For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2022 Super Bowl · Sun, Feb 12, 2023 · State Farm Stadium

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

38

Philadelphia Eagles

35

PHI -1 upsetO 51 ✓Dome

Kansas City Chiefs 38–35 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 10:33, KC +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑KC ↓
Q4 · 10:33KC 28 — PHI 27PHI ball · 4th & 3KC 59%

(10:33) 8-A.Siposs punts 38 yards to KC 30, Center-45-R.Lovato. 19-K.Toney pushed ob at PHI 5 for 65 yards (8-A.Siposs).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 10:33KC +18% win prob(10:33) 8-A.Siposs punts 38 yards to KC 30, Center-45-R.Lovato. 19-K.Toney pushed ob at PHI 5 for 65 yards (8-A.Siposs).
  2. Q4 · 5:45PHI +18% win prob(5:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 6-D.Smith ran ob at KC 2 for 45 yards.
  3. Q2 · 9:48KC +18% win prob(9:48) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to PHI 45 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, touched at PHI 44, RECOVERED by KC-32-N.Bolton at PHI 36. 32-N.Bolton for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 2:55PHI +15% win prob(2:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles up the middle to PHI 17 for 26 yards (43-K.White).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:13PHI Touchdown

    (10:13) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-95-C.Jones, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 7:03KC Touchdown

    (7:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — PHI 7
  3. Q2 · 15:00PHI Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — PHI 14
  4. Q2 · 9:48KC Touchdown

    (9:48) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to PHI 45 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, touched at PHI 44, RECOVERED by KC-32-N.Bolton at PHI 36. 32-N.Bolton for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — PHI 14
  5. Q2 · 2:24PHI Touchdown

    (2:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 14 — PHI 21
  6. Q2 · 0:04PHI Field goal

    (:04) 4-J.Elliott 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: KC 14 — PHI 24
  7. Q3 · 9:33KC Touchdown

    (9:33) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 21 — PHI 24
  8. Q3 · 1:48PHI Field goal

    (1:48) 4-J.Elliott 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-8-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: KC 21 — PHI 27
  9. Q4 · 12:08KC Touchdown

    (12:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 19-K.Toney for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 28 — PHI 27
  10. Q4 · 9:26KC Touchdown

    (9:26) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 24-S.Moore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 35 — PHI 27
  11. Q4 · 5:20PHI Touchdown

    (5:20) (No Huddle) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: KC 35 — PHI 35
  12. Q4 · 0:11KC Field goal

    (:11) 7-H.Butker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: KC 38 — PHI 35

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsEagles
Offensive plays5173
Total yards347419 (edge)
Yards per play6.8 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.37 (edge)0.16
Success rate61% (edge)49%
Dropback rate59%58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.53 (edge)0.33
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.15 (edge)-0.07
Third downs4/711/18 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps1924 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)2
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Eagles outgained Chiefs 419–347 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

27/38, 304 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

12.9 expected points added · +12.0% completion over expected

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

21/27, 182 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

12.4 expected points added · +13.6% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Isiah PachecoRB

15 att, 76 yds, 1 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15 att, 70 yds, 3 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

7/9 for 100 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

6/8 for 96 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 2513754:51Touchdown +7
2KCKC 258753:12Touchdown +7
3PHIPHI 25562:11Punt
4KCKC 347372:22Missed field goal
5PHIPHI 326632:32Touchdown +7
6KCKC 25521:34Punt
7PHIPHI 336153:39Defensive touchdown
8PHIPHI 2514717:19Touchdown +7
9KCKC 257140:58Punt
10PHIPHI 438401:22Field goal +3
11KCKC 2512755:30Touchdown +7
12PHIPHI 2518657:45Defensive touchdown +3
13KCKC 2511704:41Touchdown +7
14PHIPHI 25571:53Punt
15KCPHI 5450:49Touchdown +7
16PHIPHI 2510774:07Touchdown +8
17KCKC 2513695:07Field goal +3
18PHIPHI 36200:08End of game

11 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 77 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes21/2718230012.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isiah Pacheco15765.111.8
Patrick Mahomes6447.300.4
Jerick McKinnon4348.502.1
Skyy Moore144.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Travis Kelce6681124%7.1
JuJu Smith-Schuster7953036%1.0
Justin Watson221808%1.7
Jerick McKinnon3315012%0.7
Noah Gray11604%0.2
Kadarius Toney11514%2.5
Skyy Moore11414%2.6
Joseph Fortson01004%-1.6
Marquez Valdes-Scantling01004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Willie Gay620.000
Nick Bolton710.000
L'Jarius Sneed340.002
Justin Reid520.000
Leo Chenal421.000
Juan Thornhill320.001
Trent McDuffie310.000
Joshua Williams310.000
Jaylen Watson300.000
Chris Jones210.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts27/3830410212.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts15704.732.3
Kenneth Gainwell7213.000.9
Miles Sanders7162.30-2.4
Boston Scott382.70-1.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith79100026%4.2
A.J. Brown6896124%6.9
Dallas Goedert6760021%5.0
Kenneth Gainwell4420012%-0.4
Zach Pascal221106%1.6
Boston Scott11903%0.8
Quez Watkins12806%-0.3
Miles Sanders01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Avonte Maddox610.000
Marcus Epps420.000
T.J. Edwards510.001
James Bradberry410.000
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson220.000
Darius Slay400.000
Javon Hargrave310.000
Kyzir White310.000
Josh Sweat100.000
Arryn Siposs100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -1
Closing total
51
KC moneyline
+104
PHI moneyline
-115

Eagles closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 51; the game landed 73 — over by 22.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
KC 14 days · PHI 14 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Nick Sirianni