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2023 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 17, 2023 · AT&T Stadium

New York Jets

10

Dallas CowboysWinner

30

DAL -8.5 ✓O 38.5 ✓

Dallas Cowboys 30–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:31, DAL +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑NYJ ↓
Q1 · 12:31NYJ 0 — DAL 0DAL ball · 1st & 10DAL 75%

(12:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb to NYJ 24 for 25 yards (22-T.Adams). Penalty on NYJ-4-D.Reed, Defensive Holding, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 12:31DAL +8% win prob(12:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb to NYJ 24 for 25 yards (22-T.Adams). Penalty on NYJ-4-D.Reed, Defensive Holding, declined.
  2. Q2 · 7:21DAL +7% win prob(7:21) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 17-G.Wilson for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 2:00DAL +5% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 18-J.Tolbert. PENALTY on NYJ-26-B.Echols, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, enforced at NYJ 13 - No Play.
  4. Q1 · 9:25DAL +4% win prob(9:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-J.Ferguson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:25DAL Touchdown

    (9:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-J.Ferguson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 0 — DAL 7
  2. Q2 · 9:14DAL Field goal

    (9:14) 17-B.Aubrey 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: NYJ 0 — DAL 10
  3. Q2 · 7:21NYJ Touchdown

    (7:21) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 17-G.Wilson for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — DAL 10
  4. Q2 · 1:56DAL Touchdown

    (1:56) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-L.Schoonmaker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-52-S.Eguavoen, Defensive Holding, declined. PENALTY on NYJ-72-M.Clemons, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — DAL 18
  5. Q2 · 0:07NYJ Field goal

    (:07) 15-A.Seibert 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DAL 18
  6. Q3 · 7:27DAL Field goal

    (7:27) 17-B.Aubrey 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DAL 21
  7. Q3 · 5:24DAL Field goal

    (5:24) 17-B.Aubrey 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DAL 24
  8. Q4 · 12:27DAL Field goal

    (12:27) 17-B.Aubrey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DAL 27
  9. Q4 · 8:22DAL Field goal

    (8:22) 17-B.Aubrey 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: NYJ 10 — DAL 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJetsCowboys
Offensive plays4580
Total yards215387 (edge)
Yards per play4.84.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.580.06 (edge)
Success rate36%43% (edge)
Dropback rate73%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.530.30 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.74-0.19 (edge)
Third downs1/109/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)37 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1025 (edge)
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers40 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.58.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

31/38, 255 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.1 expected points added · +11.7% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Zach WilsonQB

12/27, 170 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT

-18.5 expected points added · -18.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

25 att, 72 yds, 0 TD

-6.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Zach WilsonQB

5 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

11/13 for 143 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 11.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Garrett WilsonWR

2/8 for 83 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · -4.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 2514755:41Touchdown +7
2NYJNYJ 255-22:16Punt
3DALDAL 31491:32Punt
4NYJNYJ 108224:37Punt
5DALDAL 514786:44Field goal +3
6NYJNYJ 25560:54Punt
7DALDAL 23420:55Punt
8NYJNYJ 322680:09Touchdown +7
9DALDAL 2515595:20Touchdown +8
10NYJNYJ 2512591:48Field goal +3
11DALDAL 24200:04End of half
12NYJNYJ 25501:44Punt
13DALDAL 4212555:52Field goal +3
14NYJNYJ 253120:43Defensive touchdown
15DALNYJ 37411:22Field goal +3
16NYJNYJ 25511:35Punt
17DALDAL 2112766:21Field goal +3
18NYJNYJ 254150:47Interception
19DALNYJ 176153:18Field goal +3
20NYJNYJ 257182:16Interception
21DALDAL 8462:06Punt
22NYJNYJ 315160:56Interception
23DALNYJ 475113:00End of game

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 78 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Zach Wilson12/27170133-18.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zach Wilson5367.20-0.7
Breece Hall492.30-1.7
Michael Carter284.00-0.4
Dalvin Cook471.80-7.4
Ashtyn Davis144.002.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Garrett Wilson2883132%-4.4
Tyler Conklin5650024%1.6
Allen Lazard2423016%-0.9
Mecole Hardman11604%0.0
Dalvin Cook11504%-0.9
Michael Carter12308%-5.6
Breece Hall02008%-1.2
Randall Cobb01004%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Whitehead620.000
C.J. Mosley440.001
Jamien Sherwood340.000
Quincy Williams600.001
Ahmad Gardner420.001
D.J. Reed320.000
Quinnen Williams410.000
Tony Adams400.000
Jermaine Johnson400.000
Adrian Amos310.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott31/3825520110.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard25722.90-6.8
Rico Dowdle7263.70-0.5
Deuce Vaughn3165.30-0.4
Dak Prescott6142.30-0.8
Kavontae Turpin263.00-0.2
Peyton Hendershot100.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1113143035%11.0
Tony Pollard7837022%-0.6
Jalen Tolbert3418011%0.7
Rico Dowdle111703%1.5
Deuce Vaughn331608%-0.5
Jake Ferguson3411111%0.1
Kavontae Turpin11903%1.3
Michael Gallup12305%-1.8
Luke Schoonmaker11113%0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Stephon Gilmore410.000
Micah Parsons402.001
Markquese Bell310.000
Leighton Vander Esch220.000
Devin Harper110.000
Demarcus Lawrence200.001
Jayron Kearse200.011
Malik Hooker110.012
Dorance Armstrong110.000
Trevon Diggs100.012

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -8.5
Closing total
38.5
NYJ moneyline
+300
DAL moneyline
-380

Cowboys closed -8.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 40 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
open
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
NYJ 6 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches
Robert Saleh vs Mike McCarthy