For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending .md to those URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
DYNATYZE
DYNATYZE
Loading
Game Center
polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:41 AM ET · 16 to play
2 other measures were inside a third of the league's own spread — two clubs doing the same thing, so they are not shown.
Drawn from the weekly play-by-play file, which paints on the Monday 4:00 AM ET sync after the game.
The model against the market, the momentum underneath, every drive — scrub to replay it
How the game was won
The model and the market were 5.6 win-probability points apart on the average play, and 12 apart at the widest — with the model the more convinced about Rams.
MarketModelmodel higher on Seahawkshigher on Rams165 of 177 plays carry both curves
(9:01) 23-K.Williams left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Swing −13.4 for SeahawksExpected points −2.10 for SeahawksThe model had Rams 10 points higher than the market did.play 98
The solid line is the betting market's home win probability; the dashed line is the play-by-play model's. The shaded band between them is the disagreement — emerald where the model liked the home team more, red where it liked the away team more. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest swings.
Highest-leverage plays
3rd · 9:01SEA +13% win prob(9:01) 23-K.Williams left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3rd · 10:35SEA +12% win prob(10:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell to SEA 8 for 44 yards (22-T.Brown).
4th · 9:49SEA +10% win prob(9:49) 3-C.Akers left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2nd · 1:54LA +10% win prob(1:54) 8-B.Maher 57 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-Ja.Reed), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RECOVERED by SEA-30-M.Jackson at SEA 48. 30-M.Jackson to LA 42 for 10 yards (72-T.Anchrum).
2nd · 9:21SEA +10% win prob(9:21) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3rd · 4:55SEA +10% win prob(4:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 89-T.Higbee to SEA 24 for 30 yards (20-J.Love).
2nd · 0:36
SettledThe modelled figures are the league play-by-play model's, not ours.
How the points landed
The margin ledger
Kyren Williams's 7-yard rushing touchdown with 9:01 left in the 3rd put Los Angeles Rams ahead for good. The lead never changed over the 4 scores that followed.
Lead
1st9:56Jason Myers·36-yd field goal36-yard field goalholder M.Dickson · snap C.Stoll+30–3
4th5:02Brett Maher·54-yd field goal54-yard field goalholder E.Evans · snap A.Ward+327–13
4th0:15Brett Maher·45-yd field goal45-yard field goalholder E.Evans · snap A.Ward+330–13
9 scores · bar length is the lead after each one
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
Ramscategory by categorySeahawks
Rams8–0Seahawks
426Total yards180
5.5Yards per play3.9
50%Success rate43%
65%Third-down rate22%
3Red-zone touchdowns1
7Explosive plays3
25First downs10
0Sacks taken2
0Turnovers0
The read
Rams ahead 8–0 on categories, including the biggest gap of the duel — sacks taken.
Expected points added, per play
The centre line is an average play. A bar to the right of it is a side that gained more than the situation was worth; a bar to the left is a side that lost ground. All six bars share one scale, ±0.55 points.
Every snapexpected points added per play, all downs
+0.27Rams: +0.27 expected points added per play
−0.11Seahawks: −0.11 expected points added per play
Dropping backexpected points added per dropback
+0.55Rams: +0.55 expected points added per play
−0.14Seahawks: −0.14 expected points added per play
Running itexpected points added per rush
−0.00Rams: −0.00 expected points added per play
−0.05Seahawks: −0.05 expected points added per play
Neither side “wins” volume or play-calling mix, so neither is drawn as a duel: Rams ran 78 snaps at a 50% dropback rate against Seahawks’s 46 at 63%. Red-zone trips: Rams 4, Seahawks 3.
NoteRams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.27 expected points added per play vs -0.11.
Derived from the play-by-play, no model
The Read
11 of 12 readings cleared their snap floor and were tested against four comparisons: this week's whole slate, the team's own season, the week before, and the team's own ordinary spread. Every bar below is set in that team's own week-to-week swing, never in league points — one team's swing runs 1.6 to 3.1 times the entire league's spread.
Nothing cleared the bars. No reading led the week's slate, set a season mark, reversed the week before, or sat two of the team's own standard deviations off their number — which is what most Sundays look like, and is the finding rather than a gap.
The season-grain rooms, pointed at this one game
Was this normal for them?
11 of 12 readings cleared their snap floor. Every deviation below is measured in that team's own game-to-game swing, not in league points — because one game's swing runs from 1.6 to 3.1 times the whole league's spread.
their week-to-week swingall 32 teams
upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale -23 pts to 17 pts
inside their normal wobble · +3.8 vs their 13.4%, and they swing ±5.8 week to week (+0.66× that swing) · 29 dropbacks
Seahawks5.1%
leaned — stayed blocked · −9.5 vs their 14.7%, and they swing ±8.5 week to week (−1.12× that swing) · 39 dropbacks
NoteSEA's sack or hit rate was the night's one real departure: 5.1%, 9.5 points below their season mean of 14.7% and 1.1 times their own 8.5-point weekly swing.
The Game Day Roster
Who was out, who dressed and never took a snap, and who was on the field how much. Game-day list and snap counts from the weekly roster and snap feeds. Practice-squad and injured-reserve players are not shown — they were never on the game-day list.
Expected points are modelled in full PPR, so the “vs expected” column stays in that unit whichever format the pills are set to. Switching the pills changes the points column, not the plane.
The field map
Every snap, where it happened
The whole game as one hundred yards. The Seahawks attack right, the Rams attack left, so a change of possession is a reversal you can see. Reading down is the order the snaps were played — not the clock, so a two-minute drill gets the same room as any other fourteen snaps. This game is final.
Rams←Seahawks→
Q1Q2Q3Q4
M.Stafford pass+17% win probabilitymoment 3 of 4
(10:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 5-T.Atwell to SEA 8 for 44 yards (22-T.Brown).
Q3 10:35 · Rams · 3rd & 8 at LA 48 · gained 44 · +4.35 EP · +16.6% win probability
163 snaps placed · 14 without a recorded yard line, left off the map · 4 marked moments — the largest win-probability swings, one per drive.
The Film Room · post-game
Post-game film: 177 plays across 18 drives, personnel groupings on 163 snaps, the eleven on the field by name, manual charting on 172. Everything here paints once the weekly sync ingests the game — there is no live play-level feed in this product, so nothing on this page updates while a game is being played.
Possession by possession
The field rail
9 of 18 drives ended in points. The longest march was LA moving 79 yards from the LA 21 for a touchdown. Each bar is the ground a drive actually covered; SEA attacks right, LA attacks left. Hatching marks a trip inside the twenty.
Every snap
Play stream
177 of 177 plays
Team
Quarter
Down
Play type
Expected points added
Event
Charted
Plays shown
177
EPA per play
+0.08
Success rate
47%
Yards
606
Who was on the field
Personnel groupings
Offensive grouping on every pass and run. A group needs five snaps in this game before it gets a number — under that the sample is a coin flip and the cell reads a dash instead. Open any play above to see the eleven men who were actually on the field for it.
Rams1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR62+0.4055%
Seahawks1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR25-0.2768%
Rams1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR15-0.1620%
Seahawks1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR12+0.0458%
Seahawks1 RB, 0 TE, 4 WR4——
Seahawks2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR3——
Seahawks1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR1——
Seahawks2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR1——
Rams1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR1——
snapsepapass rate
177 plays · ranked by the win probability each one moved
Every play
Ball
When
Play
Only
Who
177 plays
Bar length is win probability the play moved
1st quarter38 plays
Rams0Seahawks3
Field goal14 plays, from the Seahawks 25 to the Rams 12
Rams6Seahawks3
Rams7Seahawks3
Touchdown20 plays, from the Rams 25 to the Seahawks 1
The period ended3 plays
2nd quarter49 plays
Rams7Seahawks9
Rams7Seahawks10
Touchdown13 plays, from the Seahawks 26 to the Rams 10
Punt7 plays
Rams7Seahawks13
Field goal6 plays, from the Seahawks 49 to the Rams 23
No good8 plays, from the Rams 25 to the Seahawks 38
No good6 plays, from the Rams 42 to the Rams 20
No good8 plays, from the Rams 29 to the Seahawks 38
3rd quarter38 plays
How the play was built
A man in motion.
Thrown on the first read.
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne quarterback, one back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldTwo linemen, three linebackers and six backsRoute runCornerCoverageCover 1, man with a free safetyMan or zoneManIn the boxSix defendersRushing the passerFivePressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw2.8 seconds
Rams13Seahawks13
Rams14Seahawks13
Touchdown12 plays, from the Rams 24 to the Seahawks 7
Punt5 plays, from the Seahawks 30 to the Seahawks 35
Rams17Seahawks13
Field goal10 plays, from the Rams 20 to the Seahawks 20
Punt7 plays, from the Seahawks 25 to the Seahawks 35
The period ended4 plays, from the Rams 21 to the Rams 30
4th quarter52 plays
Rams23Seahawks13
Rams24Seahawks13
Touchdown13 plays, from the Rams 32 to the Seahawks 1
Punt5 plays, from the Seahawks 25 to the Seahawks 27
Rams27Seahawks13
Field goal9 plays, from the Rams 25 to the Seahawks 35
Punt6 plays, from the Seahawks 35 to the Seahawks 43
Rams30Seahawks13
Field goal16 plays, from the Rams 42 to the Seahawks 25
The period ended3 plays
Win probability is the league play-by-play model, 98.5% of plays · a dash means none was published
