2023 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 10, 2023 · Gillette Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

New England Patriots

PHI -3.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓Eagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Philadelphia Eagles 25–20. Biggest swing: Q4 0:29, PHI +27% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:29PHI 25 — NE 20NE ball · 4th & 11PHI 71%

(:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 80-K.Boutte pushed ob at PHI 8 for 12 yards (28-J.Jobe). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:29PHI +27% win prob(:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 80-K.Boutte pushed ob at PHI 8 for 12 yards (28-J.Jobe). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass incomplete short left to 80-K.Boutte (28-J.Jobe).
Q4 · 2:00PHI +23% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short middle to 6-D.Smith (6-C.Gonzalez) [9-M.Judon].
Q1 · 5:12PHI +18% win prob(5:12) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 2-D.Slay at PHI 30. 2-D.Slay for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 0:58PHI +16% win prob(:58) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at PHI 22 for -3 yards (98-J.Carter).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 7:46PHI Field goal
(7:46) 4-J.Elliott 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 3 — NE 0
Q1 · 5:12PHI Touchdown
(5:12) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 2-D.Slay at PHI 30. 2-D.Slay for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 10 — NE 0
Q1 · 2:47PHI Touchdown
(2:47) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: PHI 16 — NE 0
Q2 · 4:39NE Touchdown
(4:39) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 85-H.Henry for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 16 — NE 7
Q2 · 0:30NE Touchdown
(:30) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep middle to 84-K.Bourne for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 16 — NE 14
Q3 · 8:52PHI Field goal
(8:52) 4-J.Elliott 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 19 — NE 14
Q4 · 13:26PHI Field goal
(13:26) 4-J.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs. Kick deflected in off left upright.
Score after this play: PHI 22 — NE 14
Q4 · 5:38PHI Field goal
(5:38) 4-J.Elliott 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs.
Score after this play: PHI 25 — NE 14
Q4 · 3:43NE Touchdown
(3:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 84-K.Bourne for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: PHI 25 — NE 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Patriots
Offensive plays	60	79
Total yards	252	382 (edge)
Yards per play	4.2	4.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.15 (edge)	-0.20
Success rate	35%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	63%	75%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09 (edge)	-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.25	-0.20 (edge)
Third downs	4/13	5/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	3
First downs gained on snaps	14	24 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Patriots outgained Eagles 382–252 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Mac JonesQB

35/54, 316 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

-7.6 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

22/33, 170 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-4.9 expected points added · +8.1% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Kenneth GainwellRB

14 att, 54 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

9 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

-2.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

7/10 for 79 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 1.2 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Rhamondre StevensonRB

6/6 for 64 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	15	56	7:18	Field goal +3
2	NE	NE 24	8	34	2:46	Defensive touchdown
3	NE	NE 25	2	0	0:08	Fumble
4	PHI	NE 26	5	21	2:09	Touchdown +6
5	NE	NE 44	5	1	0:50	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 16	4	2	2:01	Punt
7	NE	PHI 47	4	3	1:26	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 8	4	3	1:33	Punt
9	NE	NE 43	4	5	1:19	Punt
10	PHI	PHI 14	4	3	1:08	Punt
11	NE	NE 29	11	71	4:48	Touchdown +7
12	PHI	PHI 25	5	10	2:01	Punt
13	NE	NE 37	7	58	2:08	Touchdown +7
14	PHI	PHI 25	2	3	0:25	End of half
15	NE	NE 25	5	6	1:17	Punt
16	PHI	PHI 29	10	43	4:55	Field goal +3
17	NE	NE 25	15	52	6:05	Punt
18	PHI	PHI 20	11	50	4:22	Field goal +3
19	NE	NE 25	11	43	3:49	Turnover on downs
20	PHI	PHI 17	7	45	3:59	Field goal +3
21	NE	NE 25	8	75	1:56	Touchdown +6
22	PHI	PHI 27	2	8	0:09	Fumble
23	NE	PHI 41	4	-2	1:08	Turnover on downs
24	PHI	PHI 48	4	8	0:23	Turnover on downs
25	NE	NE 44	9	36	1:32	Turnover on downs
26	PHI	PHI 20	1	0	0:25	End of game

8 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 75 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	22/33	170	1	0	3	-4.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Kenneth Gainwell	14	54	3.9	-0.7
Jalen Hurts	9	37	4.1	-2.2
Boston Scott	1	3	3.0	-0.7
D'Andre Swift	1	3	3.0	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	7	10	79	0	33%	1.2
DeVonta Smith	7	10	47	1	33%	-0.7
Kenneth Gainwell	4	4	20	0	13%	0.5
Quez Watkins	2	2	17	0	7%	1.8
Boston Scott	1	1	7	0	3%	-0.1
D'Andre Swift	1	2	0	0	7%	-1.3
Dallas Goedert	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Reed Blankenship	8	4	0.0	2
Justin Evans	4	3	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	4	2	0.0	2
Jordan Davis	2	3	0.5	0
Nakobe Dean	2	3	0.0	0
James Bradberry	2	3	0.0	1
Christian Elliss	3	1	0.0	0
Milton Williams	2	2	0.0	0
Zach Cunningham	3	1	0.0	0
Terrell Edmunds	2	1	0.0	0

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mac Jones	35/54	316	3	1	2	-7.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	7	29	4.1	0.2
Rhamondre Stevenson	12	25	2.1	-4.5
Mac Jones	2	15	7.5	0.4
Ty Montgomery	1	7	7.0	0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rhamondre Stevenson	6	6	64	0	11%	3.3
Kendrick Bourne	6	11	64	2	20%	-6.5
Hunter Henry	5	6	56	1	11%	6.9
Demario Douglas	4	7	40	0	13%	-0.5
Mike Gesicki	3	3	36	0	6%	2.8
JuJu Smith-Schuster	4	7	33	0	13%	-0.5
Ezekiel Elliott	5	7	14	0	13%	-10.6
Ty Montgomery	2	3	9	0	6%	-0.6
Kayshon Boutte	0	4	0	0	7%	-4.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Ja'Whaun Bentley	3	6	0.0	0
Christian Gonzalez	5	2	1.0	1
Myles Bryant	5	1	0.0	0
Jabrill Peppers	3	3	0.0	1
Kyle Dugger	2	3	0.0	0
Jahlani Tavai	1	3	0.0	0
Deatrich Wise	2	2	0.0	0
Adrian Phillips	2	1	0.0	0
Matt Judon	3	0	1.0	0
Mack Wilson	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -3.5
Closing total: 44.5
PHI moneyline: -185
NE moneyline: +154

Eagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 45 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: PHI 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Bill Belichick