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2023 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 17, 2023 · Ford Field

Seattle SeahawksWinner

37

Detroit Lions

31

DET -4.5 upsetO 47.5 ✓Dome

Seattle Seahawks 37–31. Biggest swing: Q4 8:14, SEA +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4DET ↑SEA ↓
Q4 · 8:14SEA 30 — DET 21DET ball · 2nd & 15SEA 61%

(8:14) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 26-J.Gibbs INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Brown [10-U.Nwosu] at DET 40. 22-T.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 8:14SEA +26% win prob(8:14) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 26-J.Gibbs INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Brown [10-U.Nwosu] at DET 40. 22-T.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. OT · 8:35DET +23% win prob(8:35) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf to DET 38 for 16 yards (23-J.Jacobs; 31-K.Joseph).
  3. Q4 · 2:11SEA +16% win prob(2:11) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at SEA 3 for -17 yards (34-A.Anzalone).
  4. OT · 7:33DET +15% win prob(7:33) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 84-C.Parkinson to DET 14 for 21 yards (23-J.Jacobs).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:07SEA Touchdown

    (7:07) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DET 0
  2. Q1 · 3:55DET Touchdown

    (3:55) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 8-J.Reynolds for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DET 7
  3. Q2 · 4:59DET Touchdown

    (4:59) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 11-K.Raymond for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DET 14
  4. Q3 · 14:22SEA Touchdown

    (14:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DET 14
  5. Q3 · 9:09DET Touchdown

    (9:09) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DET 21
  6. Q3 · 3:30SEA Field goal

    (3:30) 5-J.Myers 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 17 — DET 21
  7. Q4 · 10:45SEA Touchdown

    (10:45) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 16-T.Lockett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 24 — DET 21
  8. Q4 · 8:14SEA Touchdown

    (8:14) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 26-J.Gibbs INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Brown [10-U.Nwosu] at DET 40. 22-T.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 31 — DET 21
  9. Q4 · 3:12DET Touchdown

    (3:12) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 8-J.Reynolds for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 31 — DET 28
  10. Q4 · 0:03DET Field goal

    (:03) 36-R.Patterson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: SEA 31 — DET 31
  11. OT · 5:48SEA Touchdown

    (5:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 16-T.Lockett for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: SEA 37 — DET 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksLions
Offensive plays6664
Total yards393418 (edge)
Yards per play6.06.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.24 (edge)-0.04
Success rate55% (edge)50%
Dropback rate67%58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.31 (edge)0.16
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.10 (edge)-0.32
Third downs5/116/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)69 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps25 (edge)23
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Lions outgained Seahawks 418–393 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

32/41, 328 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

14.9 expected points added · +15.7% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

28/35, 323 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

8.2 expected points added · +13.1% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

David MontgomeryRB

16 att, 67 yds, 1 TD

-5.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

17 att, 43 yds, 2 TD

1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

6/7 for 102 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

6/6 for 75 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 7.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SEASEA 2514707:56Touchdown +7
2DETDET 259753:15Touchdown +7
3SEASEA 237142:59Punt
4DETDET 1212576:14Turnover on downs
5SEASEA 316421:59Missed field goal
6DETDET 356542:46Touchdown +7
7SEASEA 258323:07Punt
8DETDET 6451:00Punt
9SEASEA 366260:42Missed field goal
10DETDET 461390:02Fumble
11DETDET 252-20:06Fumble
12SEADET 233230:38Touchdown +7
13DETDET 2511705:11Touchdown +7
14SEASEA 3213615:38Field goal +3
15DETDET 257203:00Turnover on downs
16SEADET 4510654:49Touchdown +7
17DETDET 256102:34Defensive touchdown
18DETDET 2512604:56Touchdown +7
19SEASEA 285-151:24Punt
20DET506301:44Field goal +3
21SEASEA 2510754:19Touchdown +6

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith32/4132820114.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker17432.521.7
Geno Smith3206.70-0.7
Zach Charbonnet4164.000.8
DeeJay Dallas133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DK Metcalf6675016%7.4
Tyler Lockett81059227%4.8
Noah Fant4456011%2.3
Colby Parkinson234108%2.6
Will Dissly333508%2.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5634016%-0.6
Zach Charbonnet221405%0.6
Kenneth Walker121105%0.8
Jake Bobo11303%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Julian Love830.000
Jordyn Brooks550.000
Bobby Wagner630.000
Devon Witherspoon230.001
Tre Brown401.012
Quandre Diggs220.000
Darrell Taylor200.000
Coby Bryant200.000
Jerrick Reed200.000
Derick Hall110.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff28/353233128.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
David Montgomery16674.21-5.8
Jahmyr Gibbs7172.40-2.7
Kalif Raymond11111.000.4
Craig Reynolds372.30-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown67102021%6.1
Josh Reynolds5666218%4.3
Sam LaPorta5663018%2.1
Kalif Raymond234619%4.2
Jahmyr Gibbs7939026%-6.6
David Montgomery11703%0.7
Antoine Green11203%-0.6
Craig Reynolds11-203%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kerby Joseph620.001
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson610.000
Jerry Jacobs520.000
Derrick Barnes430.000
Alex Anzalone421.000
Cameron Sutton600.000
Jack Campbell220.000
Brian Branch310.000
Aidan Hutchinson200.001
Malcolm Rodriguez200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -4.5
Closing total
47.5
SEA moneyline
+180
DET moneyline
-218

Lions closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 68 — over by 20.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
SEA 7 days · DET 10 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs Dan Campbell