For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2023 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 24, 2023 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Chicago Bears

10

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

41

KC -13 ✓O 48 ✓

Kansas City Chiefs 41–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:11, CHI +4% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3KC ↑CHI ↓
Q1 · 11:11CHI 0 — KC 0CHI ball · 2nd & 5KC 83%

(11:11) (Shotgun) 24-K.Herbert right guard to CHI 24 for 1 yard (23-D.Tranquill; 22-T.McDuffie).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:11CHI +4% win prob(11:11) (Shotgun) 24-K.Herbert right guard to CHI 24 for 1 yard (23-D.Tranquill; 22-T.McDuffie).
  2. Q1 · 8:54KC +4% win prob(8:54) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 24-S.Moore to CHI 14 for 21 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
  3. Q1 · 9:36KC +4% win prob(9:36) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to CHI 35 for 24 yards (9-J.Brisker).
  4. Q1 · 9:50KC +4% win prob(9:50) 16-T.Gill punts 58 yards to KC 18, Center-48-P.Scales. 12-M.Washington pushed ob at KC 41 for 23 yards (57-J.Sanborn; 53-T.Edwards).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:55KC Touchdown

    (6:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 1-J.McKinnon for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 7
  2. Q2 · 11:42KC Touchdown

    (11:42) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 14
  3. Q2 · 3:08KC Touchdown

    (3:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 21
  4. Q2 · 1:55KC Field goal

    (1:55) 7-H.Butker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 24
  5. Q2 · 1:08KC Touchdown

    (1:08) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 31
  6. Q2 · 0:03KC Field goal

    (:03) 7-H.Butker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 34
  7. Q3 · 7:44KC Touchdown

    (7:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — KC 41
  8. Q4 · 13:36CHI Field goal

    (13:36) 8-C.Santos 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — KC 41
  9. Q4 · 4:23CHI Touchdown

    (4:23) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short left to 2-D.Moore for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — KC 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsChiefs
Offensive plays5173
Total yards203457 (edge)
Yards per play4.06.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.300.24 (edge)
Success rate37%52% (edge)
Dropback rate57%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.640.38 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.14 (edge)0.05
Third downs4/1210/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)411 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1128 (edge)
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers22

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs -0.30.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

24/33, 272 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

20.9 expected points added · +8.2% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

11/22, 99 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-13.2 expected points added · +0.2% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Isiah PachecoRB

15 att, 62 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB

15 att, 55 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

7/8 for 69 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Rashee RiceWR

5/7 for 59 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1KCKC 258172:35Punt
2CHICHI 35212:49Punt
3KCKC 417632:45Touchdown +7
4CHICHI 259314:20Punt
5KCKC 2012805:57Touchdown +7
6CHICHI 257223:05Punt
7KCKC 1212885:24Touchdown +7
8CHICHI 25250:08Fumble
9KCCHI 26431:06Field goal +3
10CHICHI 25300:14Interception
11KCCHI 264260:31Touchdown +7
12CHICHI 25560:31Punt
13KCKC 355350:35Field goal +3
14CHICHI 25522:06Punt
15KCKC 3612635:14Touchdown +7
16CHICHI 258163:03Turnover on downs
17KCCHI 41361:21Interception
18CHIKC 2811254:42Field goal +3
19KCKC 2511466:25Interception
20CHICHI 2510752:49Touchdown +7
21KCKC 258304:20End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 88 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Fields11/2299113-13.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Fields11474.301.5
Roschon Johnson8384.800.5
Khalil Herbert7314.400.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
D.J. Moore3641130%3.0
Cole Kmet2222010%1.8
Chase Claypool1415020%-3.9
Roschon Johnson2211010%0.1
Tyler Scott136015%-2.1
Khalil Herbert224010%-5.7
Darnell Mooney01005%-2.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
T.J. Edwards4110.000
Terell Smith730.001
Tremaine Edmunds440.000
Jaylon Jones510.000
Jaquan Brisker230.000
Noah Sewell130.000
Greg Stroman220.000
Elijah Hicks210.000
Jaylon Johnson200.001
Jack Sanborn020.011

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes24/3327230020.9
Blaine Gabbert3/531020-6.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isiah Pacheco15624.112.4
Clyde Edwards-Helaire15553.71-1.2
Patrick Mahomes3289.301.3
Jerick McKinnon294.500.4
Blaine Gabbert2-1-0.50-2.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Travis Kelce7869122%7.1
Rashee Rice5759019%1.0
Justin Watson235108%3.0
Skyy Moore4642016%-4.0
Marquez Valdes-Scantling123705%3.2
Jerick McKinnon331928%4.8
Isiah Pacheco231608%0.9
Noah Gray12905%0.7
Clyde Edwards-Helaire11203%-0.5
Justyn Ross01003%-0.8
Kadarius Toney11-103%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Drue Tranquill340.500
Trent McDuffie320.000
Derrick Nnadi120.000
Malik Herring120.000
Bryan Cook210.000
Jack Cochrane120.000
Leo Chenal210.000
Felix Anudike-Uzomah210.000
Rashee Rice200.000
Willie Gay110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -13
Closing total
48
CHI moneyline
+525
KC moneyline
-750

Chiefs closed -13 and covered, winning by 31.

Total closed 48; the game landed 51 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
CHI 7 days · KC 7 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs Andy Reid