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2023 Week 2 · Thu, Sep 14, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field

Minnesota Vikings

28

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

34

PHI -6 pushO 49 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 34–28. Biggest swing: Q2 0:41, MIN +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑MIN ↓
Q2 · 0:41MIN 7 — PHI 10MIN ball · 2nd & 10PHI 61%

(:41) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to PHI 1 for 30 yards (26-T.Edmunds). FUMBLES (26-T.Edmunds), ball out of bounds at PHI 1. The Replay Official reviewed the ball was out of bounds ruling, and

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:41MIN +14% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to PHI 1 for 30 yards (26-T.Edmunds). FUMBLES (26-T.Edmunds), ball out of bounds at PHI 1. The Replay Official reviewed the ball was out of bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to PHI 1 for 30 yards (26-T.Edmunds). FUMBLES (26-T.Edmunds), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback.
  2. Q1 · 12:26PHI +10% win prob(12:26) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith to MIN 10 for 54 yards (25-Th.Jackson).
  3. Q1 · 2:58MIN +10% win prob(2:58) 2-A.Mattison left tackle to MIN 37 for 2 yards (29-A.Maddox; 28-J.Jobe). FUMBLES (29-A.Maddox), RECOVERED by PHI-30-J.Evans at MIN 39. 30-J.Evans to MIN 39 for no gain (2-A.Mattison).
  4. Q3 · 14:33MIN +9% win prob(14:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 18 for -8 yards (94-J.Sweat). FUMBLES (94-J.Sweat) [94-J.Sweat], RECOVERED by PHI-91-F.Cox at MIN 15. 91-F.Cox to MIN 7 for 8 yards (67-E.Ingram).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:51PHI Field goal

    (9:51) 4-J.Elliott 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: MIN 0 — PHI 3
  2. Q2 · 10:45MIN Touchdown

    (10:45) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-T.Hockenson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 7 — PHI 3
  3. Q2 · 2:46PHI Touchdown

    (2:46) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 7 — PHI 10
  4. Q2 · 0:04PHI Field goal

    (:04) 4-J.Elliott 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-A.Siposs.

    Score after this play: MIN 7 — PHI 13
  5. Q3 · 13:55PHI Touchdown

    (13:55) (No Huddle) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 7 — PHI 20
  6. Q3 · 11:02PHI Touchdown

    (11:02) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 6-D.Smith for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 7 — PHI 27
  7. Q3 · 9:18MIN Touchdown

    (9:18) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 3-J.Addison for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 14 — PHI 27
  8. Q4 · 7:47MIN Touchdown

    (7:47) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 17-K.Osborn for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-J.Sweat]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 21 — PHI 27
  9. Q4 · 4:18PHI Touchdown

    (4:18) (Shotgun) 0-D.Swift left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 21 — PHI 34
  10. Q4 · 1:14MIN Touchdown

    (1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 28 — PHI 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricVikingsEagles
Offensive plays5575
Total yards374430 (edge)
Yards per play6.8 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.080.14 (edge)
Success rate45%51% (edge)
Dropback rate84%41%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.24 (edge)0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.730.22 (edge)
Third downs6/10 (edge)6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)66
First downs gained on snaps2023 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)4
Turnovers31 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs 0.08.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

31/44, 364 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

17.5 expected points added · +8.2% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

18/23, 193 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.1 expected points added · +13.3% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

28 att, 175 yds, 1 TD

8.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

5 att, 40 yds, 0 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

Justin JeffersonWR

11/13 for 159 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

4/5 for 131 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 7.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 2510695:12Field goal +3
2MINMIN 256161:40Punt
3PHIPHI 10491:59Punt
4PHIPHI 276173:11Interception
5MINMIN 35120:08Fumble
6PHIMIN 39422:08Missed field goal
7MINMIN 4510505:03Touchdown +7
8PHIPHI 2518757:55Touchdown +7
9MINMIN 259742:10Turnover on downs
10PHIPHI 206370:34Field goal +3
11MINMIN 253-100:34Fumble
12PHIMIN 7370:33Touchdown +7
13MINMIN 255-51:24Punt
14PHIPHI 314691:35Touchdown +7
15MINMIN 257751:45Touchdown +7
16PHIPHI 255162:50Punt
17MINMIN 30461:00Punt
18PHIPHI 716499:00Punt
19MINMIN 1410863:38Touchdown +7
20PHIPHI 2510753:28Touchdown +7
21MINMIN 2512803:03Touchdown +7
22PHIMIN 49551:03Punt
23MINMIN 17100:07End of game

10 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 86 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins31/4436440217.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Alexander Mattison8283.50-6.0
Ty Chandler100.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Justin Jefferson1113159030%6.1
Jordan Addison3572112%5.3
T.J. Hockenson7866219%7.9
K.J. Osborn3634114%2.1
Josh Oliver231307%-0.2
Alexander Mattison3611014%-2.9
Ty Chandler22905%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Camryn Bynum590.000
Harrison Phillips560.500
Josh Metellus530.000
Ivan Pace530.500
Danielle Hunter433.000
Jordan Hicks430.000
Harrison Smith420.000
Akayleb Evans140.001
Byron Murphy110.001
Patrick Jones110.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts18/231931141.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift281756.318.5
Boston Scott5408.001.8
Jalen Hurts12352.920.4
Rashaad Penny393.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith45131123%7.9
A.J. Brown4629027%1.2
Dallas Goedert6722032%-2.3
D'Andre Swift336014%-0.4
Rashaad Penny11505%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Cunningham530.000
Terrell Edmunds510.000
Darius Slay510.001
Josh Jobe510.000
Mario Goodrich310.000
Justin Evans300.001
Avonte Maddox110.000
Nicholas Morrow200.000
Jordan Davis111.000
Jalen Carter200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6
Closing total
49
MIN moneyline
+195
PHI moneyline
-238

Eagles closed -6 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 49; the game landed 62 — over by 13.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Clay Martin
Rest
MIN 4 days · PHI 4 days
Coaches
Kevin O'Connell vs Nick Sirianni