For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2023 Week 3 · Thu, Sep 21, 2023 · Levi's Stadium

New York Giants

12

San Francisco 49ersWinner

30

SF -10.5 ✓U 43.5 ✓

San Francisco 49ers 30–12 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 13:48, SF +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SF ↑NYG ↓
Q2 · 13:48NYG 3 — SF 3SF ball · 3rd & 15SF 72%

(13:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel pushed ob at NYG 47 for 30 yards (29-X.McKinney).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 13:48SF +9% win prob(13:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 19-D.Samuel pushed ob at NYG 47 for 30 yards (29-X.McKinney).
  2. Q1 · 12:16NYG +7% win prob(12:16) 13-B.Purdy sacked at NYG 45 for -4 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux).
  3. Q1 · 11:32SF +7% win prob(11:32) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 15-J.Jennings to NYG 21 for 24 yards (37-T.Hawkins).
  4. Q3 · 10:06SF +5% win prob(10:06) 31-M.Breida right tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:47SF Field goal

    (8:47) 4-J.Moody 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — SF 3
  2. Q1 · 3:23NYG Field goal

    (3:23) 9-G.Gano 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — SF 3
  3. Q2 · 7:53SF Touchdown

    (7:53) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 10-R.Bell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-53-O.Ximines, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — SF 10
  4. Q2 · 1:44SF Touchdown

    (1:44) (Shotgun) 23-C.McCaffrey up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — SF 17
  5. Q2 · 0:18NYG Field goal

    (:18) 9-G.Gano 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 6 — SF 17
  6. Q3 · 10:06NYG Touchdown

    (10:06) 31-M.Breida right tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — SF 17
  7. Q3 · 4:12SF Field goal

    (4:12) 4-J.Moody 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — SF 20
  8. Q4 · 12:51SF Field goal

    (12:51) 4-J.Moody 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — SF 23
  9. Q4 · 6:05SF Touchdown

    (6:05) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 19-D.Samuel for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — SF 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiants49ers
Offensive plays4775
Total yards150444 (edge)
Yards per play3.25.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.230.19 (edge)
Success rate34%45% (edge)
Dropback rate79%52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.270.42 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.09-0.07 (edge)
Third downs3/129/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)09 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps922 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers10 (edge)

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.23.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

25/37, 310 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

16.5 expected points added · +2.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

22/32, 137 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-9.1 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Christian McCaffreyRB

18 att, 85 yds, 1 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Elijah MitchellRB

11 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-3.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Deebo SamuelWR

6/12 for 129 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 7.8 expected points added

Receiving · SF

George KittleTE

7/9 for 90 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SFSF 2516646:16Field goal +3
2NYGNYG 2513495:26Field goal +3
3SFSF 257252:34Punt
4NYGNYG 10421:31Punt
5SFSF 2812776:24Touchdown +7
6NYGNYG 25501:36Punt
7SFSF 2712784:33Touchdown +7
8NYGNYG 259371:27Field goal +3
9SFSF 25300:13End of half
10NYGNYG 257182:46Punt
11SFSF 4431:28Punt
12NYGSF 373150:46Touchdown +6
13SFSF 2512625:52Field goal +3
14NYGNYG 19561:55Punt
15SFSF 318464:26Field goal +3
16NYGNYG 255111:47Punt
17SFSF 309705:02Touchdown +7
18NYGNYG 25782:19Interception
19SFSF 48480:21Punt
20NYGNYG 5441:17Punt
21SFSF 494112:01End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 78 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones22/32137012-9.1
Tyrod Taylor0/10000-0.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Matt Breida4174.310.8
Daniel Jones252.500.2
Gary Brightwell451.30-1.9
Tyrod Taylor122.00-0.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton3632019%1.0
Gary Brightwell233109%2.6
Parris Campbell6624019%-1.6
Wan'Dale Robinson4521016%-0.2
Darren Waller3720022%-5.0
Daniel Bellinger11803%0.7
Matt Breida33109%-1.8
Isaiah Hodgins01003%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Micah McFadden810.000
Bobby Okereke530.000
Xavier McKinney610.000
Tre Hawkins240.000
Leonard Williams420.500
Dexter Lawrence330.000
A'Shawn Robinson320.000
Isaiah Simmons220.000
Jason Pinnock220.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux121.000

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brock Purdy25/3731020216.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Christian McCaffrey18854.711.9
Elijah Mitchell11423.80-3.4
Jordan Mason3113.700.5
Kyle Juszczyk133.000.2
Deebo Samuel122.00-1.3
Brock Purdy4-1-0.30-0.5
Sam Darnold1-1-1.00-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Deebo Samuel612129135%7.8
George Kittle7990026%7.0
Christian McCaffrey5534015%4.0
Jauan Jennings233109%1.0
Ronnie Bell222416%4.3
Elijah Mitchell33209%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dre Greenlaw410.000
Deommodore Lenoir410.000
Fred Warner220.000
Tashaun Gipson310.000
Isaiah Oliver310.000
Oren Burks310.000
Nick Bosa211.000
Javon Hargrave121.000
Charvarius Ward300.002
George Odum110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -10.5
Closing total
43.5
NYG moneyline
+400
SF moneyline
-535

49ers closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 42 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
77°F, wind 13 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
NYG 4 days · SF 4 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Kyle Shanahan