2023 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 17, 2023 · New Era Field
Las Vegas Raiders
10
Buffalo BillsWinner
38
Buffalo Bills 38–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:22, LV +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:22) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle intended for 22-A.Abdullah INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Bernard (50-G.Rousseau) [92-D.Jones] at LV 28. 43-T.Bernard to LV 28 for no gain (22-A.Abdullah).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 8:22LV +11% win prob(8:22) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle intended for 22-A.Abdullah INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Bernard (50-G.Rousseau) [92-D.Jones] at LV 28. 43-T.Bernard to LV 28 for no gain (22-A.Abdullah).
- Q1 · 12:22BUF +9% win prob(12:22) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 13:03BUF +8% win prob(13:03) 11-T.Tucker left end to BUF 16 for 34 yards (27-T.White; 23-M.Hyde).
- Q2 · 3:01LV +7% win prob(3:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Knox (39-N.Hobbs).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 12:22LV Touchdown
(12:22) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — BUF 0 - Q1 · 4:23BUF Touchdown
(4:23) 28-L.Murray up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — BUF 7 - Q2 · 12:16BUF Touchdown
(12:16) 76-D.Edwards reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 7 — BUF 14 - Q2 · 6:53LV Field goal
(6:53) 2-D.Carlson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 10 — BUF 14 - Q2 · 0:24BUF Touchdown
(:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — BUF 21 - Q3 · 6:06BUF Touchdown
(6:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — BUF 28 - Q4 · 15:00BUF Field goal
(15:00) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Score after this play: LV 10 — BUF 31 - Q4 · 5:11BUF Touchdown
(5:11) (Shotgun) 22-D.Harris up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — BUF 38
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Raiders | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 39 | 72 |
| Total yards | 240 | 452 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.2 | 6.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.26 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Success rate | 44% | 60% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 54% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.10 | 0.34 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.55 | 0.27 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/7 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 27 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 (edge) |
Bills won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs -0.26.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
31/37, 274 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
13.2 expected points added · +15.1% completion over expected
Passing · LV
16/24, 185 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-2.0 expected points added · +3.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:44 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | BUF | BUF 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 3 | LV | LV 16 | 4 | 14 | 2:05 | Interception | |
| 4 | BUF | LV 28 | 8 | 28 | 3:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | LV | LV 31 | 5 | 5 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 6 | BUF | BUF 16 | 12 | 59 | 6:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | LV | LV 25 | 11 | 46 | 5:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | BUF | BUF 47 | 8 | 52 | 3:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | LV | LV 2 | 4 | 7 | 1:09 | Punt | |
| 10 | BUF | BUF 43 | 9 | 57 | 1:29 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | LV | LV 25 | 3 | 13 | 0:18 | End of half | |
| 12 | BUF | BUF 25 | 17 | 75 | 9:01 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 23 | 2:10 | Interception | |
| 14 | BUF | LV 48 | 9 | 42 | 3:53 | Field goal +3 | |
| 15 | LV | LV 25 | 6 | 12 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 16 | BUF | BUF 5 | 12 | 95 | 7:32 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | LV | LV 25 | 6 | 45 | 2:49 | Fumble | |
| 18 | BUF | BUF 19 | 4 | 39 | 2:19 | End of game |
8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 95 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 16/24 | 185 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Zamir White | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Josh Jacobs | 9 | -2 | -0.2 | 0 | -6.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 6 | 8 | 84 | 1 | 35% | 6.5 |
| Josh Jacobs | 5 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 26% | -2.4 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 4% | 0.7 |
| Austin Hooper | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 9% | 1.9 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13% | -6.2 |
| Michael Mayer | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.1 |
| Tre Tucker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| DeAndre Carter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.9 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Spillane | 8 | 6 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Divine Deablo | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakorian Bennett | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Hobbs | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Maxx Crosby | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Epps | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus Peters | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Nichols | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roderic Teamer | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 31/37 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 17 | 123 | 7.2 | 0 | 2.0 |
| Damien Harris | 7 | 33 | 4.7 | 1 | 3.5 |
| Latavius Murray | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Josh Allen | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Kyle Allen | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | -2.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Davis | 6 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 19% | 11.5 |
| Stefon Diggs | 7 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 19% | 4.2 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 5 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 17% | 1.6 |
| James Cook | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 11% | 1.1 |
| Khalil Shakir | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3% | 2.8 |
| Dawson Knox | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 14% | -2.5 |
| Latavius Murray | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6% | -0.4 |
| Deonte Harty | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8% | -1.1 |
| Reggie Gilliam | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrel Bernard | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gregory Rousseau | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Poyer | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Milano | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tre'Davious White | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taron Johnson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Williams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ed Oliver | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Benford | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BUF -7.5
- Closing total
- 47
- LV moneyline
- +280
- BUF moneyline
- -355
Bills closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 28.
Total closed 47; the game landed 48 — over by 1.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- New Era Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Craig Wrolstad
- Rest
- LV 7 days · BUF 6 days
- Coaches
- Josh McDaniels vs Sean McDermott