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsVikings
Offensive plays6456
Total yards434 (edge)332
Yards per play6.8 (edge)5.9
Expected points added / play0.37 (edge)0.17
Success rate52%54% (edge)
Dropback rate69%71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.44 (edge)0.25
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.02
Third downs7/12 (edge)4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)10 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps26 (edge)19
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers00

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.37 expected points added per play vs 0.17.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

24/35, 301 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

13.6 expected points added · -1.3% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

31/39, 273 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

12.2 expected points added · +13.7% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

17 att, 78 yds, 0 TD

9.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIN

Dalvin CookRB

15 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

T.J. HockensonTE

10/11 for 129 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 10.9 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Isaiah HodginsWR

8/9 for 105 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 8.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 2514706:37Touchdown +7
2NYGNYG 257853:12Touchdown +7
3MINMIN 25572:05Punt
4NYGNYG 195812:03Touchdown +7
5MINMIN 257221:46Punt
6NYGNYG 9209010:52Field goal +3
7MINMIN 2510752:40Touchdown +7
8NYGNYG 105110:45End of half
9NYGNYG 258753:23Touchdown +7
10MINMIN 2510753:51Touchdown +7
11NYGNYG 25883:34Punt
12MINMIN 2412606:38Field goal +3
13NYGNYG 2514674:47Touchdown +7
14MINMIN 235-11:35Punt
15NYGNYG 2410173:16Punt
16MINMIN 126241:12Turnover on downs
17NYGNYG 49301:44End of game

9 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 90 scrimmage yards over 20 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones24/3530120313.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Daniel Jones17784.609.8
Saquon Barkley9535.920.2
Matt Breida382.700.4
Darius Slayton133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Isaiah Hodgins89105127%8.5
Darius Slayton4888024%5.8
Saquon Barkley5656018%4.7
Richie James4631018%-0.5
Daniel Bellinger221716%2.0
Lawrence Cager12406%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Xavier McKinney440.001
Dexter Lawrence240.000
Darnay Holmes230.000
Adoree' Jackson410.000
Jaylon Smith310.000
Leonard Williams120.001
Julian Love120.000
Tony Jefferson120.000
Jarrad Davis200.000
Fabian Moreau200.000

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins31/3927320012.2
Justin Jefferson1/1-2000-2.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Dalvin Cook15604.00-1.0
Kirk Cousins111.010.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
T.J. Hockenson1011129028%10.9
Adam Thielen3450010%3.4
Justin Jefferson7947023%0.6
K.J. Osborn232018%0.7
Johnny Mundt111203%0.8
Dalvin Cook6710018%-2.3
Irv Smith12315%0.2
Alexander Mattison11203%-0.2
Kirk Cousins11-203%-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Hicks620.000
Eric Kendricks511.001
Camryn Bynum420.000
Patrick Peterson500.000
Duke Shelley320.001
Danielle Hunter311.000
Dalvin Tomlinson310.000
Za'Darius Smith210.000
Chandon Sullivan120.001
Harrison Smith200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -2.5
Closing total
48
NYG moneyline
+129
MIN moneyline
-142

Vikings closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48; the game landed 55 — over by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
NYG 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Kevin O'Connell