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2023 Week 3 · Mon, Sep 25, 2023 · Paycor Stadium
16
19
Cincinnati Bengals 19–16 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q2 0:03, CIN +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:03) 2-E.McPherson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
How the points landed
(8:26) 8-B.Maher 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 3 — CIN 0(13:00) 2-E.McPherson 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
Score after this play: LA 3 — CIN 3(9:52) 8-B.Maher 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 6 — CIN 3(:03) 2-E.McPherson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
Score after this play: LA 6 — CIN 6(10:42) 8-B.Maher 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: LA 9 — CIN 6(5:39) (Shotgun) 28-J.Mixon left tackle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 9 — CIN 13(3:14) 2-E.McPherson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
Score after this play: LA 9 — CIN 16(7:18) 2-E.McPherson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
Score after this play: LA 9 — CIN 19(1:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 5-T.Atwell for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LA 16 — CIN 19Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Rams | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 52 | 70 |
| Total yards | 292 | 311 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.6 (edge) | 4.4 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.13 | -0.10 (edge) |
| Success rate | 38% (edge) | 33% |
| Dropback rate | 77% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.15 | -0.13 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 1/11 | 5/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.13.
Who moved the needle
Passing · LA
18/33, 269 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-8.4 expected points added · -6.3% completion over expected
Passing · CIN
26/49, 259 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-6.4 expected points added · -12.6% completion over expected
Receiving · CIN
12/15 for 141 yds, 0 TD
33% of team targets · 9.1 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 25 | 10 | 37 | 3:34 | Missed field goal | |
| 2 | LA | LA 46 | 8 | 43 | 3:04 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | CIN | CIN 25 | 5 | 13 | 2:27 | Punt | |
| 4 | LA | LA 26 | 4 | 9 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 21 | 12 | 48 | 6:27 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | LA | LA 25 | 8 | 70 | 3:06 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 25 | 8 | 11 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 8 | LA | LA 36 | 4 | 8 | 2:18 | Punt | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 11 | 5 | 13 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 10 | LA | LA 30 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | Interception | |
| 11 | CIN | LA 41 | 4 | 2 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 12 | LA | LA 8 | 6 | 11 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 40 | 6 | 26 | 1:13 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | LA | LA 25 | 8 | 42 | 4:23 | Field goal +3 | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 25 | 12 | 75 | 5:03 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | LA | LA 24 | 3 | 46 | 0:37 | Interception | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 22 | 6 | 45 | 1:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 13 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 19 | CIN | CIN 28 | 10 | 35 | 5:16 | Interception | |
| 20 | LA | LA 20 | 4 | -16 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 21 | CIN | LA 40 | 4 | 5 | 1:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 22 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:11 | Punt | |
| 23 | CIN | CIN 24 | 4 | 1 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 24 | LA | LA 39 | 11 | 61 | 2:31 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 25 | CIN | LA 45 | 4 | 0 | 1:03 | End of game |
9 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 18/33 | 269 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 10 | 38 | 3.8 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tutu Atwell | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Matthew Stafford | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Van Jefferson | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 5 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 22% | 1.5 |
| Tyler Higbee | 5 | 5 | 71 | 0 | 16% | 3.7 |
| Tutu Atwell | 4 | 9 | 50 | 1 | 28% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Jones | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron Donald | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cobie Durant | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Russ Yeast |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 26/49 | 259 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 19 | 65 | 3.4 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Bengals closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 35 — under by 10.5.
Conditions and crew
| -1.4 |
| Van Jefferson | 1 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 9% | -1.0 |
| Kyren Williams | 2 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 22% | -1.9 |
| Ben Skowronek | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Michael Hoecht | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derion Kendrick | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Byron Young | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Fuller | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Rozeboom | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Royce Freeman | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.0 |
| Trayveon Williams | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Joe Burrow | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 12 | 15 | 141 | 0 | 33% | 9.1 |
| Tyler Boyd | 5 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 20% | -3.8 |
| Tanner Hudson | 2 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 9% | -1.7 |
| Tee Higgins | 2 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 17% | -2.5 |
| Mitchell Wilcox | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 7% | -0.5 |
| Drew Sample | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2% | -0.2 |
| Charlie Jones | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 0.1 |
| Joe Mixon | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Trayveon Williams | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -2.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dax Hill | 7 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Taylor-Britt | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Hubbard | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Chidobe Awuzie | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Germaine Pratt | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Hendrickson | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| B.J. Hill | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Scott | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Reader | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
