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2023 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 17, 2023 · Nissan Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

24

Tennessee TitansWinner

27

LAC -2.5 upsetO 45.5 ✓

Tennessee Titans 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:25, TEN +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4TENLAC
Q4 · 2:25LAC 21TEN 23TEN ball · 3rd & 4LAC 56%

(2:25) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 2:25TEN +20% win prob(2:25) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 0:21LAC +19% win prob(:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at TEN 15 for -8 yards (58-H.Landry).
  3. Q4 · 6:00TEN +16% win prob(6:00) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 11-C.Moore to LAC 33 for 49 yards (43-M.Davis).
  4. Q4 · 3:55TEN +15% win prob(3:55) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins to LAC 13 for 14 yards (3-D.James). PENALTY on LAC-9-K.Murray, Roughing the Passer, 7 yards, enforced at LAC 13.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:49LAC Field goal

    (3:49) 11-C.Dicker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 3TEN 0
  2. Q2 · 8:24LAC Touchdown

    (8:24) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 13-K.Allen for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [49-A.Key]. PENALTY on TEN-98-J.Simmons, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs. Penalty on TEN-23-T.Avery, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: LAC 11TEN 0
  3. Q2 · 7:12TEN Touchdown

    (7:12) (No Huddle) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 11TEN 7
  4. Q2 · 4:27LAC Field goal

    (4:27) 11-C.Dicker 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 14TEN 7
  5. Q2 · 0:03TEN Field goal

    (:03) 6-N.Folk 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: LAC 14TEN 10
  6. Q3 · 10:14TEN Touchdown

    (10:14) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 14TEN 17
  7. Q4 · 14:41LAC Touchdown

    (14:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 13-K.Allen for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 21TEN 17
  8. Q4 · 2:25TEN Touchdown

    (2:25) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 21TEN 24
  9. Q4 · 0:03LAC Field goal

    (:03) 11-C.Dicker 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 24TEN 24
  10. OT · 5:06TEN Field goal

    (5:06) 6-N.Folk 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: LAC 24TEN 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersTitans
Offensive plays6663
Total yards344 (edge)341
Yards per play5.25.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.09 (edge)0.01
Success rate42%43% (edge)
Dropback rate68%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.23 (edge)0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.20-0.02 (edge)
Third downs2/146/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)67 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1919
Sacks taken3 (edge)5
Turnovers00

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

27/41, 305 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.3 expected points added · +7.7% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

20/24, 246 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · +16.4% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

25 att, 80 yds, 1 TD

-4.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Tyjae SpearsRB

8 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

8/10 for 111 yds, 2 TD

26% of team targets · 11.2 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Mike WilliamsWR

8/13 for 83 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 25501:40Punt
2TENTEN 259235:09Turnover on downs
3LACTEN 4811394:25Field goal +3
4TENTEN 255-32:04Punt
5LACLAC 366202:37Punt
6TENTEN 154-122:15Punt
7LACTEN 479353:34Touchdown +8
8TENTEN 255751:07Touchdown +7
9LACLAC 258632:46Field goal +3
10TENTEN 2510604:23Field goal +3
11TENTEN 2511534:52Touchdown +7
12LACLAC 257173:08Punt
13TENTEN 139244:21Punt
14LACLAC 208893:01Touchdown +7
15TENTEN 25582:13Punt
16LACLAC 34481:24Punt
17TENTEN 14402:17Punt
18LACLAC 357182:44Punt
19TENTEN 188753:38Touchdown +7
20LACLAC 2511552:22Field goal +3
21LACLAC 25500:28Punt
22TENTEN 398384:30Field goal +3

10 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 89 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert27/4130520310.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Joshua Kelley13393.00-2.2
Derius Davis11010.003.5
Elijah Dotson461.50-3.2
Mike Williams133.00-0.3
Isaiah Spiller133.00-0.5
Justin Herbert100.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen810111226%11.2
Mike Williams81383033%3.6
Gerald Everett334708%3.6
Stone Smartt112403%2.1
Elijah Dotson221305%0.4
Josh Palmer3513013%-3.3
Quentin Johnston12705%-0.5
Donald Parham12705%0.1
Joshua Kelley01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kenneth Murray551.000
Nick Niemann450.000
Derwin James540.000
Tuli Tuipulotu241.000
Khalil Mack230.001
Alohi Gilman130.000
Asante Samuel310.000
Joey Bosa312.000
Austin Johnson120.000
J.C. Jackson300.000

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill20/242461051.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry25803.21-4.0
Tyjae Spears8496.101.5
Ryan Tannehill11212.011.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Treylon Burks3476017%3.2
Chris Moore114904%3.3
DeAndre Hopkins4540021%3.6
Chigoziem Okonkwo4435017%1.1
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3325113%3.7
Derrick Henry3415017%-0.2
Tyjae Spears22608%-0.6
Trevon Wesco01004%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kevin Byard550.000
Azeez Al-Shaair530.000
Tre Avery710.001
Jeffery Simmons231.000
Elijah Molden410.000
Roger McCreary320.000
Sean Murphy-Bunting130.003
Jack Gibbens220.000
Harold Landry121.000
Denico Autry301.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -2.5
Closing total
45.5
LAC moneyline
-142
TEN moneyline
+120

Chargers closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 51 — over by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors
Kickoff weather
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
LAC 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches
Brandon Staley vs Mike Vrabel